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Italy: Toward a Growth-Friendly Fiscal Reform

Italy: Toward a Growth-Friendly Fiscal Reform »

Volume/Issue: 2018/59

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Michal Andrle , Shafik Hebous , Alvar Kangur , and Mehdi Raissi

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 16 March 2018

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484347584.001

ISBN: 9781484347584

Keywords: Europe, Italy, Growth-friendly fiscal policy, public pensions, dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models, Forecasting and Simulation, Social Security and Public Pensions, Italy

Published in late 2017, the Italian medium-term fiscal plan aims to achieve structural balance by 2020, although concrete, high-quality measures to meet the target are yet to be specified. This paper seeks to contr...

The Flexible System of Global Models - FSGM

The Flexible System of Global Models - FSGM »

Volume/Issue: 2015/64

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Michal Andrle , Patrick Blagrave , Pedro Espaillat , Keiko Honjo , Benjamin Hunt , Mika Kortelainen , René Lalonde , Douglas Laxton , Eleonara Mavroeidi , Dirk Muir , Susanna Mursula , and Stephen Snudden

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 20 March 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475518665.001

ISBN: 9781475518665

Keywords: dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models, macroeconomic interdependence, consumption, investment, demand, trade, potential output, Forecasting and Simulation, Monetary Policy (Targets, Instruments

The Flexible System of Global Models (FSGM) is a group of models developed by the Economic Modeling Division of the IMF for policy analysis. A typical module of FSGM is a multi-region, forward-looking semi-structur...

Spillovers in the Nordic Countries

Spillovers in the Nordic Countries »

Volume/Issue: 2015/70

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Borislava Mircheva , and Dirk Muir

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 27 March 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475554106.001

ISBN: 9781475554106

Keywords: dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models, Nordic countries, gdp, demand, consumption, real gdp, investment, Forecasting and Simulation, Monetary Policy (Targets, Instruments

Denmark, Finland, Norway, and Sweden form a tightly integrated region which has strong ties with the euro area as well as some exposure to Russia. Using the IMF's Global Integrated Monetary and Fiscal model (GIMF...

Managing Reductions in Aid Inflows: Assessing Policy Choices in Haiti

Managing Reductions in Aid Inflows: Assessing Policy Choices in Haiti »

Volume/Issue: 2018/198

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ioana Moldovan , Marina Rousset , and Chris Walker

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 11 September 2018

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484370322.001

ISBN: 9781484370322

Keywords: Capital inflows, Fiscal policy, Haiti, Low-income developing countries, Monetary policy, Public investment, Foreign aid, General equilibrium models, International reserves, Central banks and their policies

A low-income country such as Haiti that confronts an environment of diminishing aid inflows must assess tradeoffs among the available policy options: spending cuts, monetization, sales of debt, or use of foreign re...

Assessing the Macroeconomic Impact of Structural Reforms The Case of Italy

Assessing the Macroeconomic Impact of Structural Reforms The Case of Italy »

Volume/Issue: 2013/22

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Lusine Lusinyan , and Dirk Muir

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 24 January 2013

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475530865.001

ISBN: 9781475530865

Keywords: Growth, structural reforms, product market competition, macroeconomic policy coordination, dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models, labor market, labor supply, employment, labor productivity, Forecasting and Other Model Applications

Wide-ranging structural reforms are underway in Italy, aimed at addressing key bottlenecks in the product and labor markets. Our analysis, based on the IMF‘s Global Integrated Monetary and Fiscal model (GIMF), atte...

Policy and Spillover Analysis in the World Economy
			: A Panel Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Approach

Policy and Spillover Analysis in the World Economy : A Panel Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Approach »

Volume/Issue: 2014/200

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Francis Vitek

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 30 October 2014

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781616355784.001

ISBN: 9781616355784

Keywords: Monetary policy analysis, Fiscal policy analysis, Spillover analysis, World economy, Panel dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model, Bayesian econometrics, consumption, equilibrium, demand, Bayesian Analysis

This paper develops a structural macroeconometric model of the world economy, disaggregated into forty national economies. This panel dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model features a range of nominal and rea...