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New Indicators for Tracking Growth in Real Time

New Indicators for Tracking Growth in Real Time »

Source: New Indicators for Tracking Growth in Real Time

Volume/Issue: 2011/43

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Troy Matheson

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2011

ISBN: 9781455218998

Keywords: Nowcasting, Short-term forecasting, Real-time data, gdp growth, forecasting, real gdp, equation, Model Construction and Estimation, Forecasting and Other Model Applications, General Aggregative Models: Forecasting and Simulation,

We develop monthly indicators for tracking growth in 32 advanced and emerging-market economies. We test the historical performance of our indicators and find that they do a good job at describing the business cycle...

Real-time Forecasts of Economic Activity for Latin American Economies

Real-time Forecasts of Economic Activity for Latin American Economies »

Source: Real-time Forecasts of Economic Activity for Latin American Economies

Volume/Issue: 2011/98

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Philip Liu , Rafael Romeu , and Troy Matheson

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2011

ISBN: 9781455254293

Keywords: Nowcasting, Short-term forecasting, Real-time data, and Latin America, gdp growth, forecasting, real gdp, equation, equations, Model Construction and Estimation

Macroeconomic policy decisions in real-time are based the assessment of current and future economic conditions. These assessments are made difficult by the presence of incomplete and noisy data. The problem is more...

In Search of Information: Use of Google Trends' Data to Narrow Information Gaps for Low-income Developing Countries*

In Search of Information: Use of Google Trends' Data to Narrow Information Gaps for Low-income Developing Countries* »

Source: In Search of Information: Use of Google Trends' Data to Narrow Information Gaps for Low-income Developing Countries

Volume/Issue: 2018/286

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Futoshi Narita , and Rujun Yin

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 14 December 2018

ISBN: 9781484390177

Keywords: International finance, Low-income developing countries, Economic growth, Inflation, Capital flows, Google search volume index, Nighttime lights, Nowcasting, Short-term forecasting, Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development

Timely data availability is a long-standing challenge in policy-making and analysis for low-income developing countries. This paper explores the use of Google Trends' data to narrow such information gaps and finds...

New Indicators for Tracking Growth in Real Time

New Indicators for Tracking Growth in Real Time »

Volume/Issue: 2011/43

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Troy Matheson

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2011

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781455218998.001

ISBN: 9781455218998

Keywords: Nowcasting, Short-term forecasting, Real-time data, gdp growth, forecasting, real gdp, equation, Model Construction and Estimation, Forecasting and Other Model Applications, General Aggregative Models: Forecasting and Simulation,

We develop monthly indicators for tracking growth in 32 advanced and emerging-market economies. We test the historical performance of our indicators and find that they do a good job at describing the business cycle...

Real-time Forecasts of Economic Activity for Latin American Economies

Real-time Forecasts of Economic Activity for Latin American Economies »

Volume/Issue: 2011/98

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Philip Liu , Rafael Romeu , and Troy Matheson

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2011

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781455254293.001

ISBN: 9781455254293

Keywords: Nowcasting, Short-term forecasting, Real-time data, and Latin America, gdp growth, forecasting, real gdp, equation, equations, Model Construction and Estimation

Macroeconomic policy decisions in real-time are based the assessment of current and future economic conditions. These assessments are made difficult by the presence of incomplete and noisy data. The problem is more...

In Search of Information: Use of Google Trends' Data to Narrow Information Gaps for Low-income Developing Countries

In Search of Information: Use of Google Trends' Data to Narrow Information Gaps for Low-income Developing Countries »

Volume/Issue: 2018/286

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Futoshi Narita , and Rujun Yin

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 14 December 2018

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484390177.001

ISBN: 9781484390177

Keywords: International finance, Low-income developing countries, Economic growth, Inflation, Capital flows, Google search volume index, Nighttime lights, Nowcasting, Short-term forecasting, Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development

Timely data availability is a long-standing challenge in policy-making and analysis for low-income developing countries. This paper explores the use of Google Trends' data to narrow such information gaps and finds...