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Is Banks' Home Bias Good or Bad for Public Debt Sustainability?

Is Banks' Home Bias Good or Bad for Public Debt Sustainability? »

Volume/Issue: 2015/44

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Tamon Asonuma , Said Bakhache , and Heiko Hesse

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 27 February 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781498323505.001

ISBN: 9781498323505

Keywords: Home Bias, Government Bond Yields, Primary Balance, Sovereign-bank Nexus, debt, public debt, bond, sovereign debt, market, Deficit,

Motivated by the recent increase in domestic banks' holdings of domestic sovereign debt (i.e., home bias) in the European periphery, this paper analyzes implications of banks' home bias for the sovereign's debt sus...

Systemic Risk Monitoring ("SysMo") Toolkit-A User Guide

Systemic Risk Monitoring ("SysMo") Toolkit-A User Guide »

Volume/Issue: 2013/168

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Nicolas Blancher , Srobona Mitra , Hanan Morsy , Akira Otani , Tiago Severo , and Laura Valderrama

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 17 July 2013

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484383438.001

ISBN: 9781484383438

Keywords: Sytemic Risk, Risk Indicators, Risk Monitoring, banking, banking sector, banking system, sovereign risk, banking crisis, Other, Model Construction and Estimation,

There has recently been a proliferation of new quantitative tools as part of various initiatives to improve the monitoring of systemic risk. The "SysMo" project takes stock of the current toolkit used at the IMF fo...

Does Fiscal Policy Affect Interest Rates? Evidence from a Factor-Augmented Panel

Does Fiscal Policy Affect Interest Rates? Evidence from a Factor-Augmented Panel »

Volume/Issue: 2013/159

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Salvatore Dell'Erba , and Sergio Sola

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 03 July 2013

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484394502.001

ISBN: 9781484394502

Keywords: Real time data, Cross-sectional dependence, Heterogeneous panels, public debt, fiscal stance, budget deficits, fiscal variables, General, International Policy Coordination and Transmission, Globalization: Macroeconomic Impacts

This paper reconsiders the effects of fiscal policy on long-term interest rates employing a Factor Augmented Panel (FAP) to control for the presence of common unobservable factors. We construct a real-time dataset...

Global Financial Stability Report, April 2013
			: Old Risks, New Challenges

Global Financial Stability Report, April 2013 : Old Risks, New Challenges »

Series: Global Financial Stability Report

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 17 April 2013

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475589580.082

ISBN: 9781475589580

Keywords: bond, bonds, financial stability, banking, financial institutions

The Global Financial Stability Report examines current risks facing the global financial system and policy actions that may mitigate these. It analyzes the key challenges facing financial and nonfinancial firms as...

Fiscal Consolidation and the Cost of Credit
			: Evidence from Syndicated Loans

Fiscal Consolidation and the Cost of Credit : Evidence from Syndicated Loans »

Volume/Issue: 2013/36

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Senay Agca , and Deniz Igan

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2013

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475564440.001

ISBN: 9781475564440

Keywords: cost of credit, loan spreads, fiscal consolidations, spending cuts, fiscal policy, Firm, General,

We examine how the cost of corporate credit varies around fiscal consolidations aimed at reducing government debt. Using a new dataset on fiscal consolidations and syndicated corporate loan data, we find that loan...

Okun's Law
			: Fit at 50?

Okun's Law : Fit at 50? »

Volume/Issue: 2013/10

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Laurence Ball , Daniel Leigh , and Prakash Loungani

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 14 January 2013

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475574265.001

ISBN: 9781475574265

Keywords: Unemploymnent, Okun&;amp;#x2019;s law, Economic fluctuations, employment, recession, unemployment rate, jobless, Economic fluctuations.,

This paper asks how well Okun's Law fits short-run unemployment movements in the United States since 1948 and in twenty advanced economies since 1980. We find that Okun's Law isa strong and stable relationship in m...

A Modern History of Fiscal Prudence and Profligacy

A Modern History of Fiscal Prudence and Profligacy »

Volume/Issue: 2013/5

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Paolo Mauro , Rafael Romeu , Ariel Binder , and Asad Zaman

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 09 January 2013

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781616357825.001

ISBN: 9781616357825

Keywords: fiscal balance, fiscal policy response, fiscal prudence, Deficit,

We draw on a newly collected historical dataset of fiscal variables for a large panel of countries-to our knowledge, the most comprehensive database currently available-to gauge the degree of fiscal prudence or pro...

