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Abstract

This study prepared by the Commodities Division of the Research Department reviews and analyzes the developments in commodity markets.

Statistical Appendix

Appendix Table 1.

Non-Fuel Primary Commodities: Indices of Prices in SDRs and Major Currencies, 1970–First Quarter 1990

(Indices: 1980=100)

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Source: Commodities Division, IMF Research Department. Data relate to a “world” index, that is, to a single basket of 34 non-fuel primary commodities and do not reflect differences in the composition of the basket of primary commodities exported or imported by different countries. See Appendix I of International Monetary Fund, Primary Commodities: Market Developments and Outlook, World Economic and Financial Surveys (Washington, May 1986) for a description of this index.

Non-fuel commodity prices deflated by the index of unit values of manufactured goods exports.

Appendix Table 2.

Non-Fuel Primary Commodities: Indices of Prices in SDRs and U.S. Dollars for Commodity Exports of Industrial Countries and of Developing Countries, 1970–First Quarter 1990

(Indices: 1980=100)

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Source: Commodities Division, IMF Research Department.

See Appendix I of IMF Primary Commodities: Market Developments and Outlook, World Economic and Financial Surveys (Washington, May 1986) for commodity weights in these indices.

Non-fuel commodity prices deflated by the index of unit values of manufactured goods exports.

Appendix Table 3.

Petroleum: Indices of Prices in SDRs and Major Currencies, 1970–First Quarter 1990 1

(Indices: 1980=100)

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Source: Commodities Division, IMF Research Department.

Index of average of spot prices for U.K. Brent, Dubai, and Alaska North Slope crude, equally weighted. See Appendix Table 4.

Non-fuel commodity prices deflated by the index of unit values of manufactured goods exports.

Appendix Table 4.

Petroleum: Prices in SDRs and U.S. Dollars, 1979–First Quarter 1990

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Source: Commodities Division, IMF Research Department.

Average of spot prices for U.K. Brent (light crude), Dubai (medium crude), and Alaska North Slope (heavy crude), equally weighted.

Appendix Table 5.

Cereals: Prices in SDRs and U.S. Dollars, 1979–First Quarter 1990

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Source: Commodities Division, IMF Research Department.

The weights in the index are as follows: wheat, 48 percent; maize, 36 percent; rice, 16 percent.

U.S. No. 1 hard winter wheat, ordinary protein, f.o.b. Gulf of Mexico ports.

U.S. No. 2 yellow corn, f.o.b. Gulf of Mexico ports.

Thai white milled rice, 5 percent broken, f.o.b. Bangkok.

Appendix Table 6.

Vegetable Oils and Protein Meals: Prices in SDRs and U.S. Dollars, 1979–First Quarter 1990

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Source: Commodities Division, IMF Research Department.

The weights in the index are as follows: soybeans, 41 percent; soybean meal, 24 percent; soybean oil, 11 percent; palm oil, 10 percent; coconut oil, 6 percent; fish meal, 5 percent; groundnut oil, 2 percent; groundnut meal, 1 percent; sunflowerseed oil and rapeseed oil are not included in the index.

Dutch, f.o.b. ex-mill Rotterdam.

Sumatra/Malaysian oil, c.i.f. Northwest European ports.

Any origin, ex-tank Rotterdam.

Dutch, f.o.b. ex-mill.

Philippine/Indonesian oil, in bulk, c.i.f. Rotterdam.

Any origin, c.i.f. Rotterdam.

U.S. origin, c.i.f. Rotterdam.

Argentine meal, in bulk, c.i.f. Rotterdam.

Any origin, c.i.f. Hamburg.

Appendix Table 7.

Sugar, Bananas, and Meat: Prices in SDRs and U.S. Dollars, 1979–First Quarter 1990

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Source: Commodities Division, IMF Research Department.

The weights in the index are as follows: free market, 50 percent; European Community, 16 percent; United States, 34 percent.

International Sugar Agreement price, which is an average of the New York contract No. 11 spot price and the London daily price, f.o.b., Caribbean ports.

Unpacked sugar, c.i.f. European ports.

U.S. future import price contract No. 14. Prior to June 1985, New York contract No. 12 spot price, c.i.f. Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico ports.

Central American and Ecuador, f.o.b. U.S. ports. A box is 40 pounds.

Frozen boneless beef, Australian and New Zealand origin, f.o.b. U.S. ports.

Frozen New Zealand lamb, grade PL, Smithfield market, London.

Appendix Table 8.

