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Short- and Long-Term Poverty and Social Policy in a 'Snakes and Ladders' Model of Growth

Short- and Long-Term Poverty and Social Policy in a 'Snakes and Ladders' Model of Growth »

Source: Short- and Long-Term Poverty and Social Policy in a 'Snakes and Ladders' Model of Growth

Volume/Issue: 2001/172

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Alfredo Cuevas

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 2001

ISBN: 9781451858570

Keywords: social insurance, income distribution, social safety nets, social safety net, Welfare and Poverty: General, One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models,

Throughout the world, the great popularity of programs to protect those who may fall into poverty stands in contrast with the weakness of policies aimed at helping individuals who are already poor to overcome long-...

Financial Deepening, Inequality, and Growth

Financial Deepening, Inequality, and Growth »

Source: Financial Deepening, Inequality, and Growth : A Model-Based Quantitative Evaluation

Volume/Issue: 2003/193

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Robert Townsend , and Kenichi Ueda

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2003

ISBN: 9781451859836

Keywords: Financial deepening, inequality, growth, transitional dynamics, growth rate, equation, gdp growth, law of large numbers, gdp growth rate, Model Evaluation and Selection

We propose a coherent unified approach to the study of the linkages among economic growth, financial structure, and inequality, bringing together disparate theoretical and empirical literature. That is, we show how...

The Information Content of Money in Forecasting Euro Area Inflation

The Information Content of Money in Forecasting Euro Area Inflation »

Source: The Information Content of Money in Forecasting Euro Area Inflation

Volume/Issue: 2008/166

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Emil Stavrev , and Helge Berger

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 2008

ISBN: 9781451870244

Keywords: Information content of money, inflation forecasting, New Keynesian model, DSGE model, P* model, Two-pillar Phillips curve, VAR model, general dynamic factor model, Bayesian estimation, aggregate demand

This paper contributes to the debate on the role of money in monetary policy by analyzing the information content of money in forecasting euro-area inflation. We compare the predictive performance within and among...

Financial Integration, Growth, and Volatility

Financial Integration, Growth, and Volatility »

Source: Financial Integration, Growth, and Volatility

Volume/Issue: 2005/67

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Anne Epaulard , and Aude Pommeret

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2005

ISBN: 9781451860863

Keywords: Risk-sharing, Endogenous Growth, Stochastic Growth, global financial markets, financial markets, foreign assets, General Aggregative Models: Neoclassical, International Factor Movements and International Business: General, Financial Aspects of Economic Integration, Economic Growth of Open Economies

The aim of this paper is to evaluate the welfare gains from financial integration for developing and emerging market economies. To do so, we build a stochastic endogenous growth model for a small open economy that...

Columbia or High School? Understanding the Roles of Education in Development

Columbia or High School? Understanding the Roles of Education in Development »

Source: Columbia or High School? Understanding the Roles of Education in Development

Volume/Issue: 2002/36

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Rodney Ramcharan

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2002

ISBN: 9781451845464

Keywords: growth, schooling, secondary schooling, educational investment, secondary education, educational attainment, Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development, One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models

No country has achieved sustained economic development without investment in education. Thus, education policy can play a vital role in facilitating development. But which types of schooling-secondary or tertiary-s...

Tuning in RBC Growth Spectra

Tuning in RBC Growth Spectra »

Source: Tuning in RBC Growth Spectra

Volume/Issue: 2016/215

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Szilard Benk , Tamas Csabafi , Jing Dang , Max Gillman , and Michal Kejak

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 10 November 2016

ISBN: 9781475552775

Keywords: Total factor productivity, United States, United States, Econometric models, Investment, Human capital, Economic growth, Business cycles, Real Business cycles, amplification

For US postwar data, the paper explains central consumption, labor, investment and output correlations and volatilities along with output growth persistence by including a human capital investment sector and a vari...

Modeling with Limited Data

Modeling with Limited Data »

Source: Modeling with Limited Data : Estimating Potential Growth in Cambodia

Volume/Issue: 2012/96

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2012

ISBN: 9781475502862

Keywords: growth diagnostics, export diversification, fixed capital formation, factor accumulation, output growth, Forecasting and Other Model Applications, Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: Forecasting and Simulation, One

This paper proposes a framework to analyze long-term potential growth that combines a simple quantitative model with an investigative approach of ‘growth diagnostics'. The framework is used to forecast potential gr...

Banks As Coordinators of Economic Growth

Banks As Coordinators of Economic Growth »

Source: Banks As Coordinators of Economic Growth

Volume/Issue: 2006/264

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Kenichi Ueda

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 2006

ISBN: 9781451865240

Keywords: Bank-oriented financial system, bank control, firm group, interbank market, deposit rate, bond, banking, financial system, Noncooperative Games, Exchange and Production Economies

This paper formally identifies an important role of banks: Banks competitively internalize production externalities and facilitate economic growth. I formulate a canonical growth model with externalities as a game...

J-Curve of Productivity and Growth

J-Curve of Productivity and Growth »

Source: J-Curve of Productivity and Growth : Indian Manufacturing Post-Liberalization

Volume/Issue: 2011/163

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Arvind Virmani , and Danish Hashim

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 2011

ISBN: 9781455298730

Keywords: Indian manufacturing, productivity &;amp;#x0026; output growth, J-curve hypothesis, productivity growth, output growth, manufacturing sector, import liberalization, manufacturing industries, One, Two

Most estimates of Indian manufacturing productivity find a slowdown in the 1990s. This has puzzled analysts, given that 1990s reforms were deeper and wider than the 1980s reforms that raised the growth rate of the...

Investing Volatile Oil Revenues in Capital-Scarce Economies

Investing Volatile Oil Revenues in Capital-Scarce Economies »

Source: Investing Volatile Oil Revenues in Capital-Scarce Economies : An Application to Angola

Volume/Issue: 2013/147

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Christine Richmond , Irene Yackovlev , and Susan Yang

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 12 June 2013

ISBN: 9781484393000

Keywords: natural, resource, resource-rich, DSGE models, oil, budget constraint, government budget constraint, capital investment, Exhaustible Resources and Economic Development, Economic Growth of Open Economies

Natural resource revenues are an increasingly important financing source for public investment in many developing economies. Investing volatile resource revenues, however, may subject an economy to macroeconomic in...