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Regional Economic Outlook, May 2018, Europe

Managing the Upswing in Uncertain Times

The Spring EUR REO projects the economic outlook for the region for the next six months.

Regional Economic Outlook, April 2018, Western Hemisphere Department

Seizing the Momentum

The Spring 2018 WHD REO projects the economic outlook for the region over the next six months.

Regional Spillovers in Sub-Saharan Africa
			: Exploring Different Channels

New
Regional Spillovers in Sub-Saharan Africa : Exploring Different Channels »

Volume/Issue: 2018/1

Series: Spillover Notes

Author(s): Margaux MacDonald , Montfort Mlachila , Mustafa Yenice , Francisco Arizala , and Matthieu Bellon

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 12 July 2018

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484367148.062

ISBN: 9781484367148

Keywords: Spillovers, Negative spillovers, Positive spillovers, Economic growth, Gross domestric product growth, Growth deceleration, Growth acceleration, sub-Saharan Africa, spillovers, growth

After close to two decades of strong economic activity, overall growth in sub-Saharan Africa decelerated markedly in 2015-16 as the largest economies experienced negative or flat growth. Regional growth started rec...

Investment Slowdown in Denmark: Diagnosis and Policy Options

New
Investment Slowdown in Denmark: Diagnosis and Policy Options »

Volume/Issue: 2018/161

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Tigran Poghosyan

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 12 July 2018

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484367537.001

ISBN: 9781484367537

Keywords: investment, accelerator model, leverage, structural reforms.

Total investment in Denmark has experienced a sharp slowdown following the global financial crisis. This slowdown has coincided with a decline in labor productivity and expansion of the current account surplus. Thi...

Housing Price, Credit, and Output Cycles: How Domestic and External Shocks Impact Lithuania's Credit

New
Housing Price, Credit, and Output Cycles: How Domestic and External Shocks Impact Lithuania's Credit »

Volume/Issue: 2018/160

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Iacovos Ioannou

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 12 July 2018

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484367513.001

ISBN: 9781484367513

Keywords: Credit, house prices, business cycle, macro-financial linkages, contagion

Lithuania's current credit cycle highlights the strong link between housing prices and credit. We explore this relationship in more detail by analyzing the main features of credit, housing price, and output cycles...

Bank Network Analysis in the ECCU

New
Bank Network Analysis in the ECCU »

Volume/Issue: 2018/162

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Balazs Csonto , Alejandro Guerson , Alla Myrvoda , and Emefa Sewordor

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 12 July 2018

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484367506.001

ISBN: 9781484367506

Keywords: Financial Surveillance, Network Analysis, Cross-Border Financial Linkages

This paper applies network analysis to assess the extent of systemic vulnerabilities in the ECCU banking system. It includes two sets of illustrative stress tests. First, solvency and liquidity shocks to each indiv...

Who Pays for Financial Crises? Price and Quantity Rationing of Different Borrowers by Domestic and Foreign Banks

New
Who Pays for Financial Crises? Price and Quantity Rationing of Different Borrowers by Domestic and Foreign Banks »

Volume/Issue: 2018/158

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Allen Berger , Tanakorn Makaew , and Rima Turk-Ariss

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 10 July 2018

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484358191.001

ISBN: 9781484358191

Keywords: Credit Rationing, Foreign Banks, Financial Crises, Relationship Lending

Financial crises result in price and quantity rationing of otherwise creditworthy business borrowers, but little is known about the relative severity of these two types of rationing, which borrowers are rationed mo...

Losing to Blackouts: Evidence from Firm Level Data

New
Losing to Blackouts: Evidence from Firm Level Data »

Volume/Issue: 2018/159

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Daniel Gurara , and Dawit Tessema

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 10 July 2018

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484363973.001

ISBN: 9781484363973

Keywords: Power disruption, Productivity loss, Shutdowns

Many developing economies are often hit by electricity crises either because of supply constraints or lacking in broader energy market reforms. This study uses manufacturing firm census data from Ethiopia to identi...

Vietnam
			: Selected Issues

New
Vietnam : Selected Issues »

Volume/Issue: 2018/216

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 10 July 2018

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484367216.002

ISBN: 9781484367216

Selected Issues...

Vietnam
			: 2018 Article IV Consultation-Press Release and Staff Report

New
Vietnam : 2018 Article IV Consultation-Press Release and Staff Report »

Volume/Issue: 2018/215

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 10 July 2018

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484367155.002

ISBN: 9781484367155

2017 was a bumper year of broad-based and non-inflationary growth. Reforms continued, including in the banking sector, privatizations and cuts in red tape. The momentum is expected to continue, aided by reforms, hi...

Tunisia
			: Third Review under the Extended Fund Facility, and Request for Waiver of Applicability and Modification of Performance Criteria

New
Tunisia : Third Review under the Extended Fund Facility, and Request for Waiver of Applicability and Modification of Performance Criteria »

Volume/Issue: 2018/218

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 10 July 2018

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484367346.002

ISBN: 9781484367346

The government has strengthened policy and reform implementation in recent months. All Quantitative Performance Criteria (QPCs) for end-March and three out of nine Structural Benchmarks (SBs) for the Third Review w...

Central African Economic and Monetary Community (CEMAC)
			: Staff Report on the Common Policies in Support of Member Countries Reform Programs

New
Central African Economic and Monetary Community (CEMAC) : Staff Report on the Common Policies in Support of Member Countries Reform Programs »

Volume/Issue: 2018/210

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. African Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 10 July 2018

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484366486.002

ISBN: 9781484366486

While improving, CEMAC's economic situation remains fragile. Growth picked up slightly but remains well below potential. Governments' fiscal consolidation efforts, along with BEAC's tighter monetary policy and stri...