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The Future of Oil

The Future of Oil »

Source: The Future of Oil : Geology Versus Technology

Volume/Issue: 2012/109

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Marcelle Chauvet , Jack Selody , Douglas Laxton , Michael Kumhof , Jaromir Benes , Ondrej Kamenik , and Susanna Mursula

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2012

ISBN: 9781475503302

Keywords: Hubbert&;amp;#x2019;s Peak, Bayesian econometrics, oil supply, oil demand, world oil production, Bayesian Analysis, Forecasting and Other Model Applications, Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation: Demand and Supply, Exhaustible Resources and Economic Development,

We discuss and reconcile two diametrically opposed views concerning the future of world oil production and prices. The geological view expects that physical constraints will dominate the future evolution of oil out...

Oil and the World Economy

Oil and the World Economy »

Source: Oil and the World Economy : Some Possible Futures

Volume/Issue: 2012/256

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Michael Kumhof , and Dirk Muir

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 25 October 2012

ISBN: 9781475586640

Keywords: Hubbert&;amp;#x2019;s Peak, externalities, oil exporters, exporters, oil importers, world economy, Bayesian Analysis, Forecasting and Other Model Applications, Demand and Supply, Exhaustible Resources and Economic Development,

This paper, using a six-region DSGE model of the world economy, assesses the GDP and current account implications of permanent oil supply shocks hitting the world economy at an unspecified future date. For modest-s...

The Future of Oil
			: Geology Versus Technology

The Future of Oil : Geology Versus Technology »

Volume/Issue: 2012/109

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Marcelle Chauvet , Jack Selody , Douglas Laxton , Michael Kumhof , Jaromir Benes , Ondrej Kamenik , and Susanna Mursula

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2012

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475503302.001

ISBN: 9781475503302

Keywords: Hubbert&;amp;#x2019;s Peak, Bayesian econometrics, oil supply, oil demand, world oil production, Bayesian Analysis, Forecasting and Other Model Applications, Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation: Demand and Supply, Exhaustible Resources and Economic Development,

We discuss and reconcile two diametrically opposed views concerning the future of world oil production and prices. The geological view expects that physical constraints will dominate the future evolution of oil out...

Oil and the World Economy
			: Some Possible Futures

Oil and the World Economy : Some Possible Futures »

Volume/Issue: 2012/256

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Michael Kumhof , and Dirk Muir

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 25 October 2012

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475586640.001

ISBN: 9781475586640

Keywords: Hubbert&;amp;#x2019;s Peak, externalities, oil exporters, exporters, oil importers, world economy, Bayesian Analysis, Forecasting and Other Model Applications, Demand and Supply, Exhaustible Resources and Economic Development,

This paper, using a six-region DSGE model of the world economy, assesses the GDP and current account implications of permanent oil supply shocks hitting the world economy at an unspecified future date. For modest-s...