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Financial Development and Economic Growth

Financial Development and Economic Growth »

Source: Financial Development and Economic Growth : An Economic Analysis for Singapore

Volume/Issue: 1996/15

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Lamin Leigh

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 1996

ISBN: 9781451843217

Keywords: equation, statistics, growth model, time series, cointegration

With the emergence of the rapidly expanding literature on endogenous growth, the relationship between financial development and economic growth has received a new source of inspiration. Recent cointegration techniq...

Macroeconomic Fluctuations and Equilibrium Discount Factors

Macroeconomic Fluctuations and Equilibrium Discount Factors »

Source: Macroeconomic Fluctuations and Equilibrium Discount Factors

Volume/Issue: 1996/118

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Charles Kramer

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 1996

ISBN: 9781451940886

Keywords: time series, stock returns, stochastic discount, statistics, linear model

The estimation of discount factors is a central issue in empirical finance, particularly in the literature on excess volatility. In particular, it is difficult to find empirical discount factors that are volatile e...

Money Demand in the Euro Area

Money Demand in the Euro Area »

Source: Money Demand in the Euro Area : Where Do We Stand (Today)?

Volume/Issue: 2002/185

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Zenon Kontolemis

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 2002

ISBN: 9781451859423

Keywords: EMU, Taylor Rule, Cointegration, inflation, equation, equations, Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Time-Series Models,

The paper reviews the stability of long-run money demand in the euro area in the light of recent revisions to M3 data. The analysis confirms the existence of a stable long-run money demand, although the estimated e...

Assessing the Variability of Tax Elasticities in Lithuania

Assessing the Variability of Tax Elasticities in Lithuania »

Source: Assessing the Variability of Tax Elasticities in Lithuania

Volume/Issue: 2011/270

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Tigran Poghosyan

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 2011

ISBN: 9781463925222

Keywords: tax revenues, tax compliance, tax system, Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Time-Series Models,

This paper quantifies the variability of tax elasticities in Lithuania using two alternative methods: rolling regressions and pooled mean group estimator. The analysis is motivated by the systematic variation of ta...

Inflation and Monetary Pass-Through in Guinea

Inflation and Monetary Pass-Through in Guinea »

Source: Inflation and Monetary Pass-Through in Guinea

Volume/Issue: 2004/223

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Rodolphe Blavy

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2004

ISBN: 9781451875324

Keywords: cointegration, error correction model, price level, money growth, Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Time-Series Models, Economywide Country Studies: Africa,

The paper analyzes the dynamics of inflation in Guinea during 1992-2003 applying cointegration and error-correction modeling to a bivariate model that includes consumer price and monetary variables. The empirical r...

External Conditions and Debt Sustainability in Latin America*

External Conditions and Debt Sustainability in Latin America* »

Source: External Conditions and Debt Sustainability in Latin America

Volume/Issue: 2013/27

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Gustavo Adler , and Sebastian Sosa

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 30 January 2013

ISBN: 9781475588835

Keywords: debt dynamics, debt ratios, Time-Series Models, Open Economy Macroeconomics, Forecasting and Simulation, Deficit,

Highly favorable external conditions have helped Latin America strengthen its economic fundamentals over the last decade. But, has the region built enough buffers to guard itself from a weakening of the external en...

Global Bonding

Global Bonding »

Source: Global Bonding : Do U.S. Bond and Equity Spillovers Dominate Global Financial Markets?

Volume/Issue: 2012/298

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Tamim Bayoumi , and Trung Bui

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 20 December 2012

ISBN: 9781475586633

Keywords: Identification, international financial linkages, bond, equity markets, bond yields, financial markets, Estimation, Time-Series Models, General,

This paper uses a novel variant of identification through hetroscedacity to estimate spillovers across U.S., Euro area, Japanese, and UK government bond and equity markets in a vector autoregression. The results su...

The Use of Encompassing Tests for Forecast Combinations

The Use of Encompassing Tests for Forecast Combinations »

Source: The Use of Encompassing Tests for Forecast Combinations

Volume/Issue: 2007/264

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Turgut Kisinbay

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 2007

ISBN: 9781451868272

Keywords: forecast combination, forecast encompassing, thick-modeling, forecasting, significance level, time series, significance levels, econometrics,

The paper proposes an algorithm that uses forecast encompassing tests for combining forecasts. The algorithm excludes a forecast from the combination if it is encompassed by another forecast. To assess the usefulne...

Understanding DSGE Filters in Forecasting and Policy Analysis

Understanding DSGE Filters in Forecasting and Policy Analysis »

Source: Understanding DSGE Filters in Forecasting and Policy Analysis

Volume/Issue: 2013/98

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Michal Andrle

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 08 May 2013

ISBN: 9781484301357

Keywords: filters, DSGE models, observable decomposition, time series, inflation, monetary fund, national bank, General,

This paper introduces methods that allow analysts to (i) decompose the estimates of unobserved quantities into observed data, (ii) to better understand revision properties of the model, and (iii) to impose subjecti...

Monetary Policy and Inflation Dynamics in ASEAN Economies

Monetary Policy and Inflation Dynamics in ASEAN Economies »

Source: Monetary Policy and Inflation Dynamics in ASEAN Economies

Volume/Issue: 2018/147

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Geraldine Dany-Knedlik , and Juan Angel Garcia

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 21 June 2018

ISBN: 9781484363041

Keywords: Inflation expectations, Monetary policy, Phillips curve, ASEAN countries, Time-Series Models, General

This paper investigates the evolution of inflation dynamics in the five largest ASEAN countries between 1997 and 2017. To account for changes in the monetary policy frameworks since the Asian Financial Crisis (AFC)...