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Inflation Targeting and Communication

Inflation Targeting and Communication »

Source: Inflation Targeting and Communication : It Pays Off to Read Inflation Reports

Volume/Issue: 2008/234

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Katerina Smídková , Viktor Kotlán , David Navrátil , and Ales Bulir

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2008

ISBN: 9781451870923

Keywords: inflation, central bank, inflation forecasts

Inflation-targeting central banks have a respectable track record at explaining their policy actions and corresponding inflation outturns. Using a simple forward-looking policy rule and an assessment of inflation r...

United Kingdom

United Kingdom »

Source: United Kingdom : Selected Issues Paper

Volume/Issue: 2011/221

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2011

ISBN: 9781462337521

Keywords: inflation equation, inflation rate, annual inflation, forecasting inflation

In recent years, the IMF has released a growing number of reports and other documents covering economic and financial developments and trends in member countries. Each report, prepared by a staff team after discuss...

United Kingdom: Selected Issues Paper

United Kingdom: Selected Issues Paper »

Source: United Kingdom : Selected Issues Paper

Volume/Issue: 2011/221

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2011

ISBN: 9781462337521

Keywords: inflation equation, inflation rate, annual inflation, forecasting inflation

In recent years, the IMF has released a growing number of reports and other documents covering economic and financial developments and trends in member countries. Each report, prepared by a staff team after discuss...

United Kingdom: Selected Issues Paper

United Kingdom: Selected Issues Paper »

Source: United Kingdom : Selected Issues Paper

Volume/Issue: 2011/221

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2011

ISBN: 9781462337521

Keywords: inflation equation, inflation rate, annual inflation, forecasting inflation

In recent years, the IMF has released a growing number of reports and other documents covering economic and financial developments and trends in member countries. Each report, prepared by a staff team after discuss...

Imperfect Central Bank Communication - Information versus Distraction*

Imperfect Central Bank Communication - Information versus Distraction* »

Source: Imperfect Central Bank Communication - Information versus Distraction

Volume/Issue: 2008/60

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Athanasios Orphanides , Spencer Dale , and Pär Österholm

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2008

ISBN: 9781451869224

Keywords: Forecasts, Learning, inflation, central bank,

Much of the information communicated by central banks is noisy or imperfect. This paper considers the potential benefits and limitations of central bank communications in a model of imperfect knowledge and learning...

Simulating Inflation Forecasting in Real-Time

Simulating Inflation Forecasting in Real-Time »

Source: Simulating Inflation Forecasting in Real-Time : How Useful Is a Simple Phillips Curve in Germany, the UK, and the US?

Volume/Issue: 2010/52

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jens Clausen , and Bianca Clausen

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2010

ISBN: 9781451963380

Keywords: Real-time data, output gap, Phillips curve, inflation forecast, monetary policy, forecasting inflation, inflation forecasts,

This paper simulates out-of-sample inflation forecasting for Germany, the UK, and the US. In contrast to other studies, we use output gaps estimated with unrevised real-time GDP data. This exercise assumes an infor...

Writing Clearly

Writing Clearly »

Source: Writing Clearly : ECB's Monetary Policy Communication

Volume/Issue: 2008/252

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Martin Cihak , Katerina Smídková , and Ales Bulir

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2008

ISBN: 9781451871104

Keywords: Communication, inflation, central bank, inflation forecasts, inflation target,

The paper presents a methodology for measuring the clarity of central bank communication, illustrating it with the case of the European Central Bank (ECB) in 1999-2007. The analysis identifies the ECB's written com...

Monetary Policy Transparency and Financial Market Forecasts in South Africa

Monetary Policy Transparency and Financial Market Forecasts in South Africa »

Source: Monetary Policy Transparency and Financial Market Forecasts in South Africa

Volume/Issue: 2007/123

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Vivek Arora

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2007

ISBN: 9781451866872

Keywords: inflation, inflation forecasts, monetary policy transparency, inflation targeting

The transparency of monetary policy in South Africa has increased substantially since the end of the 1990s; but little empirical work has been done to examine the economic benefits of the increased transparency. Th...

Setting the Operational Framework for Producing Inflation Forecasts

Setting the Operational Framework for Producing Inflation Forecasts »

Source: Setting the Operational Framework for Producing Inflation Forecasts

Volume/Issue: 2006/122

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Turgut Kisinbay , Eric Parrado , Rodolfo Maino , and Jorge Canales Kriljenko

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2006

ISBN: 9781451863826

Keywords: Inflation forecasting, communication, central bank, inflation forecasts, Money and Interest Rates: Forecasting and Simulation,

How should a central bank organize itself to produce the best possible inflation forecast? This paper discusses elements for building a comprehensive platform for an inflation forecasting framework. It describes th...

New Zealand

New Zealand »

Source: New Zealand : Recent Economic Developments

Volume/Issue: 1996/14

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 20 February 1996

ISBN: 9781451830132

Keywords: inflation, monetary policy, monetary conditions, price stability, inflation forecasts

This paper reviews economic developments in New Zealand during 1992-95. According to the production measure, growth began to pick up in the middle of 1991, rising to about 3 percent in 1992/93, before jumping to ne...