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Regional Economic Outlook, April 2014, Asia and Pacific
			: Sustaining the Momentum: Vigilance and Reforms

Regional Economic Outlook, April 2014, Asia and Pacific : Sustaining the Momentum: Vigilance and Reforms »

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 27 April 2014

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484316573.086

ISBN: 9781484316573

Keywords: Financial crises, Credit, Central banks, Business cycles, Capital, Macroprudential policies and financial stability, Financial systems, inflation, capital flows, capital flow

The five Regional Economic Outlooks published biannually by the IMF cover Asia and Pacific, Europe, the Middle East and Central Asia, Sub-Saharan Africa, and the Western Hemisphere. In each volume, recent econo...

Correcting “Beyond the Cycle:” Accounting for Asset Prices in Structural Fiscal Balances1

Correcting “Beyond the Cycle:” Accounting for Asset Prices in Structural Fiscal Balances1 »

Source: Correcting 'Beyond the Cycle" : Accounting for Asset Prices in Structural Fiscal Balances

Volume/Issue: 2015/109

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Estelle Liu , Todd Mattina , and Tigran Poghosyan

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 19 May 2015

ISBN: 9781513520551

Keywords: asset price, equity market, housing market, panel data econometrics, prices, price, equity, Asset Pricing, Deficit, panel data econometrics.,

This paper outlines an operational approach for incorporating the impact of asset price cycles in the calculation of structural fiscal balances (SFBs). The global financial crisis demonstrated that movements in ass...

Assessing Default Risks for Chinese Firms

Assessing Default Risks for Chinese Firms »

Source: Assessing Default Risks for Chinese Firms : A Lost Cause?

Volume/Issue: 2015/140

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Daniel Law , and Shaun Roache

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 26 June 2015

ISBN: 9781513597584

Keywords: default probabilities, equity, market, Asset Pricing, Financial Forecasting and Simulation,

Assessing default risks for Chinese firms is hard. Standard measures of risk using market indicators may be unreliable because of implicit guarantees, the large role played by less-informed investors, and other mar...

Commodities and the Market Price of Risk

Commodities and the Market Price of Risk »

Source: Commodities and the Market Price of Risk

Volume/Issue: 2008/221

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Shaun Roache

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2008

ISBN: 9781451870794

Keywords: Asset pricing, Futures pricing., commodity futures, investors, risk premium, hedge, risk exposure, futures pricing,

Commodities are back following a stellar run of price performance, attracting financial investor attention. What are the fundamental reasons to hold commodities? One reason is the exposure offered to underlying ris...

How Commodity Price Curves and Inventories React to a Short-Run Scarcity Shock

How Commodity Price Curves and Inventories React to a Short-Run Scarcity Shock »

Source: How Commodity Price Curves and Inventories React to a Short-Run Scarcity Shock

Volume/Issue: 2010/222

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Nese Erbil , and Shaun Roache

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2010

ISBN: 9781455208876

Keywords: Asset pricing, inventories, futures price, futures prices, inventory, contango, General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium: General,

How does a commodity market adjust to a temporary scarcity shock which causes a shift in the slope of the futures price curve? We find long-run relationships between spot and futures prices, inventories and interes...

Optimal Macroprudential Policy and Asset Price Bubbles

Optimal Macroprudential Policy and Asset Price Bubbles »

Source: Optimal Macroprudential Policy and Asset Price Bubbles

Volume/Issue: 2019/184

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Nina Biljanovska , Lucyna Gornicka , and Alexandros Vardoulakis

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 30 August 2019

ISBN: 9781513511078

Keywords: Economic conditions, Financial crises, Demand, Economic stabilization, Price indexes, Collateral constraints, rational bubbles, macroprudential regulation, optimal policy, WP

An asset bubble relaxes collateral constraints and increases borrowing by credit-constrained agents. At the same time, as the bubble deflates when constraints start binding, it amplifies downturns. We show analytic...

New Shocks and Asset Price Volatility in General Equilibrium1

New Shocks and Asset Price Volatility in General Equilibrium1 »

Source: New Shocks and Asset Price Volatility in General Equilibrium

Volume/Issue: 2011/110

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Alessandro Rebucci , Akito Matsumoto , Pietro Cova , and Massimiliano Pisani

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2011

ISBN: 9781455261390

Keywords: New shocks, Asset Price, volatility, news, asset prices, interest rate, International Finance: General, Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: General,

We study equity price volatility in general equilibrium with news shocks about future productivity and monetary policy. As West (1988) shows, in a partial equilibrium present discounted value model, news about the...

Irrational Exuberance in the U.S. Housing Market

Irrational Exuberance in the U.S. Housing Market »

Source: Irrational Exuberance in the U.S. Housing Market : Were Evangelicals Left Behind?

Volume/Issue: 2009/57

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Christopher Crowe

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2009

ISBN: 9781451872040

Keywords: house prices, economics of Religion, asset price cycles, religion, survey, correlation, protestants, statistics,

The recent housing bust has reignited interest in psychological theories of speculative excess (Shiller, 2007). I investigate this issue by identifying a segment of the U.S. population-evangelical protestants-that...

Can Global Liquidity Forecast Asset Prices?1

Can Global Liquidity Forecast Asset Prices?1 »

Source: Can Global Liquidity Forecast Asset Prices?

Volume/Issue: 2010/196

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Reginald Darius

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2010

ISBN: 9781455205264

Keywords: Asset Price, Spillover Analysis, central bank, global financial crisis, private credit, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy,

During the period leading up to the global financial crisis many asset classes registered rapid price increases. This coincided with a significant rise in global liquidity. This paper attempts to determine the exte...

Determinants of Sovereign Bond Spreads in Emerging Markets

Determinants of Sovereign Bond Spreads in Emerging Markets »

Source: Determinants of Sovereign Bond Spreads in Emerging Markets : Local Fundamentals and Global Factors vs. Ever-Changing Misalignments

Volume/Issue: 2013/164

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Balazs Csonto , and Iryna Ivaschenko

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 10 July 2013

ISBN: 9781475573206

Keywords: Emerging market debt, spreads, misalignment, bond, bond spreads, emerging market bond, market bond, Asset Pricing,

We analyze the relationship between global and country-specific factors and emerging market debt spreads from three different angles. First, we aim to disentangle the effect of global and country-specific developme...