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Additions to Market Indices and the Comovement of Stock Returns Around the World

Additions to Market Indices and the Comovement of Stock Returns Around the World »

Source: Additions to Market Indices and the Comovement of Stock Returns Around the World

Volume/Issue: 2011/47

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Yishay Yafeh , and Stijn Claessens

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2011

ISBN: 9781455218950

Keywords: Index inclusion, stock price comovements, category, habitat and information theories, index-based investment, investors, institutional investors, stock market, stock price, stock prices,

Using newly-constructed data covering the last decade, we document that, in most of forty markets, when added to the main index, firms' returns experience an increase in comovement with the rest of the index, refle...

Addressing Interconnectedness

Addressing Interconnectedness »

Source: Addressing Interconnectedness : Concepts and Prudential Tools

Volume/Issue: 2013/199

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Nicolas Arregui , Mohamed Norat , Antonio Pancorbo , Jodi Scarlata , Eija Holttinen , Fabiana Melo , Jay Surti , Christopher Wilson , Rodolfo Wehrhahn , and Mamoru Yanase

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 26 September 2013

ISBN: 9781475531855

Keywords: network analysis, prudential tools, policymakers, systemic risk, banking, banking system, banking sector, bank reporting, interbank market, General

This paper reviews tools used to identify and measure interconnectedness and raises the awareness of policymakers as to potential cross-sectional implications of prudential tools aimed at controlling interconnected...

After the Fall

After the Fall »

Source: After the Fall : Lessons for Policy Cooperation from the Global Crisis

Volume/Issue: 2014/97

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Tamim Bayoumi

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 10 June 2014

ISBN: 9781498375764

Keywords: Policy cooperation, institutuinal coarregements, policy spillovers, central bank, monetary fund, financial stability, monetary policies, International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions, Open Economy Macroeconomics, institutional coarrangements,

A crisis is a terrible thing to waste, and nowhere is this truer than in the arena of international economic policy cooperation. With the world facing the largest and most synchronized plunge in output of the postw...

An Anatomy of Corporate Bond Markets

An Anatomy of Corporate Bond Markets »

Source: An Anatomy of Corporate Bond Markets : Growing Pains and Knowledge Gains

Volume/Issue: 2005/152

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Pipat Luengnaruemitchai , and Li Ong

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 2005

ISBN: 9781451861716

Keywords: Benchmark, mature markets, regulation, bond, bonds, corporate bonds, corporate bond, General Financial Markets: Government Policy and Regulation,

The objective of this paper is to discuss the key issues relating to the development of local corporate bond markets. We examine the requirements for local corporate bond market development, and compare and contras...

Are Currency Crises Predictable?1

Are Currency Crises Predictable?1 »

Source: Are Currency Crises Predictable?

Volume/Issue: 1997/159

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Rodrigo Valdes , and Ilan Goldfajn

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 1997

ISBN: 9781451857634

Keywords: exchange rate, overvaluation, real exchange rate, currency crises, nominal exchange rate

This paper studies whether exchange rate expectations and overvaluations are predictors of currency crises. The results suggest that overvaluation has predictive power in explaining crises. However, although expect...

Are Currency Crises Predictable? A Test

Are Currency Crises Predictable? A Test »

Source: Are Currency Crises Predictable? A Test

Volume/Issue: 1998/154

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Catherine Pattillo , and Andrew Berg

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 1998

ISBN: 9781451857207

Keywords: Currency crises, vulnerability indicators, Asian crisis, balance of payments crises, crisis prediction, probability, probabilities, correlation, crisis index, predictions

This paper evaluates three models for predicting currency crises that were proposed before 1997. The idea is to answer the question: if we had been using these models in late 1996, how well armed would we have been...

Are Sovereign Debt Secondary Market Returns Sensitive to Macroecoriomic Fundamentals?  Evidence from the Contemporary and Interwar Markets

Are Sovereign Debt Secondary Market Returns Sensitive to Macroecoriomic Fundamentals? Evidence from the Contemporary and Interwar Markets »

Source: Are Sovereign Debt Secondary Market Returns Sensitive to Macroecoriomic Fundamentals? Evidence from the Contemporary and Interwar Markets

Volume/Issue: 1990/69

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 1990

ISBN: 9781451960624

Keywords: sovereign debt, bond, bonds, debt market, sovereign bond

The insensitivity of sovereign loan secondary market returns to macroeconomic fundamentals has been attributed to market illiquidity and the absence of publicly reported transactional prices. During the 1920s and 1...

Asia’s Stock Markets: Are There Crouching Tigers and Hidden Dragons?

Asia’s Stock Markets: Are There Crouching Tigers and Hidden Dragons? »

Source: Asia's Stock Markets : Are There Crouching Tigers and Hidden Dragons?

Volume/Issue: 2014/37

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Fabian Lipinsky , and Li Lian Ong

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 26 February 2014

ISBN: 9781484320143

Keywords: arbitrage pricing theory, Asian financial crisis, fundamentals, global financial crisis, idiosyncratic factors, integration, IOSCO, securities regulation, stock market, stock pricing

Stock markets play a key role in corporate financing in Asia. However, despite their increasing importance in terms of size and cross-border investment activity, the region's markets are reputed to be more 'idiosyn...

Asian Financial Integration

Asian Financial Integration »

Source: Asian Financial Integration : Trends and Interruptions

Volume/Issue: 2011/4

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Eduardo Borensztein , and Prakash Loungani

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 2011

ISBN: 9781455211821

Keywords: equity premium, gravity model, home bias, risk-sharing, herding, investors, bond, foreign investors, bonds, international investors

The paper compares trends in financial integration within Asia with those in industrialized countries and other regional groups. Declines in cross-country dispersion in equity returns and interest rates suggest inc...

Assessing Early Warning Systems

Assessing Early Warning Systems »

Source: Assessing Early Warning Systems : How Have they Worked in Practice?

Volume/Issue: 2004/52

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Andrew Berg , Eduardo Borensztein , and Catherine Pattillo

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2004

ISBN: 9781451847284

Keywords: vulnerability indicators, crisis prediction, forecasting accuracy, balance of payments crisis, probability, predictions, currency crisis, probabilities, Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: Forecasting and Simulation,

Since 1999, the IMF's staff has been tracking several early-warning-system (EWS) models of currency crisis. The results have been mixed. One of the long-horizon models has performed well relative to pure guesswork...