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In Which Exchange Rate Models Do Forecasters Trust?

In Which Exchange Rate Models Do Forecasters Trust? »

Source: In Which Exchange Rate Models Do Forecasters Trust?

Volume/Issue: 2011/116

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jaewoo Lee , H. Takizawa , and David Hauner

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2011

ISBN: 9781455262397

Keywords: Exchange rate models, exchange rate, exchange rates, current account, interest rate, exchange rate regime, International Finance Forecasting and Simulation,

Using survey data of market expectations, we ask which popular exchange rate models appear to be consistent with expectation formation of market forecasters. Exchange rate expectations are found to be correlated wi...

Evolution and Performance of Exchange Rate Regimes1

Evolution and Performance of Exchange Rate Regimes1 »

Source: Evolution and Performance of Exchange Rate Regimes

Volume/Issue: 2003/243

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Aasim Husain , Ashoka Mody , Nienke Oomes , Robin Brooks , and Kenneth Rogoff

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2003

ISBN: 9781451875843

Keywords: economic performance, exchange rate, inflation, exchange rate regime, exchange rates, International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions, Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance, Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles,

Using recent advances in the classification of exchange rate regimes, this paper finds no support for the popular bipolar view that countries will tend over time to move to the polar extremes of free float or rigid...

Fiscal Policy and the Real Exchange Rate

Fiscal Policy and the Real Exchange Rate »

Source: Fiscal Policy and the Real Exchange Rate

Volume/Issue: 2012/52

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Santanu Chatterjee , and Azer Mursagulov

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2012

ISBN: 9781463937133

Keywords: real exchange rate, intersectoral adjustment costs, exchange rate, government spending, government spending shocks, Macroeconomic Aspects Of International Trade And Finance, National Government Expenditures And Related Policies,

Government spending on infrastructure has recently increased sharply in many emerging-market economies. This paper examines the mechanism through which public infrastructure spending affects the dynamics of the rea...

Bank Asset Quality in Emerging Markets

Bank Asset Quality in Emerging Markets »

Source: Bank Asset Quality in Emerging Markets : Determinants and Spillovers

Volume/Issue: 2012/71

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Reinout De Bock , and Alexander Demyanets

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2012

ISBN: 9781475502237

Keywords: Macro-financial linkages, Nonperforming loans, Exchange rate, Panel regressions, capital inflows, net capital flows, exchange rates, Bank Asset Quality in Emerging Markets, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, International Finance: General

This paper assesses the vulnerability of emerging markets and their banks to aggregate shocks. We find significant links between banks' asset quality, credit and macroeconomic aggregates. Lower economic growth, an...

Exchange Market Pressure, Currency Crises, and Monetary Policy

Exchange Market Pressure, Currency Crises, and Monetary Policy »

Source: Exchange Market Pressure, Currency Crises, and Monetary Policy : Additional Evidence From Emerging Markets

Volume/Issue: 2002/14

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Evan Tanner

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 2002

ISBN: 9781451843132

Keywords: currency crisis, exchange market pressure, exchange rate, vector autoregression, inflation, monetary base, money supply, central bank, Money And Interest Rates, Macroeconomic Aspects Of International Trade And Finance,

This paper extends my previous work by examining the relationship between monetary policy and exchange market pressure (EMP) in 32 emerging market countries. EMP is a gauge of the severity of crises, and part of th...

Fiscal Stimulus and Credibility in Emerging Countries

Fiscal Stimulus and Credibility in Emerging Countries »

Source: Fiscal Stimulus and Credibility in Emerging Countries

Volume/Issue: 2010/123

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Magda Kandil , and Hanan Morsy

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2010

ISBN: 9781455200825

Keywords: credibility, effectiveness, cyclicality, fiscal impulse, exchange rate, fiscal expansion, Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook: General, Open Economy Macroeconomics,

Across a sample of thirty four emerging countries, the evidence shows the frequent existence of a pro-cyclical fiscal impulse. However, the scope for countercyclical policy increases with the availability of intern...

The Role of IMF Support in Crisis Prevention

The Role of IMF Support in Crisis Prevention »

Source: The Role of IMF Support in Crisis Prevention

Volume/Issue: 2006/75

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Uma Ramakrishnan , and Juan Zalduendo

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2006

ISBN: 9781451863352

Keywords: IMF financing, capital account crisis, cluster analysis, exchange rate, private capital flows, private capital, capital outflows, International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions, International Lending and Debt Problems, Economic History: Financial Markets and Institutions: General

This paper examines the role of IMF-supported programs in crisis prevention; specifically, whether, conditional on an episode of intense market pressures, IMF financial support helps prevent a capital account crisi...

In Which Exchange Rate Models Do Forecasters Trust?

In Which Exchange Rate Models Do Forecasters Trust? »

Volume/Issue: 2011/116

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jaewoo Lee , H. Takizawa , and David Hauner

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2011

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781455262397.001

ISBN: 9781455262397

Keywords: Exchange rate models, exchange rate, exchange rates, current account, interest rate, exchange rate regime, International Finance Forecasting and Simulation,

Using survey data of market expectations, we ask which popular exchange rate models appear to be consistent with expectation formation of market forecasters. Exchange rate expectations are found to be correlated wi...

Evolution and Performance of Exchange Rate Regimes

Evolution and Performance of Exchange Rate Regimes »

Volume/Issue: 2003/243

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Aasim Husain , Ashoka Mody , Nienke Oomes , Robin Brooks , and Kenneth Rogoff

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2003

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451875843.001

ISBN: 9781451875843

Keywords: economic performance, exchange rate, inflation, exchange rate regime, exchange rates, International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions, Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance, Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles,

Using recent advances in the classification of exchange rate regimes, this paper finds no support for the popular bipolar view that countries will tend over time to move to the polar extremes of free float or rigid...

Fiscal Policy and the Real Exchange Rate

Fiscal Policy and the Real Exchange Rate »

Volume/Issue: 2012/52

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Santanu Chatterjee , and Azer Mursagulov

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2012

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781463937133.001

ISBN: 9781463937133

Keywords: real exchange rate, intersectoral adjustment costs, exchange rate, government spending, government spending shocks, Macroeconomic Aspects Of International Trade And Finance, National Government Expenditures And Related Policies,

Government spending on infrastructure has recently increased sharply in many emerging-market economies. This paper examines the mechanism through which public infrastructure spending affects the dynamics of the rea...