Trade Flows, Multilateral Resistance, and Firm Heterogeneity

Trade Flows, Multilateral Resistance, and Firm Heterogeneity »

Volume/Issue: 2012/297

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Alberto Behar , and Benjamin D. Nelson

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 20 December 2012

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475574081.001

ISBN: 9781475574081

Keywords: Gravity models, multilateral resistance, firm heterogeneity, trade costs, trade flows, changes in trade, bilateral trade, exporter, and Firm Heterogeneity, firm heterogeneity.

We present a gravity model that accounts for multilateral resistance, firm heterogeneity and country-selection into trade, while accommodating asymmetries in trade flows. A new equation for the proportion of export...

Global Financial Stability Report, October 2012
			: Summary version

Global Financial Stability Report, October 2012 : Summary version »

Series: Global Financial Stability Report

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 30 November 2012

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781616353902.082

ISBN: 9781616353902

Keywords: bond, banking, bonds, financial stability, credit

The October 2012 Global Financial Stability Report (GFSR) finds increased risks to the global financial system, with the euro area crisis the principal source of concern, and urges policymakers to act now to restor...

Global Housing Cycles

Global Housing Cycles »

Volume/Issue: 2012/217

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Deniz Igan , and Prakash Loungani

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2012

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475505672.001

ISBN: 9781475505672

Keywords: Housing Cycles, Mortgage Markets, mortgage, real estate, housing markets, housing finance, foreclosure, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: General,

Housing cycles and their impact on the financial system and the macroeconomy have become the center of attention following the global financial crisis. This paper documents the characteristics of housing cycles in...

Too Much Finance?

Too Much Finance? »

Volume/Issue: 2012/161

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Enrico Berkes , Ugo Panizza , and Jean-Louis Arcand

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2012

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475504668.001

ISBN: 9781475504668

Keywords: Financial development, Finance-growth nexus, gdp growth, correlation, gdp per capita, standard errors

This paper examines whether there is a threshold above which financial development no longer has a positive effect on economic growth. We use different empirical approaches to show that there can indeed be "too muc...

Fiscal Monitor, April 2012
			: Balancing Fiscal Policy Risks

Fiscal Monitor, April 2012 : Balancing Fiscal Policy Risks »

Series: Fiscal Monitor

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 20 April 2012

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781616352486.089

ISBN: 9781616352486

Keywords: fiscal policy, central bank, public debt, fiscal adjustment

Overall, fiscal risks remain elevated, according to this issue, although there are signs that in some key respects they are less acute than six months ago. Past efforts with fiscal consolidation are beginning to be...

Pricing of Sovereign Credit Risk
			: Evidence From Advanced Economies During the Financial Crisis

Pricing of Sovereign Credit Risk : Evidence From Advanced Economies During the Financial Crisis »

Volume/Issue: 2012/24

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Emre Alper , Lorenzo Forni , and Marc Gerard

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 2012

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781463931865.001

ISBN: 9781463931865

Keywords: bond, arbitrage, bonds, stock prices, Advanced Economies, Sovereign Spreads, Fiscal Risks,

We investigate the pricing of sovereign credit risk over the period 2008-2010 for selected advanced economies by examining two widely-used indicators: sovereign credit default swap (CDS) and relative asset swap (RA...

Growth Spillover Dynamics From Crisis to Recovery

Growth Spillover Dynamics From Crisis to Recovery »

Volume/Issue: 2011/218

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Helene Poirson Ward , and Sebastian Weber

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2011

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781463903510.001

ISBN: 9781463903510

Keywords: Growth, Crisis, Recovery, Euro zone, domestic demand, trade channels, transmission of shocks, external shocks,

Can positive growth shocks from the faster-growing countries in Europe spill over to the slower growing countries, providing useful tailwinds to their recovery process? This study investigates the potential relevan...

Public Debt in Advanced Economies and its Spillover Effectson Long-Term Yields

Public Debt in Advanced Economies and its Spillover Effectson Long-Term Yields »

Volume/Issue: 2011/210

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Emre Alper , and Lorenzo Forni

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2011

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781463902209.001

ISBN: 9781463902209

Keywords: long-term real rates, domestic debt, debt ratio, real rates, inflation, Duration Analysis, Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents: General,

Several models establish a positive association between public debt ratios and long-term real yields, but the empirical evidence is not always conclusive. We reconsider this issue, focusing in particular on possibl...

