
The Role of Seasonality and Monetary Policy in Inflation Forecasting »
Journal Issue
Volume/Issue: 2006/175
Series: IMF Working Papers
Author(s): Francis Kumah
Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
Publication Date: 01 July 2006
DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451864359.001
ISBN: 9781451864359
Keywords: Inflation forecasting, seasonal unit roots, monetary policy stance, error-correction models, VAR, money growth, money supply, inflation forecasts, Forecasting and Other Model Applications, Prices
Adequate modeling of the seasonal structure of consumer prices is essential for inflation forecasting. This paper suggests a new econometric approach for jointly determining inflation forecasts and monetary policy...