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Sovereign Default Risk and Private Sector Access to Capital in Emerging Markets

Sovereign Default Risk and Private Sector Access to Capital in Emerging Markets »

Source: Sovereign Default Risk and Private Sector Access to Capital in Emerging Markets

Volume/Issue: 2010/10

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Udaibir Das , Michael Papaioannou , and Christoph Trebesch

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 2010

ISBN: 9781451961942

Keywords: Sovereign default, Private sector access, capital markets, external borrowing, sovereign defaults,

Top down spillovers of sovereign default risk can have serious consequences for the private sector in emerging markets. This paper analyzes the effects of these spillovers using firm-level data from 31 emerging mar...

Persistent Gaps, Volatility Types, and Default Traps

Persistent Gaps, Volatility Types, and Default Traps »

Source: Persistent Gaps, Volatility Types, and Default Traps

Volume/Issue: 2007/148

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ana Fostel , Sandeep Kapur , and Luis Catão

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2007

ISBN: 9781451867121

Keywords: Sovereign Debt, Default, Country Spreads, Output Volatility and Persistence, bond, bonds, sovereign bond, bondholders, Sovereign Debt. Default,

We show that cross-country differences in the underlying volatility and persistence of macroeconomic shocks help explain two historical regularities in sovereign borrowing: the existence of "vicious" circles of bor...

Serial Sovereign Defaults and Debt Restructurings

Serial Sovereign Defaults and Debt Restructurings »

Source: Serial Sovereign Defaults and Debt Restructurings

Volume/Issue: 2016/66

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Tamon Asonuma

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 16 March 2016

ISBN: 9781513596648

Keywords: Serial Default, Sovereign Default, Past Credit History, Haircuts, Recovery rates, Risk Premia, debt, default, defaults, return

Emerging countries that have defaulted on their debt repayment obligations in the past are more likely to default again in the future than are non-defaulters even with the same external debt-to-GDP ratio. These cou...

The Costs of Sovereign Default

The Costs of Sovereign Default »

Source: The Costs of Sovereign Default

Volume/Issue: 2008/238

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Eduardo Borensztein , and Ugo Panizza

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2008

ISBN: 9781451870961

Keywords: Country Risk, banking, banking crises, banking crisis, sovereign default,

This paper evaluates empirically four types of cost that may result from an international sovereign default: reputational costs, international trade exclusion costs, costs to the domestic economy through the financ...

Sovereign Debt Restructurings 1950-2010

Sovereign Debt Restructurings 1950-2010 »

Source: Sovereign Debt Restructurings 1950-2010 : Literature Survey, Data, and Stylized Facts

Volume/Issue: 2012/203

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Christoph Trebesch , Michael Papaioannou , and Udaibir Das

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2012

ISBN: 9781475505535

Keywords: Sovereign Default, debt, restructuring, creditor, International Lending and Debt Problems,

This paper provides a comprehensive survey of pertinent issues on sovereign debt restructurings, based on a newly constructed database. This is the first complete dataset of sovereign restructuring cases, covering...

The Cost of Aggressive Sovereign Debt Policies

The Cost of Aggressive Sovereign Debt Policies »

Source: The Cost of Aggressive Sovereign Debt Policies : How Much is theprivate Sector Affected?

Volume/Issue: 2009/29

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Christoph Trebesch

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2009

ISBN: 9781451871760

Keywords: Sovereign Default, Reputation Spillovers, debt policies, debt crisis, external borrowing,

This paper proposes a new empirical measure of cooperative versus conflictual crisis resolution following sovereign default and debt distress. The index of government coerciveness is presented as a proxy for excusa...

Italy

Italy »

Source: Italy : Technical Note on Stress Testing The Banking Sector

Volume/Issue: 2013/349

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 06 December 2013

ISBN: 9781475514445

Keywords: banking, banking system, sovereign risk, banking sector, probability of default

This Technical Note elaborates the recommendations made in the Financial Sector Assessment Program for Italy in the areas of contingency planning, crisis management, and bank resolution. The note sets out a brief o...

A General Equilibrium Model of Sovereign Default and Business Cycles*

A General Equilibrium Model of Sovereign Default and Business Cycles* »

Source: A General Equilibrium Model of Sovereign Default and Business Cycles

Volume/Issue: 2011/166

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Zhanwei Yue , and Enrique Mendoza

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 2011

ISBN: 9781462302222

Keywords: Sovereign default, country risk, imported inputs, intermediate goods, debt ratio,

Emerging markets business cycle models treat default risk as part of an exogenous interest rate on working capital, while sovereign default models treat income fluctuations as an exogenous endowment process with ad...

Debt Maturity

Debt Maturity »

Source: Debt Maturity : Does It Matter for Fiscal Space?

Volume/Issue: 2015/257

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jun Kim

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 09 December 2015

ISBN: 9781513511931

Keywords: Debt sustainability, Fiscal policy, Public debt, Econometric models, Fiscal space, Sovereign debt defaults, sovereign default, debt maturity, debt limit, Deficit

This paper examines how debt maturity affects the debt limit, defined as the maximum amount of debt a government can afford without defaulting. We develop a model where investors are risk neutral, the primary balan...

The Determinants of Corporate Risk in Emerging Markets

The Determinants of Corporate Risk in Emerging Markets »

Source: The Determinants of Corporate Risk in Emerging Markets : An Option-Adjusted Spread Analysis

Volume/Issue: 2007/228

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Eduardo Cavallo , and Patricio Valenzuela

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2007

ISBN: 9781451867923

Keywords: Corporate bond spreads, sovereign ceiling, default risk, emerging market, bond, sovereign risk, corporate bond, bond spreads,

This study explores the determinants of corporate bond spreads in emerging markets economies. Using a largely unexploited dataset, the paper finds that corporate bond spreads are determined by firm-specific variabl...