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The Macroeconomic Determinants of Commodity Prices

The Macroeconomic Determinants of Commodity Prices »

Source: The Macroeconomic Determinants of Commodity Prices

Volume/Issue: 1994/9

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Eduardo Borensztein , and Carmen Reinhart

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 1994

ISBN: 9781451927221

Keywords: commodity prices, equation, statistics, random walk, forecasting

The “traditional structural approach” to the determination of real commodity prices has relied exclusively on demand factors as the fundamentals that explain the behavior of commodity prices. This fra...

Commodity Prices

Commodity Prices »

Source: Commodity Prices : Cyclical Weakness or Secular Decline?

Volume/Issue: 1994/7

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Peter Wickham , and Carmen Reinhart

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 1994

ISBN: 9781451842371

Keywords: commodity prices, export earnings, hedging, terms of trade, commodity agreements

Primary commodities still account for the bulk of exports in many developing countries. However, real commodity prices have been declining almost continuously since the early 1980s and there is evidence of renewed...

Macro-Hedging for Commodity Exporters1

Macro-Hedging for Commodity Exporters1 »

Source: Macro-Hedging for Commodity Exporters

Volume/Issue: 2009/229

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Eduardo Borensztein , Damiano Sandri , and Olivier Jeanne

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2009

ISBN: 9781451873764

Keywords: commodity exports, hedging instruments, forward contracts, open interest, commodity prices,

This paper uses a dynamic optimization model to estimate the welfare gains of hedging against commodity price risk for commodity-exporting countries. The introduction of hedging instruments such as futures and opti...

Commodity Terms of Trade

Commodity Terms of Trade »

Source: Commodity Terms of Trade : A New Database

Volume/Issue: 2019/21

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Bertrand Gruss , and Suhaib Kebhaj

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 24 January 2019

ISBN: 9781484393857

Keywords: Commodity terms of trade; terms of trade; commodity prices, Commodity terms of trade, terms of trade, commodity prices, General

This paper presents a comprehensive database of country-specific commodity price indices for 182 economies covering the period 1962-2018. For each country, the change in the international price of up to 45 individu...

Commodity Prices As a Leading Indicator of Inflation

Commodity Prices As a Leading Indicator of Inflation »

Source: Commodity Prices As a Leading Indicator of Inflation

Volume/Issue: 1988/87

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 03 October 1988

ISBN: 9781451953084

Keywords: commodity prices, inflation, inflation rate, price inflation, excess demand

Commodity prices may be a leading indicator of inflation, because of the relative importance of flexible auction markets for the determination of these prices. Empirical tests using data for the large industrial co...

Commodity Price Shocks and Financial Sector Fragility

Commodity Price Shocks and Financial Sector Fragility »

Source: Commodity Price Shocks and Financial Sector Fragility

Volume/Issue: 2016/12

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Tidiane Kinda , Montfort Mlachila , and Rasmané Ouedraogo

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2016

ISBN: 9781498328722

Keywords: financial sector fragility, commodity, price, commodity price, prices, financial sector, General, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, Government Policy and Regulation, All Countries

This paper investigates the impact of commodity price shocks on financial sector fragility. Using a large sample of 71 commodity exporters among emerging and developing economies, it shows that negative shocks to c...

Commodity Price Cycles

Commodity Price Cycles »

Source: Commodity Price Cycles : The Perils of Mismanaging the Boom

Volume/Issue: 2011/283

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Sebastian Sosa , and Gustavo Adler

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2011

ISBN: 9781463926649

Keywords: Commodity prices, terms of trade, economic policies, commodity exports, trade shocks, terms of trade shocks, Commodity Price Cycles,

Commodity-exporting countries have significantly benefited from the commodity price boom of recent years. At the current juncture, however, uncertain global economic prospects have raised questions about their vuln...

World Commodity Prices as a Forecasting Tool for Retail Prices

World Commodity Prices as a Forecasting Tool for Retail Prices »

Source: World Commodity Prices as a Forecasting Tool for Retail Prices : Evidence From the United Kingdom

Volume/Issue: 1997/70

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): John Thornton , and Alicia García-Herrero

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 1997

ISBN: 9781451960471

Keywords: Commodity prices, inflation, monetary authorities, inflation targeting, aggregate demand

This paper investigates, using cointegration and Granger-causality techniques, whether a stable long-run co-movement exists between world commodity prices and U.K. retail prices, and whether short-run changes in co...

The Myth of Comoving Commodity Prices

The Myth of Comoving Commodity Prices »

Source: The Myth of Comoving Commodity Prices

Volume/Issue: 1999/169

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): C. McDermott , Alasdair Scott , and Paul Cashin

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 1999

ISBN: 9781451858327

Keywords: Commodity prices, concordance, comovement, statistic, time series, correlation, statistics

There is a common perception that the prices of unrelated commodities move together. This paper re-examines this notion, using a measure of comovement of economic time series called concordance. Concordance measure...

Commodity Currencies and Empirical Exchange Rate Puzzles

Commodity Currencies and Empirical Exchange Rate Puzzles »

Source: Commodity Currencies and Empirical Exchange Rate Puzzles

Volume/Issue: 2002/27

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Kenneth Rogoff , and Yu-chin Chen

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2002

ISBN: 9781451844535

Keywords: Exchange rate, commodity price stocks, real exchange rate, commodity prices, exchange rates, real exchange rates, Open Economy Macroeconomics,

This paper re-examines empirical exchange rate puzzles by focusing on three OECD economies (Australia, Canada, and New Zealand) where primary commodities constitute a significant share of their exports. For Austral...