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Estimates of the Output Gap in Armenia with Applications to Monetary and Fiscal Policy1

Estimates of the Output Gap in Armenia with Applications to Monetary and Fiscal Policy1 »

Source: Estimates of the Output Gap in Armenia with Applications to Monetary and Fiscal Policy

Volume/Issue: 2010/197

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2010

ISBN: 9781455205271

Keywords: Bayesian Analysis, New Keynesian Phillips Curve, Cyclically-Adjusted Balance, Fiscal Stance, Fiscal Impulse, fiscal balance,

This paper employs several econometric techniques to estimate the Armenian output gap. The findings indicate that the output gap is significantly positive in 2007 and 2008 and decreased dramatically in 2009. The pa...

Simple, Implementable Fiscal Policy Rules

Simple, Implementable Fiscal Policy Rules »

Source: Simple, Implementable Fiscal Policy Rules

Volume/Issue: 2009/76

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Michael Kumhof , and Douglas Laxton

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2009

ISBN: 9781451872231

Keywords: Fiscal policy rules, balanced budget rules, countercyclical fiscal policy, welfare analysis, tax revenue, fiscal instruments, inflation,

This paper analyzes the scope for systematic rules-based fiscal activism in open economies. Relative to a balanced budget rule, automatic stabilizers significantly improve welfare. But they minimize fiscal instrume...

Fiscal Multipliers and the State of the Economy1

Fiscal Multipliers and the State of the Economy1 »

Source: Fiscal Multipliers and the State of the Economy

Volume/Issue: 2012/286

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Anja Baum , Marcos Poplawski-Ribeiro , and Anke Weber

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 05 December 2012

ISBN: 9781475565829

Keywords: business cycle, nonlinear analysis, fiscal multipliers, fiscal adjustment, government spending, fiscal consolidation, fiscal multipliers., Quantitative Policy Modeling,

Only a few empirical studies have analyzed the relationship between fiscal multipliers and the underlying state of the economy. This paper investigates this link on a country-by-country basis for the G7 economies (...

Front-Loaded or Back-Loaded Fiscal Adjustments

Front-Loaded or Back-Loaded Fiscal Adjustments »

Source: Front-Loaded or Back-Loaded Fiscal Adjustments : What Works in Emerging Market Economies?

Volume/Issue: 2004/157

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Benedict Clements , Sanjeev Gupta , Emanuele Baldacci , and Carlos Mulas-Granados

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2004

ISBN: 9781451857528

Keywords: fiscal consolidations, fiscal adjustments, fiscal sustainability, probability, statistics, Duration Analysis, Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents: General,

This paper investigates the political and economic determinants of successful fiscal adjustment in 25 emerging market economies from 1980 to 2001. The results show that large and back-loaded fiscal adjustments have...

Malaysia

Malaysia »

Source: Malaysia : Technical Assistance Report-Government Finance Statistics Mission and Preceding Remote Support

Volume/Issue: 2019/269

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Statistics Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 13 August 2019

ISBN: 9781513510781

Keywords: Public sector investments, Fiscal sector, Economic analysis, Financial statements, Data analysis, GFS, MOF, extrabudgetary, accrual, revised survey

This technical assistance report on Malaysia explains the effort by the mission to support the Malaysian authorities in improving Government Finance Statistics (GFS) decision making. The mission achieved significan...

Macrofinancial Analysis in the World Economy

Macrofinancial Analysis in the World Economy »

Source: Macrofinancial Analysis in the World Economy : A Panel Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Approach

Volume/Issue: 2015/227

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Francis Vitek

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 28 October 2015

ISBN: 9781513537429

Keywords: Monetary policy analysis, Fiscal policy analysis, Macroprudential policy analysis, Spillover analysis, Forecasting, World economy, Bayesian econometrics, financial variables, demand, risk

This paper develops a structural macroeconometric model of the world economy, disaggregated into forty national economies. This panel dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model features a range of nominal and rea...

Case Studies of Fiscal Councils - Functions and Impact

Case Studies of Fiscal Councils - Functions and Impact »

Source: Case Studies of Fiscal Councils - Functions and Impact

Volume/Issue: 2013/065

Series: Policy Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 16 July 2013

ISBN: 9781498341479

Keywords: Cross country analysis, Financial management, Fiscal analysis, Fiscal policy, Public finance, Old age pensions, Economic conditions, Economic theory, National budgets, PBO

This supplement presents case studies of seven fiscal councils and examines how each council performs its core functions and if and how it impacts on the fiscal policy debate. The seven fiscal councils are: Belgium...

That Squeezing Feeling

That Squeezing Feeling »

Source: That Squeezing Feeling : The Interest Burden and Public Debt Stabilization

Volume/Issue: 2013/125

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Xavier Debrun , and Tidiane Kinda

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 22 May 2013

ISBN: 9781484321737

Keywords: interest payments, fiscal reaction, fiscal policy, fiscal reaction function, government revenue, Comparative or Joint Analysis of Fiscal and Monetary or Stabilization Policy, Deficit,

The paper explores the extent to which the pressure of debt service on other spending items may push governments to embark on fiscal consolidation beyond what is strictly necessary to secure solvency. The empirical...

Fiscal Risks - Sources, Disclosure, and Management

Fiscal Risks - Sources, Disclosure, and Management »

Source: Fiscal Risks - Sources, Disclosure, and Management

Volume/Issue: 2008/028

Series: Policy Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 31 May 2008

ISBN: 9781498334525

Keywords: Fiscal analysis, Fiscal management, Fiscal transparency, Risk management, Financial statements, Public financial management legislation, Fiscal risk, PP, PPPs, GDP ratio

A number of member countries have expressed interest in advice regarding disclosure and management of fiscal risks (defined as the possibility of deviations of fiscal outcomes from what was expected at the time of...

Restoring Debt Sustainability After Crises

Restoring Debt Sustainability After Crises »

Source: Restoring Debt Sustainability After Crises : Implications for the Fiscal Mix

Volume/Issue: 2010/232

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Emanuele Baldacci , Sanjeev Gupta , and Carlos Mulas-Granados

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2010

ISBN: 9781455209323

Keywords: Survival Analysis, fiscal adjustment, fiscal consolidation, General Financial Markets: Government Policy and Regulation, Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents: General, National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General,

This paper analyzes the experience of 99 advanced and developing economies in restoring fiscal sustainability during 1980 - 2008 after banking crises, which led to large accumulation of public debt. It finds that s...