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Costa Rica: Selected Issues and Analytical Notes

Costa Rica: Selected Issues and Analytical Notes »

Source: Costa Rica : Selected Issues and Analytical Notes

Volume/Issue: 2015/30

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 04 February 2015

ISBN: 9781475527025

Keywords: gdp, potential output, unemployment, inflation, prices

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Albania: Selected Issues

Albania: Selected Issues »

Source: Albania : Selected Issues

Volume/Issue: 2016/143

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. European Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 09 June 2016

ISBN: 9781484379097

Keywords: growth, capital, potential output, gdp, credit

This paper aims to determine how much of the economic slowdown of Albania is owing to cyclical conditions and how much to a reduction in potential growth. The analysis shows that average growth in 2009-14 dropped b...

Albania: Selected Issues

Albania: Selected Issues »

Source: Albania : Selected Issues

Volume/Issue: 2016/143

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. European Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 09 June 2016

ISBN: 9781484379097

Keywords: growth, capital, potential output, gdp, credit

This paper aims to determine how much of the economic slowdown of Albania is owing to cyclical conditions and how much to a reduction in potential growth. The analysis shows that average growth in 2009-14 dropped b...

Albania: Selected Issues

Albania: Selected Issues »

Source: Albania : Selected Issues

Volume/Issue: 2016/143

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. European Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 09 June 2016

ISBN: 9781484379097

Keywords: growth, capital, potential output, gdp, credit

This paper aims to determine how much of the economic slowdown of Albania is owing to cyclical conditions and how much to a reduction in potential growth. The analysis shows that average growth in 2009-14 dropped b...

China’s Growth

China’s Growth »

Source: China's Growth : Can Goldilocks Outgrow Bears?

Volume/Issue: 2015/113

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Wojciech Maliszewski , and Longmei Zhang

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 27 May 2015

ISBN: 9781513504643

Keywords: potential growth, output gap, production, investment, inflation, credit, potential output, Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development,

The paper analyzes the recent growth dynamics in China, evaluating both cyclical positions and long-term growth prospects. The analysis shows that financial cycles play a more important role than traditional inflat...

Potential Growth in Colombia

Potential Growth in Colombia »

Source: Potential Growth in Colombia

Volume/Issue: 2017/238

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Sergi Lanau , Jorge Roldos , and Jose Daniel Rodríguez-Delgado

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 13 November 2017

ISBN: 9781484324929

Keywords: Western Hemisphere, Colombia, Potential output, Potential output; Colombia; Investment, Investment, General, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy

This paper uses a multivariate filter and a production function to project potential growth in Colombia, modeling in detail the impact of low oil prices on investment. The framework also captures the impact of curr...

A Fresh Look at Potential Output in Central, Eastern, and Southeastern European Countries1

A Fresh Look at Potential Output in Central, Eastern, and Southeastern European Countries1 »

Source: A Fresh Look at Potential Output in Central, Eastern, and Southeastern European Countries

Volume/Issue: 2017/37

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jiri Podpiera , Faezeh Raei , and Ara Stepanyan

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 14 February 2017

ISBN: 9781475578980

Keywords: Central and Eastern Europe, Economic growth, Emerging markets, Cross country analysis, Potential output, Potential output; Output gap; Emerging Markets, Output gap, General, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy

Was the postcrisis growth slowdown in Central, Eastern and Southeastern Europe (CESEE) structural or cyclical? We use three different methods-production function approach, basic multivariate filter, and multivariat...

Multivariate Filter Estimation of Potential Output for the United States: An Extension with Labor Market Hysteresis

Multivariate Filter Estimation of Potential Output for the United States: An Extension with Labor Market Hysteresis »

Source: Multivariate Filter Estimation of Potential Output for the United States: An Extension with Labor Market Hysteresis

Volume/Issue: 2019/35

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ali Alichi , Hayk Avetisyan , Douglas Laxton , Shalva Mkhatrishvili , Armen Nurbekyan , Lusine Torosyan , and Hou Wang

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 19 February 2019

ISBN: 9781484398067

Keywords: Business cycles, Unemployment, Potential output, Capacity utilization, Production growth, Macroeconomic Modeling;output gap;NAIRU;hysteresis;potential growth;Volcker

This paper extends the multivariate filter approach of estimating potential output developed by Alichi and others (2018) to incorporate labor market hysteresis. This extension captures the idea that long and deep r...

Measures of Potential Output

Measures of Potential Output »

Source: Measures of Potential Output : An Application to Israel

Volume/Issue: 1999/96

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Fabio Scacciavillani , and Phillip Swagel

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 1999

ISBN: 9781451851892

Keywords: potential output, output gap, wavelets analysis, inflation, aggregate demand, price level, monetary fund, monetary economics

This paper estimates measures of potential output for Israel, with the aim of providing evidence on whether the recent growth slowdown is principally a cyclical slowdown or a structural shift toward a slower growth...

IMF Estimates of Potential Output

IMF Estimates of Potential Output »

Source: IMF Estimates of Potential Output : Theory and Practice

Volume/Issue: 1997/177

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Paula De Masi

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 1997

ISBN: 9781451974980

Keywords: potential output, output gap, total factor productivity, industrial countries, growth rates, real gdp, growth rate

The concepts of potential output and the output gap are central to the IMF’s analytical work in providing policy recommendations to member governments. This key role has stimulated research at the IMF to dev...