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Performance of Fiscal Accounts in South Africa in a Cross-Country Setting

Performance of Fiscal Accounts in South Africa in a Cross-Country Setting »

Source: Performance of Fiscal Accounts in South Africa in a Cross-Country Setting

Volume/Issue: 2010/217

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Burcu Aydin

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2010

ISBN: 9781455208821

Keywords: structural balance, panel data, tax revenue, financial crisis, global financial crisis, revenue collection, fiscal accounts, Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Time-Series Models, Econometric Modeling: General,

This paper analyzes the cyclical fluctuations in South Africa in a cross-country context, and studies the impact of the output gap by controlling for export intensity, the debt burden, asset prices, and banking cri...

The Impact of the Global Financial Crisis on Banking Globalization

The Impact of the Global Financial Crisis on Banking Globalization »

Volume/Issue: 2014/197

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Stijn Claessens , and Neeltje Horen

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 27 October 2014

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781498301435.001

ISBN: 9781498301435

Keywords: financial globalization, global financial crisis, financial fragmentation, host country, banking, foreign bank, host countries,

Although cross-border bank lending has fallen sharply since the crisis, extending our bank ownership database from 1995-2009 up to 2013 shows only limited retrenchment in foreign bank presence. While banks from OEC...

Comparing the Performance of Logit and Probit Early Warning Systems for Currency Crises in Emerging Market Economies

Comparing the Performance of Logit and Probit Early Warning Systems for Currency Crises in Emerging Market Economies »

Volume/Issue: 2014/65

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Fabio Comelli

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 17 April 2014

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484355282.001

ISBN: 9781484355282

Keywords: out-of-sample performance, currency crisis, crisis episodes, global financial crisis, General, out-of-sample performance.,

We compare how logit (fixed effects) and probit early warning systems (EWS) predict insample and out-of-sample currency crises in emerging markets (EMs). We look at episodes of currency crises that took place in 29...

Shock Therapy! What Role for Thai Monetary Policy?

Shock Therapy! What Role for Thai Monetary Policy? »

Source: Shock Therapy! What Role for Thai Monetary Policy?

Volume/Issue: 2012/269

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Harun Alp , and Selim Elekdag

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 08 November 2012

ISBN: 9781475542851

Keywords: financial accelerator, Bayesian estimation, DSGE model, global financial crisis, Thai floods, emerging markets, exchange rate, inflation, exchange rate regime, emerging markets.

Thailand had to endure three major shocks during 2008-2011: the global financial crisis, the Japanese earthquake, and the Thai floods of 2011. Over this period, consistent with its inflation targeting framework, th...

Credit Growth and Economic Recovery in Europe After the Global Financial Crisis

Credit Growth and Economic Recovery in Europe After the Global Financial Crisis »

Source: Credit Growth and Economic Recovery in Europe After the Global Financial Crisis

Volume/Issue: 2017/256

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Sergei Antoshin , Marco Arena , Nikolay Gueorguiev , Tonny Lybek , John Ralyea , and Etienne Yehoue

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 17 November 2017

ISBN: 9781484329610

Keywords: Financial crises, Europe, Economic recovery, credit growth, creditless recoveries, bank profitability, global financial crisis, Models with Panel Data, Single Equation Models, Single Variables

This paper reviews the empirical relationships between credit growth, economic recovery, and bank profitability in Europe after the global financial crisis (GFC). We find that the post-GFC recoveries in Europe have...

Did Export Diversification Soften the Impact of the Global Financial Crisis?

Did Export Diversification Soften the Impact of the Global Financial Crisis? »

Source: Did Export Diversification Soften the Impact of the Global Financial Crisis?

Volume/Issue: 2011/99

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Rafael Romeu , and Nelson Costa Neto

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2011

ISBN: 9781455254309

Keywords: global financial crisis, HS classification, empirical, exporter, export diversification, trading partner, bilateral trade, trading partners, Studies of Particular Policy Episodes, International Finance: General,

This study considers the role of export diversification in determining trade outcomes during the global financial crisis. The impact of export diversification (or concentration) is measured by assessing three diffe...

The U.S. Manufacturing Recovery: Uptick or Renaissance?

The U.S. Manufacturing Recovery: Uptick or Renaissance? »

Source: The U.S. Manufacturing Recovery : Uptick or Renaissance?

Volume/Issue: 2014/28

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Oya Celasun , Gabriel Di Bella , Tim Mahedy , and Chris Papageorgiou

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 12 February 2014

ISBN: 9781484301821

Keywords: U.S. manufacturing sector, durable and nondurable subsectors, Global Financial Crisis, shale gas, exchange rate, growth, gas, recession, oil, employment

The notable rebound of U.S. manufacturing activity following the Great Recession has raised the question of whether the sector might be experiencing a renaissance. Using panel regressions, we find that a depreciati...

Crisis and Recovery

Crisis and Recovery »

Source: Crisis and Recovery : Role of the Exchange Rate Regime in Emerging Market Countries

Volume/Issue: 2010/242

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Charalambos Tsangarides

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2010

ISBN: 9781455209422

Keywords: Global financial crisis, fixed exchange rate, growth, emerging market economies, exchange rate regime, exchange rate, current account balance, terms of trade

This paper examines the role of the exchange rate regime in explaining how emerging market economies fared in the recent global financial crisis, particularly in terms of output losses and growth resilience. After...

Can Global Liquidity Forecast Asset Prices?

Can Global Liquidity Forecast Asset Prices? »

Volume/Issue: 2010/196

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Reginald Darius

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2010

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781455205264.001

ISBN: 9781455205264

Keywords: Asset Price, Spillover Analysis, central bank, global financial crisis, private credit, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy,

During the period leading up to the global financial crisis many asset classes registered rapid price increases. This coincided with a significant rise in global liquidity. This paper attempts to determine the exte...

The U.S. Federal Debt Outlook: Reading the Tea Leaves1

The U.S. Federal Debt Outlook: Reading the Tea Leaves1 »

Source: Crisis Management and Resolution for a European Banking System

Volume/Issue: 2010/62

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Alessandro Giustiniani , Wim Fonteyne , Wouter Bossu , Alessandro Gullo , Seán Kerr , Daniel Hardy , and Luis Cortavarria-Checkley

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2010

ISBN: 9781451982695

Keywords: Banking, Banking supervision, Banking crises, Financial stability, Financial crisis, Financial integration, Banking systems, Bank reforms, Crisis management, Crisis resolution

This paper proposes an integrated crisis management and resolution framework for the EU's single banking market. It comprises a European Resolution Authority (ERA), armed with the mandate and the tools to deal cost...