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What Undermines Aid's Impact on Growth?

What Undermines Aid's Impact on Growth? »

Source: What Undermines Aid's Impact on Growth?

Volume/Issue: 2005/126

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Arvind Subramanian , and Raghuram Rajan

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2005

ISBN: 9781451861457

Keywords: Growth, Competitiveness, exchange rate, standard deviation, real exchange rate, exchange rate overvaluation, standard errors, Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity: General,

We examine one of the most important and intriguing puzzles in economics: why it is so hard to find a robust effect of aid on the long-term growth of poor countries, even those with good policies. We look for a pos...

Characterizing Exchange Rate Regimes in Post-Crisis East Asia

Characterizing Exchange Rate Regimes in Post-Crisis East Asia »

Source: Characterizing Exchange Rate Regimes in Post-Crisis East Asia

Volume/Issue: 2001/152

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Taimur Baig

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2001

ISBN: 9781451857092

Keywords: exchange rate regime, volatility, Asian crisis, exchange rate, exchange rates, random walk, exchange rate volatility, standard deviation, International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions,

This paper examines the behavior of the exchange rates of selected emerging market East Asian economies in the aftermath of the Asian crisis. The results suggest that movements in the Asia-5 currencies (Indonesia,...

A Perspectiveon Predicting Currency Crises

A Perspectiveon Predicting Currency Crises »

Source: A Perspectiveon Predicting Currency Crises

Volume/Issue: 2010/227

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Robert Flood , Juan Yepez , and Nancy Marion

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2010

ISBN: 9781455208920

Keywords: Speculative attacks, fixed exchange rate, Monte Carlo, probabilities, standard deviation, probability, correlation,

Currency crises are difficult to predict. It could be that we are choosing the wrong variables or using the wrong models or adopting measurement techniques not up to the task. We set up a Monte Carlo experiment des...

Global Volatility and Forex Returns in East Asia1

Global Volatility and Forex Returns in East Asia1 »

Source: Global Volatility and Forex Returns in East Asia

Volume/Issue: 2008/208

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Sanjay Kalra

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2008

ISBN: 9781451870664

Keywords: Forex returns, GARCH models, volatility, exchange rate, standard deviation, statistics, heteroscedasticity,

During 2001-07, increases in mature market volatility were associated with declines in forex returns for East Asian countries, consistent with an overall "flight to safety" effect. Estimates from GARCH models sugge...

What Undermines Aid's Impact on Growth?

What Undermines Aid's Impact on Growth? »

Volume/Issue: 2005/126

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Arvind Subramanian , and Raghuram Rajan

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2005

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451861457.001

ISBN: 9781451861457

Keywords: Growth, Competitiveness, exchange rate, standard deviation, real exchange rate, exchange rate overvaluation, standard errors, Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity: General,

We examine one of the most important and intriguing puzzles in economics: why it is so hard to find a robust effect of aid on the long-term growth of poor countries, even those with good policies. We look for a pos...

Characterizing Exchange Rate Regimes in Post-Crisis East Asia

Characterizing Exchange Rate Regimes in Post-Crisis East Asia »

Volume/Issue: 2001/152

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Taimur Baig

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2001

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451857092.001

ISBN: 9781451857092

Keywords: exchange rate regime, volatility, Asian crisis, exchange rate, exchange rates, random walk, exchange rate volatility, standard deviation, International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions,

This paper examines the behavior of the exchange rates of selected emerging market East Asian economies in the aftermath of the Asian crisis. The results suggest that movements in the Asia-5 currencies (Indonesia,...

A Perspectiveon Predicting Currency Crises

A Perspectiveon Predicting Currency Crises »

Volume/Issue: 2010/227

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Robert Flood , Juan Yepez , and Nancy Marion

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2010

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781455208920.001

ISBN: 9781455208920

Keywords: Speculative attacks, fixed exchange rate, Monte Carlo, probabilities, standard deviation, probability, correlation,

Currency crises are difficult to predict. It could be that we are choosing the wrong variables or using the wrong models or adopting measurement techniques not up to the task. We set up a Monte Carlo experiment des...

Global Volatility and Forex Returns in East Asia

Global Volatility and Forex Returns in East Asia »

Volume/Issue: 2008/208

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Sanjay Kalra

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2008

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451870664.001

ISBN: 9781451870664

Keywords: Forex returns, GARCH models, volatility, exchange rate, standard deviation, statistics, heteroscedasticity,

During 2001-07, increases in mature market volatility were associated with declines in forex returns for East Asian countries, consistent with an overall "flight to safety" effect. Estimates from GARCH models sugge...