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The Determinants of Corporate Risk in Emerging Markets

The Determinants of Corporate Risk in Emerging Markets »

Source: The Determinants of Corporate Risk in Emerging Markets : An Option-Adjusted Spread Analysis

Volume/Issue: 2007/228

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Eduardo Cavallo , and Patricio Valenzuela

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2007

ISBN: 9781451867923

Keywords: Corporate bond spreads, sovereign ceiling, default risk, emerging market, bond, sovereign risk, corporate bond, bond spreads,

This study explores the determinants of corporate bond spreads in emerging markets economies. Using a largely unexploited dataset, the paper finds that corporate bond spreads are determined by firm-specific variabl...

Assessing Loss of Market Access: Conceptual and Operational Issues

Assessing Loss of Market Access: Conceptual and Operational Issues »

Source: Assessing Loss of Market Access: Conceptual and Operational Issues

Volume/Issue: 2017/246

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Anastasia Guscina , Sheheryar Malik , and Michael Papaioannou

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 15 November 2017

ISBN: 9781484324936

Keywords: Market Access, Sovereign Debt Restructuring; Default; Bond Spreads, Sovereign Debt Restructuring, Default, Bond Spreads, Assessing Loss of Market Access:

Loss of market access (LMA) is a central element and an exacerbator of balance of payments and fiscal crises. This paper provides an operational definition of LMA, examines the predictive power of potential LMA lea...

How do Experts Forecast Sovereign Spreads?*

How do Experts Forecast Sovereign Spreads?* »

Source: How do Experts Forecast Sovereign Spreads?

Volume/Issue: 2016/100

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jacopo Cimadomo , Peter Claeys , and Marcos Poplawski-Ribeiro

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 20 May 2016

ISBN: 9781484362068

Keywords: market expectations, sovereign bond spreads, survey data, Consensus Economics.

This paper assesses how forecasting experts form their expectations about future government bond spreads. Using monthly survey forecasts for France, Italy and the United Kingdom between January 1993 and October 201...

Determinants of Sovereign Bond Spreads in Emerging Markets

Determinants of Sovereign Bond Spreads in Emerging Markets »

Source: Determinants of Sovereign Bond Spreads in Emerging Markets : Local Fundamentals and Global Factors vs. Ever-Changing Misalignments

Volume/Issue: 2013/164

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Balazs Csonto , and Iryna Ivaschenko

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 10 July 2013

ISBN: 9781475573206

Keywords: Emerging market debt, spreads, misalignment, bond, bond spreads, emerging market bond, market bond, Asset Pricing,

We analyze the relationship between global and country-specific factors and emerging market debt spreads from three different angles. First, we aim to disentangle the effect of global and country-specific developme...

Emerging Market Spread Compression

Emerging Market Spread Compression »

Source: Emerging Market Spread Compression : Is it Real or is it Liquidity?

Volume/Issue: 2008/10

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Laura Kodres , Kristian Hartelius , and Kenichiro Kashiwase

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 2008

ISBN: 9781451868722

Keywords: Sovereign Spreads, Fundamentals, bond, bond spreads, market bond, emerging market bond, standard deviation,

Despite recent turmoil, spreads on emerging market countries' sovereign bonds have fallen dramatically since mid-2002. Some have attributed the fall to improved economic fundamentals while others to ample global li...

What Drives Contagion

What Drives Contagion »

Source: What Drives Contagion : Trade Neighborhood, or Financial Links?

Volume/Issue: 2001/29

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Rodrigo Valdes , and Leonardo Hernández

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2001

ISBN: 9781451844801

Keywords: Contagion, Bond Spreads, Stock Market, Crisis Transmission, bond, sovereign bond, International Finance: General,

This paper presents evidence on the relative importance of alternative contagion channels during the Thai, Russian, and Brazilian crises. Results show that when crises are measured by changes in sovereign bond spre...

Financial Contagion and Investor "Learning"

Financial Contagion and Investor "Learning" »

Source: Financial Contagion and Investor "Learning" : An Empirical Investigation

Volume/Issue: 2002/218

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ritu Basu

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2002

ISBN: 9781451875157

Keywords: Contagion, trader behavior, herding, sunspots, learning, bond, currency crises, bond spreads, bond market, International Finance: General,

There have been several episodes of financial market "contagion" in the 1990s. Is contagion driven by herd behavior? Does it reflect fundamental economic linkages between countries? Or are episodes of contagion dri...

Investors' Risk Appetite and Global Financial Market Conditions

Investors' Risk Appetite and Global Financial Market Conditions »

Source: Investors' Risk Appetite and Global Financial Market Conditions

Volume/Issue: 2008/85

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Brenda Gonzalez-Hermosillo

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2008

ISBN: 9781451869460

Keywords: volatility risk, default risk, risk appetite, financial markets, bond, global financial markets, bond spreads, financial market,

A structural vector autoregression model is developed to analyze the dynamics of bond spreads among a sample of mature and developing countries during periods of financial stress in the last decade. The model ident...

Country Transparency and the Global Transmission of Financial Shocks

Country Transparency and the Global Transmission of Financial Shocks »

Source: Country Transparency and the Global Transmission of Financial Shocks

Volume/Issue: 2013/156

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Luis Brandao Marques , R. Gelos , and Natalia Melgar

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 03 July 2013

ISBN: 9781484397237

Keywords: transmission of global financial shocks, bond, stock returns, equity markets, bond spreads, bond returns, Asset Pricing,

This paper considers the role of country-level opacity (the lack of availability of information) in amplifying shocks emanating from financial centers. We provide a simple model where, in the presence of ambiguity...

Global Liquidity, Risk Premiums and Growth Opportunities

Global Liquidity, Risk Premiums and Growth Opportunities »

Source: Global Liquidity, Risk Premiums and Growth Opportunities

Volume/Issue: 2009/52

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Gianni De Nicolo , and Iryna Ivaschenko

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2009

ISBN: 9781451872002

Keywords: Risk Premiums, Growth Opportunities, bond, equity markets, bond spreads, equity market,

This paper constructs new indicators of liquidity for equity, bond and money markets in major advanced and emerging market countries, documents their evolution and comovements, and assesses the extent to which such...