Rethinking Macroeconomic Policy

Rethinking Macroeconomic Policy »

Volume/Issue: 2010/03

Series: IMF Staff Position Notes

Author(s): Olivier Blanchard , Giovanni Dell'Ariccia , and Paolo Mauro

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 12 February 2010

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781455224982.004

ISBN: 9781455224982

Keywords: Bank credit, Bank regulations, Bank supervision, Central bank role, Economic policy, Economic stabilization, Financial crisis, Financial intermediation, Fiscal policy, Inflation targeting

The great moderation lulled macroeconomists and policymakers alike in the belief that we knew how to conduct macroeconomic policy. The crisis clearly forces us to question that assessment. In this paper, we review...

A Practical Guide to Public Debt Dynamics, Fiscal Sustainability, and Cyclical Adjustment of Budgetary Aggregates

A Practical Guide to Public Debt Dynamics, Fiscal Sustainability, and Cyclical Adjustment of Budgetary Aggregates »

Volume: 10

Series: Technical Notes and Manuals

Author(s): Julio Escolano

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 27 January 2010

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781462396955.005

ISBN: 9781462396955

Keywords: Public debt dynamics, debt ratio, Government budget constraint, Ponzi game, Cyclically adjusted balance, debt, interest, primary balance, interest payments

This paper presents a practical guide to public debt dynamics, fiscal sustainability, and cyclical adjustment of budgetary aggregates. The paper discusses fiscal formulas, which may be of practical use in fiscal an...

Three Cycles
			: Housing, Credit, and Real Activity

Three Cycles : Housing, Credit, and Real Activity »

Volume/Issue: 2009/231

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Natalia Tamirisa , Alain Kabundi , Deniz Igan , Francisco Nadal De Simone , and Marcelo Pinheiro

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2009

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451873788.001

ISBN: 9781451873788

Keywords: Macro-financial linkages, house prices, business cycle, lead, spillovers,

We examine the characteristics and comovement of cycles in house prices, credit, real activity and interest rates in advanced economies during the past 25 years, using a dynamic generalized factor model. House pric...

Indicadores de solidez financiera
			: Guía de Compilación

Indicadores de solidez financiera : Guía de Compilación »

Series: Manuals & Guides

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 09 May 2007

Language: Spanish

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781589063983.069

ISBN: 9781589063983

Los indicadores de solidez financiera (ISF) son medidas que muestran la salud financiera actual y la solidez de las instituciones financieras de un país, y de las empresas y hogares que son su contraparte. Los ISF...

IMF Survey, Volume 33, Issue 21

IMF Survey, Volume 33, Issue 21 »

Volume/Issue: 33/21

Series: IMF Survey

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. External Relations Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 29 November 2004

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451969054.023

ISBN: 9781451969054

Keywords: oil prices, macroeconomic stability, international markets, current account deficit, international monetary fund, Interview with IMF Managing Director,

In early June, Rodrigo de Rato, a national of Spain, took over as head of the IMF, succeeding Horst Köhler, who resigned in early March. Before joining the IMF, de Rato served for nearly eight years in the S...

Corporate Financial Structure and Financial Stability

Corporate Financial Structure and Financial Stability »

Volume/Issue: 2004/124

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Mark Stone , and E. Davis

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 2004

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451854756.001

ISBN: 9781451854756

Keywords: financial instability, currency crises, bond, currency crisis, corporate sector, financial structure, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy,

This paper uses flow-of-funds and balance sheet data to analyze the impact of financial crises on corporate financing and GDP in a range of countries. Post-crisis GDP contractions are mainly accounted for by declin...

Boom-Bust Phases in Asset Prices and Fiscal Policy Behavior

Boom-Bust Phases in Asset Prices and Fiscal Policy Behavior »

Volume/Issue: 2004/54

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ludger Schuknecht , and Albert Jaeger

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2004

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451847543.001

ISBN: 9781451847543

Keywords: Boom-bust cycles, cyclical adjustment, deficit bias, fiscal balances, expenditure, fiscal balance, expenditure growth,

Boom and bust phases in asset prices have become a pervasive feature of macroeconomic developments in many advanced economies. This paper studies fiscal policy during boom-bust phases in asset prices and draws seve...

