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In Which Exchange Rate Models Do Forecasters Trust?

In Which Exchange Rate Models Do Forecasters Trust? »

Volume/Issue: 2011/116

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jaewoo Lee , H. Takizawa , and David Hauner

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2011

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781455262397.001

ISBN: 9781455262397

Keywords: Exchange rate models, exchange rate, exchange rates, current account, interest rate, exchange rate regime, International Finance Forecasting and Simulation,

Using survey data of market expectations, we ask which popular exchange rate models appear to be consistent with expectation formation of market forecasters. Exchange rate expectations are found to be correlated wi...

International Pricing of Emerging Market Corporate Debt
			: Does the Corporate Matter?

International Pricing of Emerging Market Corporate Debt : Does the Corporate Matter? »

Volume/Issue: 2010/26

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Sonja Keller , and Ashoka Mody

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 2010

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451962475.001

ISBN: 9781451962475

Keywords: Corporate bonds, bond spreads, Fama-French factors, equity returns, bonds, bond, General Financial Markets, Corporate Finance And Governance,

We examine risk spreads charged on corporate bonds placed by emerging market borrowers on international exchanges. While global developments have an important effect on spreads, changes in firm-level default risk a...

The Role of IMF Support in Crisis Prevention

The Role of IMF Support in Crisis Prevention »

Volume/Issue: 2006/75

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Uma Ramakrishnan , and Juan Zalduendo

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2006

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451863352.001

ISBN: 9781451863352

Keywords: IMF financing, capital account crisis, cluster analysis, exchange rate, private capital flows, private capital, capital outflows, International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions, International Lending and Debt Problems, Economic History: Financial Markets and Institutions: General

This paper examines the role of IMF-supported programs in crisis prevention; specifically, whether, conditional on an episode of intense market pressures, IMF financial support helps prevent a capital account crisi...

Bank Asset Quality in Emerging Markets
			: Determinants and Spillovers

Bank Asset Quality in Emerging Markets : Determinants and Spillovers »

Volume/Issue: 2012/71

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Reinout De Bock , and Alexander Demyanets

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2012

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475502237.001

ISBN: 9781475502237

Keywords: Macro-financial linkages, Nonperforming loans, Exchange rate, Panel regressions, capital inflows, net capital flows, exchange rates, Bank Asset Quality in Emerging Markets, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, International Finance: General

This paper assesses the vulnerability of emerging markets and their banks to aggregate shocks. We find significant links between banks' asset quality, credit and macroeconomic aggregates. Lower economic growth, an...

Tax Systems Under Fiscal Adjustment
			: A Dynamic CGE Analysis of the Brazilian Tax Reform

Tax Systems Under Fiscal Adjustment : A Dynamic CGE Analysis of the Brazilian Tax Reform »

Volume/Issue: 2005/142

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Victor Lledo

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 2005

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451861617.001

ISBN: 9781451861617

Keywords: Tax reform, Computable general equilibrium, Brazil., tax system, tax revenues, tax burden, Computable General Equilibrium Models, Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook: General

This paper uses a dynamic computable general equilibrium model (CGE) to analyze the macroeconomic and redistributive effects of replacing turnover and financial transaction taxes in Brazil by a consumption tax. In...

The Global Credit Crunch and Foreign Banks' Lending to Emerging Markets
			: Why Did Latin America Fare Better?

The Global Credit Crunch and Foreign Banks' Lending to Emerging Markets : Why Did Latin America Fare Better? »

Volume/Issue: 2010/102

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Kulwant Rai , and Herman Kamil

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2010

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781455200610.001

ISBN: 9781455200610

Keywords: global: credit crunch, cross-border lending, foreign banks, foreign bank, international settlements, foreign currency, foreign affiliates, International Lending and Debt Problems, Financial Aspects of Economic Integration, International Finance Forecasting and Simulation,

The recent global financial turmoil raised questions about the stability of foreign banks' financing to emerging market countries. While foreign banks' lending growth to most emerging market regions contracted shar...

Taxing Financial Transactions
			: An Assessment of Administrative Feasibility

Taxing Financial Transactions : An Assessment of Administrative Feasibility »

Volume/Issue: 2011/185

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): John Brondolo

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2011

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781462309276.001

ISBN: 9781462309276

Keywords: financial transactions tax, otc, financial instruments, bonds, tax liability, otc transactions, General Financial Markets: Government Policy and Regulation, Corporate Finance and Governance: Government Policy and Regulation, Taxation, Subsidies

This paper considers how a tax on financial transactions could be applied to three broad and partially overlapping categories of financial instruments: (1) exchange-traded instruments; (2) over-the-counter instrume...

Prevention and Management of Government Arrears

Prevention and Management of Government Arrears »

Volume: 14

Series: Technical Notes and Manuals

Author(s): Suzanne Flynn , and Mario Pessoa

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 09 July 2014

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781498313650.005

ISBN: 9781498313650

Keywords: Arrears, Public finance, Public financial management, commitment controls, government expenditure, treasury, expenditure, goods, stock, General

The accumulation of government expenditure arrears is one of the most common problems in public financial management. This technical note defines expenditure arrears and the different types of arrears that arise. T...

Fiscal Stimulus and Credibility in Emerging Countries

Fiscal Stimulus and Credibility in Emerging Countries »

Volume/Issue: 2010/123

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Magda Kandil , and Hanan Morsy

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2010

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781455200825.001

ISBN: 9781455200825

Keywords: credibility, effectiveness, cyclicality, fiscal impulse, exchange rate, fiscal expansion, Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook: General, Open Economy Macroeconomics,

Across a sample of thirty four emerging countries, the evidence shows the frequent existence of a pro-cyclical fiscal impulse. However, the scope for countercyclical policy increases with the availability of intern...

Fiscal Sustainability and Monetary Versus Fiscal Dominance
			: Evidence From Brazil, 1991-2000

Fiscal Sustainability and Monetary Versus Fiscal Dominance : Evidence From Brazil, 1991-2000 »

Volume/Issue: 2002/5

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Evan Tanner , and Alberto Ramos

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 2002

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451842197.001

ISBN: 9781451842197

Keywords: Intertemporal solvency, monetary and fiscal dominance, fiscal theory of the price level, primary deficit, price level, inflation, real interest rates, real interest rate, Macroeconomic - Aspects Of Public Finance, Macroeconomic Policy

Under a monetary dominant (MD) regime, the primary surplus adjusts to limit debt growth, permitting monetary policy to be conducted independently of fiscal financing requirements. In Brazil, some evidence favors an...