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The Behavior of Currencies during Risk-off Episodes1

The Behavior of Currencies during Risk-off Episodes1 »

Source: The Behavior of Currencies during Risk-off Episodes

Volume/Issue: 2013/8

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Reinout De Bock , and Irineu de Carvalho Filho

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 11 January 2013

ISBN: 9781557755308

Keywords: Risk-off episodes, safe haven currencies, exchange rate, currency markets, capital flows, global financial crisis,

Episodes of increased global risk aversion, also known as risk-off episodes, have become more frequent and severe since 2007. During these episodes, currency markets exhibit recurrent patterns, as the Japanese yen,...

Crisis and Recovery

Crisis and Recovery »

Source: Crisis and Recovery : Role of the Exchange Rate Regime in Emerging Market Countries

Volume/Issue: 2010/242

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Charalambos Tsangarides

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2010

ISBN: 9781455209422

Keywords: Global financial crisis, fixed exchange rate, growth, emerging market economies, exchange rate regime, exchange rate, current account balance, terms of trade

This paper examines the role of the exchange rate regime in explaining how emerging market economies fared in the recent global financial crisis, particularly in terms of output losses and growth resilience. After...

Shock Therapy! What Role for Thai Monetary Policy?

Shock Therapy! What Role for Thai Monetary Policy? »

Source: Shock Therapy! What Role for Thai Monetary Policy?

Volume/Issue: 2012/269

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Harun Alp , and Selim Elekdag

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 08 November 2012

ISBN: 9781475542851

Keywords: financial accelerator, Bayesian estimation, DSGE model, global financial crisis, Thai floods, emerging markets, exchange rate, inflation, exchange rate regime, emerging markets.

Thailand had to endure three major shocks during 2008-2011: the global financial crisis, the Japanese earthquake, and the Thai floods of 2011. Over this period, consistent with its inflation targeting framework, th...

The U.S. Manufacturing Recovery: Uptick or Renaissance?

The U.S. Manufacturing Recovery: Uptick or Renaissance? »

Source: The U.S. Manufacturing Recovery : Uptick or Renaissance?

Volume/Issue: 2014/28

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Oya Celasun , Gabriel Di Bella , Tim Mahedy , and Chris Papageorgiou

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 12 February 2014

ISBN: 9781484301821

Keywords: U.S. manufacturing sector, durable and nondurable subsectors, Global Financial Crisis, shale gas, exchange rate, growth, gas, recession, oil, employment

The notable rebound of U.S. manufacturing activity following the Great Recession has raised the question of whether the sector might be experiencing a renaissance. Using panel regressions, we find that a depreciati...

A Quantitative Assessment of Financial Conditions in Asia

A Quantitative Assessment of Financial Conditions in Asia »

Source: A Quantitative Assessment of Financial Conditions in Asia

Volume/Issue: 2011/170

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Carolina Osorio Buitron , Filiz Unsal , and Runchana Pongsaparn

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 2011

ISBN: 9781462314331

Keywords: Financial sector, Economic growth, Economic conditions, Asia, Forecasting models, Gross domestic product, Global Financial Crisis 2008-2009, Financial conditions index, VAR, Dynamic Factor Analysis

We propose a new Financial Condition Index (FCI) for Asian economies based on two different methodologies: a VAR model and a Dynamic Factor Model. The paper shows that this index has predictive power in forecasting...

The Credit Boom in the EU New Member States

The Credit Boom in the EU New Member States »

Source: The Credit Boom in the EU New Member States : Bad Luck or Bad Policies?

Volume/Issue: 2010/130

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2010

ISBN: 9781455201136

Keywords: credit boom, sudden stop, global financial crisis, capital inflows, exchange rate, subsidiaries, foreign exchange, Financial Aspects of Economic Integration, Open Economy Macroeconomics, International Policy Coordination and Transmission

In the past decade, most of the EU New Member States experienced a severe credit-boom bust cycle. This paper argues that the credit boom-bust cycle was to a large extent the result of factors external to the region...

Global Shocks and their Impacton Low-Income Countries

Global Shocks and their Impacton Low-Income Countries »

Source: Global Shocks and their Impacton Low-Income Countries : Lessons From theglobal Financial Crisis

Volume/Issue: 2011/27

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Chris Papageorgiou , Hans Weisfeld , Catherine Pattillo , Martin Schindler , Nicola Spatafora , and Andrew Berg

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2011

ISBN: 9781455216741

Keywords: Global financial crisis, Low-income countries, Short-run growth, terms of trade, regression analysis, output growth, exchange rate regime, Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: General, Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity: General,

This paper investigates the short-run effects of the 2007-09 global financial crisis on growth in (mainly non-fuel exporting) low-income countries (LICs). Four conclusions stand out. First, for many individual LICs...

The End of An Era? the Medium- and Long-Term Effects of the Global Crisison Growth in Low-Income Countries1

The End of An Era? the Medium- and Long-Term Effects of the Global Crisison Growth in Low-Income Countries1 »

Source: The End of An Era? the Medium- and Long-Term Effects of the Global Crisison Growth in Low-Income Countries

Volume/Issue: 2010/205

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Chris Papageorgiou , Andrew Berg , Catherine Pattillo , and Nicola Spatafora

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2010

ISBN: 9781455205363

Keywords: Global financial crisis, low-income countries, medium- and long-term growth, impulse response functions, growth spells, panel growth regressions, terms of trade, pre-crisis, post-crisis growth, exchange rate regime

This paper investigates the medium- and long-term growth effects of the global financial crises on Low-Income Countries (LICs). Using several methodological approaches, including impulse response function analysis,...

The Behavior of Currencies during Risk-off Episodes

The Behavior of Currencies during Risk-off Episodes »

Volume/Issue: 2013/8

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Reinout De Bock , and Irineu de Carvalho Filho

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 11 January 2013

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781557755308.001

ISBN: 9781557755308

Keywords: Risk-off episodes, safe haven currencies, exchange rate, currency markets, capital flows, global financial crisis,

Episodes of increased global risk aversion, also known as risk-off episodes, have become more frequent and severe since 2007. During these episodes, currency markets exhibit recurrent patterns, as the Japanese yen,...

Crisis and Recovery
			: Role of the Exchange Rate Regime in Emerging Market Countries

Crisis and Recovery : Role of the Exchange Rate Regime in Emerging Market Countries »

Volume/Issue: 2010/242

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Charalambos Tsangarides

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2010

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781455209422.001

ISBN: 9781455209422

Keywords: Global financial crisis, fixed exchange rate, growth, emerging market economies, exchange rate regime, exchange rate, current account balance, terms of trade

This paper examines the role of the exchange rate regime in explaining how emerging market economies fared in the recent global financial crisis, particularly in terms of output losses and growth resilience. After...