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Assessing Loss of Market Access: Conceptual and Operational Issues

Assessing Loss of Market Access: Conceptual and Operational Issues »

Source: Assessing Loss of Market Access: Conceptual and Operational Issues

Volume/Issue: 2017/246

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Anastasia Guscina , Sheheryar Malik , and Michael Papaioannou

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 15 November 2017

ISBN: 9781484324936

Keywords: Market Access, Sovereign Debt Restructuring; Default; Bond Spreads, Sovereign Debt Restructuring, Default, Bond Spreads, Assessing Loss of Market Access:

Loss of market access (LMA) is a central element and an exacerbator of balance of payments and fiscal crises. This paper provides an operational definition of LMA, examines the predictive power of potential LMA lea...

Italian Sovereign Spreads

Italian Sovereign Spreads »

Source: Italian Sovereign Spreads : Their Determinants and Pass-through to Bank Funding Costs and Lending Conditions

Volume/Issue: 2013/84

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Edda Zoli

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 03 April 2013

ISBN: 9781484357705

Keywords: Italian sovereign spreads, bank funding costs, lending conditions, bond, bonds, government bond, bond yields, bond spreads, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, Asset Pricing,

Volatility in Italian sovereign spreads has increased since mid-2011. This paper finds that news on the euro area debt crisis and country specific events were important drivers of sovereign spreads. Movements in so...

Determinants of Emerging Market Sovereign Bond Spreads

Determinants of Emerging Market Sovereign Bond Spreads »

Source: Determinants of Emerging Market Sovereign Bond Spreads : Fundamentals vs Financial Stress

Volume/Issue: 2010/281

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Iva Petrova , Michael Papaioannou , and Dimitri Bellas

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2010

ISBN: 9781455210886

Keywords: Sovereign bond spreads, Emerging markts, sovereign bond, bond, bond spreads, external debt, current account, International Lending and Debt Problems, Money And Interest Rates,

This paper analyses the determimants of emerging market sovereign bond spreads by examining the short and long-run effects of fundamental (macroeconomic) and temporary (financial market) factors on these spreads. D...

Emerging Market Bond Spreads and Sovereign Credit Ratings

Emerging Market Bond Spreads and Sovereign Credit Ratings »

Source: Emerging Market Bond Spreads and Sovereign Credit Ratings : Reconciling Market Views with Economic Fundamentals

Volume/Issue: 2001/165

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Amadou Sy

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2001

ISBN: 9781451858051

Keywords: Bond spreads, monitoring, risk appetite, bond, bonds, emerging market bond, market bond, Financial Institutions and Services: General,

This paper uses a panel data estimation of a simple univariate model of sovereign spreads on ratings to analyze statistically significant deviations from the estimated relationship. We find evidence of an asymmetri...

Investors' Risk Appetite and Global Financial Market Conditions

Investors' Risk Appetite and Global Financial Market Conditions »

Source: Investors' Risk Appetite and Global Financial Market Conditions

Volume/Issue: 2008/85

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Brenda Gonzalez-Hermosillo

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2008

ISBN: 9781451869460

Keywords: volatility risk, default risk, risk appetite, financial markets, bond, global financial markets, bond spreads, financial market,

A structural vector autoregression model is developed to analyze the dynamics of bond spreads among a sample of mature and developing countries during periods of financial stress in the last decade. The model ident...

Global Liquidity, Risk Premiums and Growth Opportunities

Global Liquidity, Risk Premiums and Growth Opportunities »

Source: Global Liquidity, Risk Premiums and Growth Opportunities

Volume/Issue: 2009/52

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Gianni De Nicolo , and Iryna Ivaschenko

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2009

ISBN: 9781451872002

Keywords: Risk Premiums, Growth Opportunities, bond, equity markets, bond spreads, equity market,

This paper constructs new indicators of liquidity for equity, bond and money markets in major advanced and emerging market countries, documents their evolution and comovements, and assesses the extent to which such...

The Pricing of Credit Default Swaps During Distress

The Pricing of Credit Default Swaps During Distress »

Source: The Pricing of Credit Default Swaps During Distress

Volume/Issue: 2006/254

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Manmohan Singh , and Jochen Andritzky

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 2006

ISBN: 9781451865141

Keywords: Credit default swaps, recovery value, default risk, bond, bonds, arbitrage, bond market, bond spreads, International Lending and Debt Problems,

Credit default swaps (CDS) provide the buyer with insurance against certain types of credit events by entitling him to exchange any of the bonds permitted as deliverable against their par value. Unlike bonds, whose...

How Does U.S. Monetary Policy Influence Economic Conditions in Emerging Markets?

How Does U.S. Monetary Policy Influence Economic Conditions in Emerging Markets? »

Source: How Does U.S. Monetary Policy Influence Economic Conditions in Emerging Markets?

Volume/Issue: 2000/148

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Vivek Arora , and Martin Cerisola

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2000

ISBN: 9781451856811

Keywords: U.S. monetary policy, sovereign bond spreads, herding, contagion, Multimod, sovereign bond, bond, debt service, external debt

This paper quantifies the economic impact of changes in U.S. monetary policy on emerging market countries. We explore empirically how country risk, as proxied by sovereign bond spreads, is influenced by U.S. moneta...

Exchange Rate Policy and Sovereign Bond Spreads in Developing Countries

Exchange Rate Policy and Sovereign Bond Spreads in Developing Countries »

Source: Exchange Rate Policy and Sovereign Bond Spreads in Developing Countries

Volume/Issue: 2004/210

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Zhanwei Yue , and Samir Jahjah

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 2004

ISBN: 9781451874822

Keywords: Sovereign Credit Spreads, Overvaluation, Debt Crises, exchange rate, exchange rate misalignment, bond spreads, bond issue, International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions, International Lending and Debt Problems,

We test the hypothesis of a link between exchange rate policy and sovereign bonds. We analyze the effect of exchange rate policies on supply and credit spreads of sovereign bonds issued by developing countries. An...

Financial Conditions Indexes for the United States and Euro Area

Financial Conditions Indexes for the United States and Euro Area »

Source: Financial Conditions Indexes for the United States and Euro Area

Volume/Issue: 2011/93

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Troy Matheson

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2011

ISBN: 9781455253326

Keywords: Financial Conditions, Short-term Forecasting, Real-Time Data, forecasting, bond, bond spread, government bond, bond yield, General Aggregative Models: Forecasting and Simulation, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy,

Financial conditions indexes are developed for the United States and euro area using a wide range of financial indicators and a dynamic factor model. The financial conditions indexes are shown to be useful for fore...