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Resource Windfalls and Emerging Market Sovereign Bond Spreads

Resource Windfalls and Emerging Market Sovereign Bond Spreads »

Source: Resource Windfalls and Emerging Market Sovereign Bond Spreads : The Role of Political Institutions

Volume/Issue: 2010/179

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Rabah Arezki , and Markus Bruckner

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 2010

ISBN: 9781455202133

Keywords: Sovereign Bond Spread, Political Institutions, sovereign bond, sovereign bonds, bond, bond spreads, bonds,

We examine the effect that revenue windfalls from international commodity price shocks have on sovereign bond spreads using panel data for 30 emerging market economies during the period 1997-2007. Our main finding...

Emerging Market Sovereign Bond Spreads

Emerging Market Sovereign Bond Spreads »

Source: Emerging Market Sovereign Bond Spreads : Estimation and Back-testing

Volume/Issue: 2012/212

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Fabio Comelli

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2012

ISBN: 9781475505627

Keywords: Emerging economies, sovereign bond yield spreads, in-sample forecasts, bond, bond spreads, sovereign bond, bond spread, sovereign bonds,

We estimate sovereign bond spreads of 28 emerging economies over the period January 1998-December 2011 and test the ability of the model in generating accurate in-sample predictions for emerging economies bond spre...

Euro Area Sovereign Risk During the Crisis1

Euro Area Sovereign Risk During the Crisis1 »

Source: Euro Area Sovereign Risk During the Crisis

Volume/Issue: 2009/222

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Edda Zoli , and Silvia Sgherri

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2009

ISBN: 9781451873696

Keywords: Sovereign Spreads, Global Risk Repricing, bond, sovereign bond, bonds,

While the use of public resources is critical to cushion the impact of the financial crisis on the euro-area economy, it is key that the entailed fiscal costs not be seen by markets as undermining fiscal sustainabi...

How do Experts Forecast Sovereign Spreads?*

How do Experts Forecast Sovereign Spreads?* »

Source: How do Experts Forecast Sovereign Spreads?

Volume/Issue: 2016/100

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jacopo Cimadomo , Peter Claeys , and Marcos Poplawski-Ribeiro

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 20 May 2016

ISBN: 9781484362068

Keywords: market expectations, sovereign bond spreads, survey data, Consensus Economics.

This paper assesses how forecasting experts form their expectations about future government bond spreads. Using monthly survey forecasts for France, Italy and the United Kingdom between January 1993 and October 201...

How Does U.S. Monetary Policy Influence Economic Conditions in Emerging Markets?

How Does U.S. Monetary Policy Influence Economic Conditions in Emerging Markets? »

Source: How Does U.S. Monetary Policy Influence Economic Conditions in Emerging Markets?

Volume/Issue: 2000/148

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Vivek Arora , and Martin Cerisola

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2000

ISBN: 9781451856811

Keywords: U.S. monetary policy, sovereign bond spreads, herding, contagion, Multimod, sovereign bond, bond, debt service, external debt

This paper quantifies the economic impact of changes in U.S. monetary policy on emerging market countries. We explore empirically how country risk, as proxied by sovereign bond spreads, is influenced by U.S. moneta...

Resource Windfalls and Emerging Market Sovereign Bond Spreads
			: The Role of Political Institutions

Resource Windfalls and Emerging Market Sovereign Bond Spreads : The Role of Political Institutions »

Volume/Issue: 2010/179

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Rabah Arezki , and Markus Bruckner

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 2010

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781455202133.001

ISBN: 9781455202133

Keywords: Sovereign Bond Spread, Political Institutions, sovereign bond, sovereign bonds, bond, bond spreads, bonds,

We examine the effect that revenue windfalls from international commodity price shocks have on sovereign bond spreads using panel data for 30 emerging market economies during the period 1997-2007. Our main finding...

Determinants of Emerging Market Sovereign Bond Spreads

Determinants of Emerging Market Sovereign Bond Spreads »

Source: Determinants of Emerging Market Sovereign Bond Spreads : Fundamentals vs Financial Stress

Volume/Issue: 2010/281

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Iva Petrova , Michael Papaioannou , and Dimitri Bellas

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2010

ISBN: 9781455210886

Keywords: Sovereign bond spreads, Emerging markts, sovereign bond, bond, bond spreads, external debt, current account, International Lending and Debt Problems, Money And Interest Rates,

This paper analyses the determimants of emerging market sovereign bond spreads by examining the short and long-run effects of fundamental (macroeconomic) and temporary (financial market) factors on these spreads. D...

What Drives Contagion

What Drives Contagion »

Source: What Drives Contagion : Trade Neighborhood, or Financial Links?

Volume/Issue: 2001/29

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Rodrigo Valdes , and Leonardo Hernández

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2001

ISBN: 9781451844801

Keywords: Contagion, Bond Spreads, Stock Market, Crisis Transmission, bond, sovereign bond, International Finance: General,

This paper presents evidence on the relative importance of alternative contagion channels during the Thai, Russian, and Brazilian crises. Results show that when crises are measured by changes in sovereign bond spre...

Debt Crises and the Development of International Capital Markets

Debt Crises and the Development of International Capital Markets »

Source: Debt Crises and the Development of International Capital Markets

Volume/Issue: 2004/44

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Amadou Sy , and Andrea Pescatori

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2004

ISBN: 9781451846447

Keywords: Bond spreads, debt crisis, bond, debt crises, sovereign bond, bonds, Financial Institutions and Services: General,

Crises on external sovereign debt are typically defined as defaults. Such a definition accurately captures debt-servicing difficulties in the 1980s, a period of numerous defaults on bank loans. However, defining de...

International Sovereign Bonds by Emerging Markets and Developing Economies

International Sovereign Bonds by Emerging Markets and Developing Economies »

Source: International Sovereign Bonds by Emerging Markets and Developing Economies : Drivers of Issuance and Spreads

Volume/Issue: 2015/275

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Andrea Presbitero , Dhaneshwar Ghura , Olumuyiwa Adedeji , and Lamin Njie

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 24 December 2015

ISBN: 9781513581729

Keywords: Sovereign bond issuance, bond spreads, developing countries, bonds, sovereign bonds, bond, markets, sovereign bond, International Lending and Debt Problems, Asset Pricing

What determines the ability of low-income developing countries to issue bonds in international capital and what explains the spreads on these bonds? This paper examines these questions using a dataset that includes...