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A Financial Conditions Index for Greece

A Financial Conditions Index for Greece »

Volume/Issue: 2015/220

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jonathan Manning , and Maral Shamloo

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 02 October 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513520230.001

ISBN: 9781513520230

Keywords: Financial conditions, principal component analysis, monetary policy, credit growth, financial shocks, loans, balance sheets, Forecasting and Simulation, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, General,

We construct a Financial Conditions Index (FCI) for Greece as a surveillance tool to quantify the degree of the stress in the financial sector. We use principal component analysis to capture the information content...

Default, Credit Growth, and Asset Prices

Default, Credit Growth, and Asset Prices »

Volume/Issue: 2006/223

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): C. Goodhart , Miguel Segoviano Basurto , and Boris Hofmann

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2006

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451864830.001

ISBN: 9781451864830

Keywords: Probability of default, macroeconomic shocks, financial surveillance, banking, bank lending, probability, Econometric Modeling: General, Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: Forecasting and Simulation

This paper uses a Merton-type estimate of the probability of default (PoD) for the main banks in a sample of Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development and middle-income countries as a proxy for the frag...

A Financial Conditions Index for Poland

A Financial Conditions Index for Poland »

Volume/Issue: 2013/252

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Giang Ho , and Yinqiu Lu

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 19 December 2013

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475540642.001

ISBN: 9781475540642

Keywords: Financial conditions index, factor analysis, vector auto-regression, gdp growth, bond, bond yield, government bond yield, government bond, Forecasting and Simulation, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy

This paper constructs a financial conditions index for Poland to explore the link between financial conditions and real economic activity. The index in constructed by applying two complementary approaches-factor an...

Corporate Balance Sheet Restructuring and Investment in the Euro Area

Corporate Balance Sheet Restructuring and Investment in the Euro Area »

Volume/Issue: 2003/117

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Albert Jaeger

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2003

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451854039.001

ISBN: 9781451854039

Keywords: Corporate investment and financing, business cycle, capital stock, financial assets, cost of capital, stock market, capital markets, Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: Forecasting and Simulation,

The recent boom-bust cycle in the euro area's equity valuations has left nonfinancial corporations saddled with a legacy of high debt or leverage. Models of corporate investment behavior based on imperfect capital...

Financial Crises in DSGE Models
			: A Prototype Model

Financial Crises in DSGE Models : A Prototype Model »

Volume/Issue: 2014/57

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jaromir Benes , Michael Kumhof , and Douglas Laxton

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 04 April 2014

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475540895.001

ISBN: 9781475540895

Keywords: lending boom, credit crunch, financialy cycle, asset price bubble, bank capital, bank balance sheets, bank deposits, banking, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, Forecasting and Simulation,

This paper presents the theoretical structure of MAPMOD, a new IMF model designed to study vulnerabilities associated with excessive credit expansions, and to support macroprudential policy analysis. In MAPMOD, ban...

Insurance Companies in Emerging Markets

Insurance Companies in Emerging Markets »

Volume/Issue: 2005/88

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Janet Kong , and Manmohan Singh

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2005

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451861075.001

ISBN: 9781451861075

Keywords: asset allocation, investments, life insurers, life insurance, risk management, General Financial Markets: Government Policy and Regulation, International Finance Forecasting and Simulation,

This paper focuses on asset allocation decisions of life insurance companies in emerging markets. Mature market insurers allocate only a small fraction of their assets to emerging markets because of regulatory cons...

The Composition of Fiscal Consolidation Matters
			: Policy Simulations for Hungary

The Composition of Fiscal Consolidation Matters : Policy Simulations for Hungary »

Volume/Issue: 2013/207

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Alejandro Guerson

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 04 October 2013

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484305225.001

ISBN: 9781484305225

Keywords: DSGE models, overlapping generations households, liquidity constrained households, financial accelerator, macro-financial linkages, investment, goods, consumption, gdp, taxes

This paper evaluates policy alternatives to achieve permanent fiscal consolidation in Hungary, based on a general equilibrium calibration. The main finding is that the composition of the consolidation, as determine...

International Transmission of Bank and Corporate Distress

International Transmission of Bank and Corporate Distress »

Volume/Issue: 2010/124

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Papa N'Diaye , Dale Gray , Natalia Tamirisa , Hiroko Oura , and Qianying Chen

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2010

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781455200832.001

ISBN: 9781455200832

Keywords: bank, corporate, distress, GVAR, financial, international, probability, bank distress, probabilities, bank default

The paper evaluates how increases in banks' and nonfinancial corporates' default risk are transmitted in the global economy, using in a vector autoregression model for 30 advanced and emerging economies for the per...

International Reserve Adequacy in Central America

International Reserve Adequacy in Central America »

Volume/Issue: 2011/144

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Kristin Magnussen

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2011

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781455268443.001

ISBN: 9781455268443

Keywords: Foreign reserves, balance of payments crises, financial dollarization, international reserves, external debt, exchange rate, emerging markets, current account, International Finance Forecasting and Simulation, Open Economy Macroeconomics,

Countries' absolute and relative international reserves adequacy has recently attracted considerable attention. The analysis has however concentrated on the largest and most advanced economies. We apply various met...

Financial Frictions and Sources of Business Cycle

Financial Frictions and Sources of Business Cycle »

Volume/Issue: 2014/194

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Marzie Taheri Sanjani

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 October 2014

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781498347792.001

ISBN: 9781498347792

Keywords: DSGE, Bayesian Estimation, Financial Frictions, Sources of Business Cycle, business cycle, business cycle fluctuations, Bayesian Analysis, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, Forecasting and Simulation, Monetary Policy (Targets

This paper estimates a New Keynesian DSGE model with an explicit financial intermediary sector. Having measures of financial stress, such as the spread between lending and borrowing, enables the model to capture th...