Abstract

NEGATIVE EURO AREA INTEREST RATES AND SPILLOVERS ON WESTERN BALKAN CENTRAL BANK POLICIES AND INSTRUMENTS MAY 4 – 5, 2017

NEGATIVE EURO AREA INTEREST RATES AND SPILLOVERS ON WESTERN BALKAN CENTRAL BANK POLICIES AND INSTRUMENTS MAY 4 – 5, 2017

CONFERENCE AGENDA

Day 1: May 4, 2017

Welcome Addresses

  • Gent Sejko, Bank of Albania, Governor

  • Christoph Graf, Ambassador of Switzerland in Albania

  • Miguel Savastano, International Monetary Fund, Monetary and Capital Markets Department, Deputy Director

Session 1: Negative euro area interest rates and financial stability: a first look beyond the Western Balkans and general trends

Moderator: Klodion Shehu, Bank of Albania, Financial Stability Department, Director

  • Keynote address: Julia Woerz, Oesterreische Nationalbank, Foreign Research Division, Head: “How do interest rate differentials impact on euroization? Evidence from the OeNB’s Euro Survey”

  • Romain Veyrune, International Monetary Fund, Monetary and Capital Markets Department, Senior Economist: “Negative euro area interest rates and an effective de-euroization strategy”

Session 2: Negative euro area interest rates and financial stability in Western Balkan economies

Moderator: Natasha Ahmetaj, Bank of Albania, Second Deputy Governor

  • Klodion Shehu, Bank of Albania, Financial Stability Department, Director: “Implications of low interest rates for financial stability in Albania”

  • Belma Čolaković, Central Bank of Bosnia and Herzegovina, Chief Economist: “What is obscured by aggregate data in the case of Bosnia and Herzegovina?”

  • Arben Mustafa, Central Bank of the Republic of Kosovo, Advisor to the Governor: “Financial stability under unilateral Euroization: the case of Kosovo”

  • Milena Vučinić, Central Bank of Montenegro, Financial Stability Department: “ECB nonstandard monetary policy measures and financial stability in Western Balkan economies with emphasis on the case of Montenegro”

General Discussion

Session 3: Negative euro area interest rates and reserve management

Moderator: Elisabeta Gjoni, Bank of Albania, First Deputy Governor

  • Keynote address: Roberto de Beaufort Camargo, World Bank, Lead Financial Officer: “Are you prepared to assume the risk of increasing EUR yields?”

  • Victor Andrei, National Bank of Romania, Market Operations Department, Director: “Negative euro area interest rates and reserve management at Central Bank of Romania”

  • Sandor Ladányi, Magyar Nemzeti Bank, Foreign Exchange Reserves Management Strategy Department “Implementation of the new FX reserves investment strategy at the central bank of Hungary”

General Discussion

Session 4: Negative euro area interest rates and reserve management (continued)

Moderator: Roberto de Beaufort Camargo, World Bank, Lead Financial Officer

  • Marian Gjermeni, Bank of Albania, Market Operations Department, Director: “Reserve management challenge: Stability vs. Return”

  • Vesna Hristovska, National Bank of the Republic of Macedonia, Financial Market Operations Department: “Reserve management at the National Bank of the Republic of Macedonia in a context of negative euro area interest rates”

General Discussion

Day 2: May 5, 2017

Session 5: Negative euro area interest rates and monetary policy in the proximity of the euro area

Moderator: Guido Della Valle, International Monetary Fund, Monetary Policy Advisor

  • Keynote address: Ryan Banerjee, Bank for International Settlement, Senior Economist: “Monetary policy in the proximity of the euro area, what changes with negative euro area rates?”

  • Ulrich Bindseil, European Central Bank, Market Operations, Director General: “Rationale of accommodating ECB monetary policy, experience and outlook”

  • Thomas Moser, Swiss National Bank, Alternate Member of the Governing Board: “Monetary Policy below the Zero Lower Bound”

  • Dana Hajkova’ Czech National Bank, Advisor to the Bank Board: “Monetary policy and exchange rate commitment in the Czech Republic”

  • Daniel Felcser, Magyar Nemzeti Bank, Monetary Policy Analysis Department, Senior Economic Analyst: “Non-standard monetary policy in a low interest rate environment”

General Discussion

Session 6: Negative euro area interest rates and monetary policy in the Western Balkans

Moderator: Erald Themeli, Bank of Albania, Monetary Policy Department, Director

  • Keynote address: Isabella Moder, European Central Bank, Economist: “Spillovers of the ECB’s non-standard monetary policy measures on Southeastern Europe”

  • Guido della Valle, International Monetary Fund, Monetary Policy Advisor: “Estimating the lower policy rate bound in an euroized economy”

  • Anita Angelovska Bezhoska, National Bank of the Republic of Macedonia, Vice Governor: “Conduct of monetary policy at National Bank of the Republic of Macedonia: recent challenges and policy response”

  • Branislav Zoroja, National Bank of Serbia, Monetary Operations Department, General Manager: “Conduct of monetary policy with financial stability issues and challenging environment: Case of Serbia”

General Discussion

Concluding Remarks

  • Miguel Savastano, International Monetary Fund, Monetary and Capital Markets Department, Deputy Director

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