Beverages: Prices in SDRs and U.S. Dollars, 1979–First Quarter 1990

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Source: Commodities Division, IMF Research Department.

The weights in the index are as follows: coffee, 63 percent; tea, 11 percent; and cocoa beans, 26 percent.

Central American and Mexican origin, average of prices ex-dock New York and ex-dock Bremen/Hamburg.

African origin, average of prices of ex-dock New York and ex-dock Le Havre/Marseille.

Any origin, average London auction prices.

International Cocoa Organization daily prices, averages of three nearest trading months on New York Cocoa Exchange and London Cocoa Terminal Market, c.i.f. U.S. and European ports.

Appendix Table 9.

Agricultural Raw Materials: Prices in SDRs and U.S. Dollars, 1979–First Quarter 1990

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Source: Commodities Division, IMF Research Department.

The weights in the index are as follows: logs, 45 percent; cotton, 17 percent; wool, 10 percent; natural rubber, 11 percent; tobacco, 11 percent; hides, 5 percent; jute and sisal, less than 1 percent.

Malaysian meranti logs, average wholesale price, Japan.

United States, average, estimated prices received by producers.

Malaysian RSSI, f.o.b. Malaysia/Singapore ports.

Liverpool Index A, c.i.f. Liverpool.

U.K. Dominion, 64’s clean, dry combed basis.

Bangladesh BWD, f.o.b. Chittagong/Chalna.

East African origin, upgraded, c.i.f. European ports.

U.S. wholesale price, f.o.b. shipping point Chicago.

Appendix Table 10.

Minerals and Metals: Prices in SDRs and U.S. Dollars, 1979–First Quarter 1990

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Source: Commodities Division, IMF Research Department.

The weights in the index are as follows: copper, 26 percent; aluminum, 20 percent; iron ore, 19 percent; tin, 10 percent; nickel, 8 percent; zinc, 6 percent; lead, 5 percent; phosphate rock, 6 percent.

London Metal Exchange (LME) price, c.i.f. European ports.

Brazilian ore, c.i.f. German ports.

Cold rolled coil, price for export, f.o.b. European Coal and Steel Community mills.

Moroccan rock, f.a.s. Casablanca.

The following symbols have been used throughout this paper:

… to indicate that data are not available;

— to indicate that the figure is zero or less than half the final digit shown, or that the item does not exist;

– between years or months (e.g., 1987–88 or January–June) to indicate the years or months covered, including the beginning and ending years or months;

/ between years (e.g., 1987/88) to indicate a crop or fiscal (financial) year.

“Billion” means a thousand million.

Minor discrepancies between constituent figures and totals are due to rounding.

World Economic and Financial Surveys

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Note: For information on the titles and availability of World Economic and Financial Surveys published prior to 1988, please consult the most recent IMF Publications Catalog or contact IMF Publication Services.

1

In order to avoid giving undue weight to movements in prices arising from changes in exchange rates of individual currencies, price movements are discussed mostly in terms of SDRs. Because U.S. dollar prices are widely used in trade and in press discussions of commodity developments, however, dollar prices are referred to periodically in the text and are shown in the Appendix Tables.

2

Although coverage of individual commodities in Sections II through V is less comprehensive than in previous reports, prices for beef, lamb, bananas, wool, jute, sisal, hides, and phosphate rock are given in the Appendix Tables.

3

Averages of percentage changes in individual countries weighted by the average U.S. dollar value of their respective GNPs.

4

The dollar index in 1989 on average was 1/2 percent lower than the 1988 level, and the decline from the first to the second half of 1989 was 8 percent.

5

Comprising Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Canada, Chile, Colombia, Hungary, Indonesia, Malaysia, New Zealand, the Philippines, Thailand, and Uruguay.

6

James M. Boughton and William H. Branson, “Commodity Prices as a Leading Indicator of Inflation,” National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper No. 2750 (October 1988). The analysis has recently been extended in order to evaluate the relationship between general movements in world prices of primary commodities and the rate of inflation in each of the major industrial countries. See James M. Boughton, William H. Branson, and Alphecca Muttardy, “Commodity Prices and Inflation: Evidence from Seven Large Industrial Countries,” IMF Working Paper No. WP/89/72, September 14, 1989.

7

Owing to the many species of hardwood logs traded, no one series is fully representative of trade in hardwood. The price used in this section is the price of a major species of hardwood, Malaysian meranti, in the largest importing country, Japan.

8

Malaysian meranti, c.i.f. French ports.

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