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Commodity Prices

Commodity Prices »

Source: Commodity Prices : Cyclical Weakness or Secular Decline?

Volume/Issue: 1994/7

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Peter Wickham , and Carmen Reinhart

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 1994

ISBN: 9781451842371

Keywords: commodity prices, export earnings, hedging, terms of trade, commodity agreements

Primary commodities still account for the bulk of exports in many developing countries. However, real commodity prices have been declining almost continuously since the early 1980s and there is evidence of renewed...

World Commodity Prices as a Forecasting Tool for Retail Prices

World Commodity Prices as a Forecasting Tool for Retail Prices »

Source: World Commodity Prices as a Forecasting Tool for Retail Prices : Evidence From the United Kingdom

Volume/Issue: 1997/70

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): John Thornton , and Alicia García-Herrero

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 1997

ISBN: 9781451960471

Keywords: Commodity prices, inflation, monetary authorities, inflation targeting, aggregate demand

This paper investigates, using cointegration and Granger-causality techniques, whether a stable long-run co-movement exists between world commodity prices and U.K. retail prices, and whether short-run changes in co...

The Myth of Comoving Commodity Prices

The Myth of Comoving Commodity Prices »

Source: The Myth of Comoving Commodity Prices

Volume/Issue: 1999/169

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): C. McDermott , Alasdair Scott , and Paul Cashin

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 1999

ISBN: 9781451858327

Keywords: Commodity prices, concordance, comovement, statistic, time series, correlation, statistics

There is a common perception that the prices of unrelated commodities move together. This paper re-examines this notion, using a measure of comovement of economic time series called concordance. Concordance measure...

Booms and Slumps in World Commodity Prices

Booms and Slumps in World Commodity Prices »

Source: Booms and Slumps in World Commodity Prices

Volume/Issue: 1999/155

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): C. McDermott , Paul Cashin , and Alasdair Scott

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 1999

ISBN: 9781451857290

Keywords: Commodity prices, booms and slumps, cycles, duration, amplitude., london metal exchange, oil prices, commodity markets, import price

This paper examines the duration and magnitude of commodity-price cycles. It finds that for most commodities, price slumps last longer than price booms. How far prices fall in a slump is found to be slightly larger...

Recent Inflationary Trends in World Commodities Markets

Recent Inflationary Trends in World Commodities Markets »

Source: Recent Inflationary Trends in World Commodities Markets

Volume/Issue: 2008/130

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Noureddine Krichene

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2008

ISBN: 9781451869897

Keywords: Commodities prices, common trends, variance decomposition, money supply, aggregate demand, real interest rates,

Expansionary monetary policies in key industrial countries and sharply depreciating U.S. dollar exchange rate sent commodities prices soaring at unprecedented rates during 2003-2007. Food prices rose to alarming le...

Real Exchange Rates and Commodity Prices in Neoclassical Model

Real Exchange Rates and Commodity Prices in Neoclassical Model »

Source: Real Exchange Rates and Commodity Prices in Neoclassical Model

Volume/Issue: 1988/55

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 30 June 1988

ISBN: 9781451968859

Keywords: exchange rate, commodity prices, real exchange rate, exchange rates, real exchange rates

This paper presents a neoclassical model that explains the observed empirical relationship between government spending and world commodity supplies and the real exchange rate and real commodity prices. It is shown...

How Persistent Are Shocks to World Commodity Prices?

How Persistent Are Shocks to World Commodity Prices? »

Source: How Persistent Are Shocks to World Commodity Prices?

Volume/Issue: 1999/80

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Hong Liang , C. McDermott , and Paul Cashin

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 1999

ISBN: 9781451850284

Keywords: Commodity prices, median-unbiased estimation, shock persistence, price stabilization, time series, export earnings, confidence interval, confidence intervals

This paper examines the persistence of shocks to world commodity prices, using monthly IMF data on primary commodities between 1957–98. We find that shocks to commodity prices are typically long–lasti...

Commodity Prices
			: Cyclical Weakness or Secular Decline?

Commodity Prices : Cyclical Weakness or Secular Decline? »

Volume/Issue: 1994/7

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Peter Wickham , and Carmen Reinhart

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 1994

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451842371.001

ISBN: 9781451842371

Keywords: commodity prices, export earnings, hedging, terms of trade, commodity agreements

Primary commodities still account for the bulk of exports in many developing countries. However, real commodity prices have been declining almost continuously since the early 1980s and there is evidence of renewed...

World Commodity Prices as a Forecasting Tool for Retail Prices
			: Evidence From the United Kingdom

World Commodity Prices as a Forecasting Tool for Retail Prices : Evidence From the United Kingdom »

Volume/Issue: 1997/70

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): John Thornton , and Alicia García-Herrero

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 1997

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451960471.001

ISBN: 9781451960471

Keywords: Commodity prices, inflation, monetary authorities, inflation targeting, aggregate demand

This paper investigates, using cointegration and Granger-causality techniques, whether a stable long-run co-movement exists between world commodity prices and U.K. retail prices, and whether short-run changes in co...

The Myth of Comoving Commodity Prices

The Myth of Comoving Commodity Prices »

Volume/Issue: 1999/169

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): C. McDermott , Alasdair Scott , and Paul Cashin

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 1999

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451858327.001

ISBN: 9781451858327

Keywords: Commodity prices, concordance, comovement, statistic, time series, correlation, statistics

There is a common perception that the prices of unrelated commodities move together. This paper re-examines this notion, using a measure of comovement of economic time series called concordance. Concordance measure...