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Are Prices Countercyclical? Evidence From the G-7

Are Prices Countercyclical? Evidence From the G-7 »

Source: Are Prices Countercyclical? Evidence From the G-7

Volume/Issue: 1994/91

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Eswar Prasad , and Bankim Chadha

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 1994

ISBN: 9781451851472

Keywords: correlations, price level, inflation rate, linear trend

This paper re-examines the cyclical behavior of prices using postwar quarterly data for the G-7. We confirm recent evidence that the price level is countercyclical. However, we find strong evidence that the inflati...

ECCU Business Cycles

ECCU Business Cycles »

Source: ECCU Business Cycles : Impact of the U.S.

Volume/Issue: 2009/71

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Yan Sun , and Wendell Samuel

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2009

ISBN: 9781451872187

Keywords: linkages, common, cointegration, equation, correlation, statistic,

With a fixed peg to the U.S. dollar for more than three decades, the tourism-dependent Eastern Caribbean Currency Union (ECCU) countries share a close economic relationship with the U.S. This paper analyzes the imp...

Cyclical Behavior of Inventories and Growth Projections Recent Evidence From Europe and the United States1

Cyclical Behavior of Inventories and Growth Projections Recent Evidence From Europe and the United States1 »

Source: Cyclical Behavior of Inventories and Growth Projections Recent Evidence From Europe and the United States

Volume/Issue: 2010/212

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Alexander Hoffmaister , and Jens Clausen

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2010

ISBN: 9781455205431

Keywords: Inventories, business cycle, inventory, correlation, statistics,

In the United States and a few European countries, inventory behavior is mainly the outcome of demand shocks: a standard buffer-stock model best characterizes these economies. But most European countries are descri...

The Volatility of Consumption in a Simple General Equilibrium Model

The Volatility of Consumption in a Simple General Equilibrium Model »

Source: The Volatility of Consumption in a Simple General Equilibrium Model

Volume/Issue: 1992/109

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Gunnar Tersman

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 1992

ISBN: 9781451946130

Keywords: optimization, time series, autocorrelation, correlation, consumption relative

This paper studies the volatility of consumption relative to output in the context of a simple general equilibrium model of a small open economy subject to exogenous shocks in productivity. With infinite horizons a...

Forecasting Recessions: Consensus and Disagreement

Forecasting Recessions: Consensus and Disagreement »

Source: IMF Research Bulletin, March 2010

Volume/Issue: 11/1

Series: IMF Research Bulletin

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 12 February 2010

ISBN: 9781455291625

Keywords: recessions, forecasting, recession, financial crises, correlation

This paper provides a brief overview of the latest research on the ability of forecasters to predict recessions. The paper highlights that few recessions have been forecast before their onset. Forecasters tend to b...

Searching for Robust Growth Determinants

Searching for Robust Growth Determinants »

Source: IMF Research Bulletin, March 2010

Volume/Issue: 11/1

Series: IMF Research Bulletin

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 12 February 2010

ISBN: 9781455291625

Keywords: recessions, forecasting, recession, financial crises, correlation

This paper provides a brief overview of the latest research on the ability of forecasters to predict recessions. The paper highlights that few recessions have been forecast before their onset. Forecasters tend to b...

Visiting Scholars, January–March 2010

Visiting Scholars, January–March 2010 »

Source: IMF Research Bulletin, March 2010

Volume/Issue: 11/1

Series: IMF Research Bulletin

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 12 February 2010

ISBN: 9781455291625

Keywords: recessions, forecasting, recession, financial crises, correlation

This paper provides a brief overview of the latest research on the ability of forecasters to predict recessions. The paper highlights that few recessions have been forecast before their onset. Forecasters tend to b...

Q&A: Seven Questions about House Price Cycles

Q&A: Seven Questions about House Price Cycles »

Source: IMF Research Bulletin, March 2010

Volume/Issue: 11/1

Series: IMF Research Bulletin

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 12 February 2010

ISBN: 9781455291625

Keywords: recessions, forecasting, recession, financial crises, correlation

This paper provides a brief overview of the latest research on the ability of forecasters to predict recessions. The paper highlights that few recessions have been forecast before their onset. Forecasters tend to b...

IMF Working Papers

IMF Working Papers »

Source: IMF Research Bulletin, March 2010

Volume/Issue: 11/1

Series: IMF Research Bulletin

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 12 February 2010

ISBN: 9781455291625

Keywords: recessions, forecasting, recession, financial crises, correlation

This paper provides a brief overview of the latest research on the ability of forecasters to predict recessions. The paper highlights that few recessions have been forecast before their onset. Forecasters tend to b...

IMF Staff Papers

IMF Staff Papers »

Source: IMF Research Bulletin, March 2010

Volume/Issue: 11/1

Series: IMF Research Bulletin

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 12 February 2010

ISBN: 9781455291625

Keywords: recessions, forecasting, recession, financial crises, correlation

This paper provides a brief overview of the latest research on the ability of forecasters to predict recessions. The paper highlights that few recessions have been forecast before their onset. Forecasters tend to b...