Search Results

You are looking at 1 - 10 of 32 items :

  • Keyword: growth model x
  • Economics - Macroeconomics x
  • Keywords: growth model x
Clear All Modify Search
Modernizing China
			: Investing in Soft Infrastructure

Modernizing China : Investing in Soft Infrastructure »

Series: Books

Author(s): W. Raphael Lam , Markus Rodlauer , and Alfred Schipke

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 20 April 2017

Language: Chinese

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475583625.071

ISBN: 9781475583625

Keywords: China, China, People's Republic of, Economic reforms, reforms, economic success, growth model, policy frameworks, markets, market economy, soft infrastructure

China is at a critical juncture in its economic transformation as it tries to rebalance what is generally seen as an exhausted growth model. A unifying theme across the reforms that will deliver this transformation...

Modernizing China
			: Investing in Soft Infrastructure

Modernizing China : Investing in Soft Infrastructure »

Series: Books

Author(s): W. Raphael Lam , Markus Rodlauer , and Alfred Schipke

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 14 January 2017

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513539942.071

ISBN: 9781513539942

Keywords: Economic reforms, reforms, economic success, growth model, policy frameworks, markets, market economy, soft infrastructure, institutions, rebalancing

China is at a critical juncture in its economic transformation as it tries to rebalance what is generally seen as an exhausted growth model. A unifying theme across the reforms that will deliver this transformation...

Overfitting in Judgment-based Economic Forecasts: The Case of IMF Growth Projections

Overfitting in Judgment-based Economic Forecasts: The Case of IMF Growth Projections »

Source: Overfitting in Judgment-based Economic Forecasts: The Case of IMF Growth Projections

Volume/Issue: 2018/260

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Klaus-Peter Hellwig

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 07 December 2018

ISBN: 9781484386187

Keywords: forecast evaluation, bias-variance trade-off, machine learning, Forecasting, GDP growth, Model Evaluation and Testing, Forecasting and Other Model Applications, Forecasting and Simulation

I regress real GDP growth rates on the IMF's growth forecasts and find that IMF forecasts behave similarly to those generated by overfitted models, placing too much weight on observable predictors and underestimati...

Tuning in RBC Growth Spectra

Tuning in RBC Growth Spectra »

Source: Tuning in RBC Growth Spectra

Volume/Issue: 2016/215

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Szilard Benk , Tamas Csabafi , Jing Dang , Max Gillman , and Michal Kejak

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 10 November 2016

ISBN: 9781475552775

Keywords: Total factor productivity, United States, United States, Econometric models, Investment, Human capital, Economic growth, Business cycles, Real Business cycles, amplification

For US postwar data, the paper explains central consumption, labor, investment and output correlations and volatilities along with output growth persistence by including a human capital investment sector and a vari...

Spillover Implications of China's Slowdown for International Trade

Spillover Implications of China's Slowdown for International Trade »

Source: Spillover Implications of China's Slowdown for International Trade

Volume/Issue: 2016/4

Series: Spillover Notes

Author(s): Patrick Blagrave , and Esteban Vesperoni

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 27 September 2016

ISBN: 9781475539462

Keywords: Export growth, Exports, Asia and Pacific, China, Commodities, Manufacturing, Spillovers, Trade, export intensity, final demand

Using a panel vector autoregression and a novel measure of export-intensity-adjusted final demand, this note studies spillovers from China's economic transition on export growth in 46 advanced and emerging market e...

World Trade in Services

World Trade in Services »

Source: World Trade in Services : Evidence from A New Dataset

Volume/Issue: 2017/77

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Prakash Loungani , Saurabh Mishra , Chris Papageorgiou , and Ke Wang

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 29 March 2017

ISBN: 9781475589887

Keywords: Economic growth, Globalization, Trade in services, sector-level data, technology, Country and Industry Studies of Trade, Economic Growth of Open Economies, General, Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development, One

Using a newly constructed dataset on trade in services for 192 countries from 1970 to 2014, this paper shows that services currently constitute one-fourth of world trade and an increasingly important component of g...

A Tale of Two Sectors

A Tale of Two Sectors »

Source: A Tale of Two Sectors : Why is Misallocation Higher in Services than in Manufacturing?

Volume/Issue: 2016/220

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Daniel Dias , Christine Richmond , and Carlos Robalo Marques

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 15 November 2016

ISBN: 9781475553796

Keywords: Econometric models, Labor markets, Manufacturing sector, Portugal, Portugal, Productivity, Developed countries, Capital, Services, Total factor productivity

Recent empirical studies document that the level of resource misallocation in the service sector is significantly higher than in the manufacturing sector. We quantify the importance of this difference and study its...

Budget Support Versus Project Aid

Budget Support Versus Project Aid »

Source: Budget Support Versus Project Aid

Volume/Issue: 2003/88

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Tito Cordella , and Giovanni Dell'Ariccia

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2003

ISBN: 9781451851182

Keywords: aid policy, asymmetric information, empirical growth models, budget support, budget surplus, capital expenditures, budget constraint, capital expenditure, Asymmetric and Private Information, Welfare and Poverty: General

Should donors who are interested in the effectiveness of developmental programs rely on conditional budget support or on project aid? To answer this question, we present a model in which only a subset of the develo...

Spillovers from the Maturing of China's Economy

Spillovers from the Maturing of China's Economy »

Source: Spillovers from the Maturing of China's Economy

Volume/Issue: 2016/212

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Allan Dizioli , Benjamin Hunt , and Wojciech Maliszewski

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 08 November 2016

ISBN: 9781475552225

Keywords: Spillovers, Asia and Pacific, China’;s slowdown and rebalancing, international business cycle, model based analysis, China&;amp;#x2019;s slowdown and rebalancing, Computable General Equilibrium Models, Forecasting and Simulation, Open Economy Macroeconomics, International Business Cycles

China's transition to a new growth model continues and the impact has been felt across the globe. Several trends contribute to the ‘maturing' of China's economy: i) structural slowing on the convergence path; ii) o...

Managing Reductions in Aid Inflows: Assessing Policy Choices in Haiti

Managing Reductions in Aid Inflows: Assessing Policy Choices in Haiti »

Source: Managing Reductions in Aid Inflows: Assessing Policy Choices in Haiti

Volume/Issue: 2018/198

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ioana Moldovan , Marina Rousset , and Chris Walker

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 11 September 2018

ISBN: 9781484370322

Keywords: Capital inflows, Fiscal policy, Haiti, Low-income developing countries, Monetary policy, Public investment, Foreign aid, General equilibrium models, International reserves, Central banks and their policies

A low-income country such as Haiti that confronts an environment of diminishing aid inflows must assess tradeoffs among the available policy options: spending cuts, monetization, sales of debt, or use of foreign re...