Search Results

You are looking at 1 - 10 of 50 items

  • Keyword: Financial Forecasting and Simulation... x
  • Keywords: Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, x
Clear All Modify Search
How Financial Conditions Matter Differently across Latin America

How Financial Conditions Matter Differently across Latin America »

Source: How Financial Conditions Matter Differently across Latin America

Volume/Issue: 2017/218

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Luis Brandao-Marques , and Esther Perez Ruiz

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 30 October 2017

ISBN: 9781484325506

Keywords: Financial conditions indexes, TVP-FAVAR, financial spillovers, Forecasting and Simulation, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, General

This paper develops comparable financial conditions indices (FCIs) for the six large and most financially-integrated Latin American economies (LA6) by following Korobilis (2013) and Koop and Korobilis (2014). The m...

How Financial Conditions Matter Differently across Latin America

How Financial Conditions Matter Differently across Latin America »

Volume/Issue: 2017/218

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Luis Brandao-Marques , and Esther Perez Ruiz

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 30 October 2017

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484325506.001

ISBN: 9781484325506

Keywords: Financial conditions indexes, TVP-FAVAR, financial spillovers, Forecasting and Simulation, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, General

This paper develops comparable financial conditions indices (FCIs) for the six large and most financially-integrated Latin American economies (LA6) by following Korobilis (2013) and Koop and Korobilis (2014). The m...

Reversing the Financial Accelerator

Reversing the Financial Accelerator »

Source: Reversing the Financial Accelerator : Credit Conditions and Macro-Financial Linkages

Volume/Issue: 2011/26

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Tamim Bayoumi , and Reginald Darius

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2011

ISBN: 9781455216734

Keywords: Financial conditions index, credit conditions, survey, statistics, inflation, Money and Interest Rates: Forecasting and Simulation, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy,

This paper examines the role of credit markets in the transmission of U.S. macro-financial shocks through the prism of a financial conditions index (FCI) based on a vector autoregression (VAR) methodology. It explo...

Systemic Risk Assessment in Low Income Countries

Systemic Risk Assessment in Low Income Countries »

Source: Systemic Risk Assessment in Low Income Countries : Balancing Financial Stability and Development

Volume/Issue: 2015/190

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Daniela Marchettini , and Rodolfo Maino

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 12 August 2015

ISBN: 9781513545882

Keywords: Early Warning Indicators, Financial Deepening, credit, bis, risk, banking, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, Financial Forecasting and Simulation,

We propose a toolkit for the assessment of systemic risk buildup in low income countries. We show that, due to non-linearity in the relationship between credit and financial stability, the assessment should be cond...

Towards Macroprudential Stress Testing

Towards Macroprudential Stress Testing »

Source: Towards Macroprudential Stress Testing : Incorporating Macro-Feedback Effects

Volume/Issue: 2017/149

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ivo Krznar , and Troy Matheson

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 30 June 2017

ISBN: 9781484303634

Keywords: Stress testing, macro feedback effects, solvency risk, credit crunch, Forecasting and Simulation, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, Financial Forecasting and Simulation

Macro-feedback effects have been identified as a key missing element for more effective macro-prudential stress testing. To fill this gap, this paper develops a framework that facilitates the analysis of both the d...

Financial Conditions Indexes for the United States and Euro Area

Financial Conditions Indexes for the United States and Euro Area »

Source: Financial Conditions Indexes for the United States and Euro Area

Volume/Issue: 2011/93

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Troy Matheson

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2011

ISBN: 9781455253326

Keywords: Financial Conditions, Short-term Forecasting, Real-Time Data, forecasting, bond, bond spread, government bond, bond yield, General Aggregative Models: Forecasting and Simulation, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy,

Financial conditions indexes are developed for the United States and euro area using a wide range of financial indicators and a dynamic factor model. The financial conditions indexes are shown to be useful for fore...

Macroeconomic Model Spillovers and  Their Discontents1

Macroeconomic Model Spillovers and Their Discontents1 »

Source: Macroeconomic Model Spillovers and Their Discontents

Volume/Issue: 2013/4

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Tamim Bayoumi , and Francis Vitek

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 08 January 2013

ISBN: 9781475519860

Keywords: Growth spillovers, macroeconomic models, international financial links, bond, bond yields, financial market, financial markets, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, International Policy Coordination and Transmission, Forecasting and Simulation,

The Great Recession underlined that policies in some countries can have profound spillovers elsewhere. Sadly, the solution of simulating large macroeconomic models to measure these spillovers has been found wanting...

Reversing the Financial Accelerator
			: Credit Conditions and Macro-Financial Linkages

Reversing the Financial Accelerator : Credit Conditions and Macro-Financial Linkages »

Volume/Issue: 2011/26

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Tamim Bayoumi , and Reginald Darius

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2011

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781455216734.001

ISBN: 9781455216734

Keywords: Financial conditions index, credit conditions, survey, statistics, inflation, Money and Interest Rates: Forecasting and Simulation, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy,

This paper examines the role of credit markets in the transmission of U.S. macro-financial shocks through the prism of a financial conditions index (FCI) based on a vector autoregression (VAR) methodology. It explo...

Systemic Risk Assessment in Low Income Countries
			: Balancing Financial Stability and Development

Systemic Risk Assessment in Low Income Countries : Balancing Financial Stability and Development »

Volume/Issue: 2015/190

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Daniela Marchettini , and Rodolfo Maino

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 12 August 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513545882.001

ISBN: 9781513545882

Keywords: Early Warning Indicators, Financial Deepening, credit, bis, risk, banking, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, Financial Forecasting and Simulation,

We propose a toolkit for the assessment of systemic risk buildup in low income countries. We show that, due to non-linearity in the relationship between credit and financial stability, the assessment should be cond...

Default, Credit Growth, and Asset Prices

Default, Credit Growth, and Asset Prices »

Source: Default, Credit Growth, and Asset Prices

Volume/Issue: 2006/223

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): C. Goodhart , Miguel Segoviano Basurto , and Boris Hofmann

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2006

ISBN: 9781451864830

Keywords: Probability of default, macroeconomic shocks, financial surveillance, banking, bank lending, probability, Econometric Modeling: General, Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: Forecasting and Simulation

This paper uses a Merton-type estimate of the probability of default (PoD) for the main banks in a sample of Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development and middle-income countries as a proxy for the frag...