Monetary Policy and Asset Prices
			: Does "Benign Neglect" Make Sense?

Monetary Policy and Asset Prices : Does "Benign Neglect" Make Sense? »

Volume/Issue: 2002/225

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Olivier Jeanne , and Michael Bordo

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2002

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451875362.001

ISBN: 9781451875362

Keywords: credit crunch, Taylor rule, bubbles, new economy, inflation, monetary authorities, monetary fund, Economic History: Financial Markets and Institutions: General, International, or Comparative,

The link between monetary policy and asset price movements has been of perennial interest to policymakers. In this paper, we consider the potential case for preemptive monetary restrictions when asset price reversa...

Stock Market Liberalizations
			: Financial and Macroeconomic Implications

Stock Market Liberalizations : Financial and Macroeconomic Implications »

Volume/Issue: 2001/193

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Norbert Funke , and Nicola Fuchs-Schündeln

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2001

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451859812.001

ISBN: 9781451859812

Keywords: financial liberalization, regulation, stock market, stock market liberalization, credit rating, stock market liberalizations, General Financial Markets,

Using a panel of 27 countries, we analyze the effects of stock market liberalization on financial and macroeconomic development. We find that liberalization is associated with a short-term increase in real private...

IMF Staff papers, Volume 45 No. 3

IMF Staff papers, Volume 45 No. 3 »

Volume: 45

Series: IMF Staff Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 1998

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451973600.024

ISBN: 9781451973600

Keywords: exchange rate, business cycle, exchange rates, international trade, real exchange

This paper presents international evidence on the determinants of trade dynamics. It provides some new empirical perspectives on the relationship between international trade and macroeconomic fluctuations in indust...

Decentralization and Macroeconomic Management

Decentralization and Macroeconomic Management »

Volume/Issue: 1997/155

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Teresa Ter-Minassian

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 1997

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451857276.001

ISBN: 9781451857276

Keywords: decentralization, fiscal federalism, borrowing controls, federalism, subnational governments, subnational government

The literature on fiscal federalism has amply discussed both the potential efficiency and welfare gains from decentralization and the potential trade-offs between decentralization and income redistribution. By cont...

Geography, Trade Patterns, and Economic Policy

Geography, Trade Patterns, and Economic Policy »

Volume/Issue: 1994/16

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Carlos Asilis , and Luis Rivera-Batiz

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 1994

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451843330.001

ISBN: 9781451843330

Keywords: wages, trade patterns, wage, benefits

This paper presents a geographical theory of location and interregional trade. Location is treated as an endogenous variable by firms, consumers and perfectly mobile workers in a two-sector economy. Space plays a c...

The European Community's Trade and Trade-Related Industrial Policies

The European Community's Trade and Trade-Related Industrial Policies »

Volume/Issue: 1992/94

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Miranda Xafa , Joslin Landell-Mills , and Roger Kronenberg

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 1992

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451950687.001

ISBN: 9781451950687

Keywords: export subsidies, internal market, antidumping duties, export restrictions, competition policy

This paper examines the objectives and instruments of trade policy in the European Community (EC) from 1987 until mid-1992. It reviews the Community’s institutional setting and policy environment as backgrou...

Interest Rates and Government Debt
			: Are the Linkages Global Rather Than National?

Interest Rates and Government Debt : Are the Linkages Global Rather Than National? »

Volume/Issue: 1991/6

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Mark Lutz , and Vito Tanzi

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 1991

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451842227.001

ISBN: 9781451842227

Keywords: public debt, government debt, debt ratios, fiscal variables, debt ratio

Given the increasing integration of financial markets, a better understanding of the effects of fiscal deficits and debt on real interest rates might be obtained by taking a global, rather than a national, perspect...

La deuda externa
			: Definición, cobertura estadística y metodología

La deuda externa : Definición, cobertura estadística y metodología »

Series: Books

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 15 March 1988

Language: Spanish

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9780821311554.071

ISBN: 9780821311554

Este libro tiene por objeto proporcionar al usuario de estadísticas de deuda una descripción comparativa de las estadísticas recopiladas por el Banco de Pagos Internacionales, el FMI, la Organización para la Cooper...