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A Quantitative Assessment of Financial Conditions in Asia

A Quantitative Assessment of Financial Conditions in Asia »

Source: A Quantitative Assessment of Financial Conditions in Asia

Volume/Issue: 2011/170

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Carolina Osorio Buitron , Filiz Unsal , and Runchana Pongsaparn

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 2011

ISBN: 9781462314331

Keywords: Financial sector, Economic growth, Economic conditions, Asia, Forecasting models, Gross domestic product, Global Financial Crisis 2008-2009, Financial conditions index, VAR, Dynamic Factor Analysis

We propose a new Financial Condition Index (FCI) for Asian economies based on two different methodologies: a VAR model and a Dynamic Factor Model. The paper shows that this index has predictive power in forecasting...

Crisis Program Review

Crisis Program Review »

Source: Crisis Program Review

Volume/Issue: 2015/051

Series: Policy Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 11 September 2015

ISBN: 9781498344036

Keywords: Debt restructuring, Exchange rate adjustments, Exchange rate policy, Fiscal consolidation, Fiscal policy, Fiscal reforms, Fund arrangements, Fund-supported adjustment programs, Global Financial Crisis 2008-2009, Monetary policy

This paper provides an updated review of Fund-supported programs undertaken during the global financial crisis. It follows a series of previous reviews during 2009-12 that assessed program design and outcomes durin...

CHAPTER 1 How Have LICs Coped with the Crisis?

CHAPTER 1 How Have LICs Coped with the Crisis? »

Source: Emerging from the Global Crisis : Macroeconomic Challenges Facing Low-Income Countries

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 22 February 2011

ISBN: 9781616350734

Keywords: Economic growth, Low-income developing countries, Global Financial Crisis 2008-2009, public debt, current account, fiscal policy, exchange rate, current account deficits

Unlike in previous downturns, when terms-of-trade shocks and high interest rates played a key role, this crisis affected LICs mainly through a sharp contractio...

CHAPTER 2 Emerging from the Crisis—Prospects and Macroeconomic Challenges

CHAPTER 2 Emerging from the Crisis—Prospects and Macroeconomic Challenges »

Source: Emerging from the Global Crisis : Macroeconomic Challenges Facing Low-Income Countries

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 22 February 2011

ISBN: 9781616350734

Keywords: Economic growth, Low-income developing countries, Global Financial Crisis 2008-2009, public debt, current account, fiscal policy, exchange rate, current account deficits

LICs’ economic recovery is projected to be faster and more aligned with the rest of the world than in previous crises, although the pace of recovery will vary...

CHAPTER 1 Introduction

CHAPTER 1 Introduction »

Source: Coping with the Global Financial Crisis : Challenges Facing Low-Income Countries

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): Stefania Fabrizio

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 16 March 2010

ISBN: 9781589069299

Keywords: External debt, Commodity prices, Economic growth, Global Financial Crisis 2008-2009, Low-income developing countries, external financing, debt sustainability, debt burden, exchange rate

Low-income countries (LICs) are being hit hard by the global financial crisis. They are facing a sharp contraction in export growth, foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows, and remittances, as well as lower...

CHAPTER 2 Outlook for Global Growth and Commodity Prices

CHAPTER 2 Outlook for Global Growth and Commodity Prices »

Source: Coping with the Global Financial Crisis : Challenges Facing Low-Income Countries

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): Stefania Fabrizio

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 16 March 2010

ISBN: 9781589069299

Keywords: External debt, Commodity prices, Economic growth, Global Financial Crisis 2008-2009, Low-income developing countries, external financing, debt sustainability, debt burden, exchange rate

The world economy is beginning to pull out of the deepest slump since the Great Depression, but stabilization is uneven and the recovery remains fragile. Financial conditions have improved, as unprecedented...

CHAPTER 3 How Are LICs Affected?

CHAPTER 3 How Are LICs Affected? »

Source: Coping with the Global Financial Crisis : Challenges Facing Low-Income Countries

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): Stefania Fabrizio

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 16 March 2010

ISBN: 9781589069299

Keywords: External debt, Commodity prices, Economic growth, Global Financial Crisis 2008-2009, Low-income developing countries, external financing, debt sustainability, debt burden, exchange rate

For many LICs the crisis is expected to have a severe impact on economic growth this year, but a V-shaped recovery is expected for 2010. An Overview LIC economies are being...

CHAPTER 4 Policy Responses

CHAPTER 4 Policy Responses »

Source: Coping with the Global Financial Crisis : Challenges Facing Low-Income Countries

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): Stefania Fabrizio

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 16 March 2010

ISBN: 9781589069299

Keywords: External debt, Commodity prices, Economic growth, Global Financial Crisis 2008-2009, Low-income developing countries, external financing, debt sustainability, debt burden, exchange rate

Most LICs have implemented countercyclical fiscal policies, preserving or expanding spending to support the economy and protect the poor. But, given the limited scaling up of aid, many countries are resortin...

CHAPTER 5 Financing Needs and Support from the International Community

CHAPTER 5 Financing Needs and Support from the International Community »

Source: Coping with the Global Financial Crisis : Challenges Facing Low-Income Countries

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): Stefania Fabrizio

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 16 March 2010

ISBN: 9781589069299

Keywords: External debt, Commodity prices, Economic growth, Global Financial Crisis 2008-2009, Low-income developing countries, external financing, debt sustainability, debt burden, exchange rate

LICs are facing large external financing needs in 2009–10, averaging about US$25 billion a year higher than in 2008. The Fund and other international financial institutions (IFIs) have increased their financ...

CHAPTER 6 Challenges Ahead

CHAPTER 6 Challenges Ahead »

Source: Coping with the Global Financial Crisis : Challenges Facing Low-Income Countries

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): Stefania Fabrizio

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 16 March 2010

ISBN: 9781589069299

Keywords: External debt, Commodity prices, Economic growth, Global Financial Crisis 2008-2009, Low-income developing countries, external financing, debt sustainability, debt burden, exchange rate

The use of fiscal and other policies to counter the effects of the recession should continue, where appropriate, until it is clear that recovery is under way. Past gains from macroeconomic stabilization and...