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Are Capital Inflows Expansionary or Contractionary? Theory, Policy Implications, and Some Evidence†

Are Capital Inflows Expansionary or Contractionary? Theory, Policy Implications, and Some Evidence† »

Source: Are Capital Inflows Expansionary or Contractionary? Theory, Policy Implications, and Some Evidence

Volume/Issue: 2015/226

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Olivier Blanchard , Jonathan Ostry , Atish Ghosh , and Marcos Chamon

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 October 2015

ISBN: 9781513500805

Keywords: capital inflows, bonds, bond, return, domestic bonds, All Countries, apital inflows,

The workhorse open-economy macro model suggests that capital inflows are contractionary because they appreciate the currency and reduce net exports. Emerging market policy makers however believe that inflows lead t...

Capital Controls or Macroprudential Regulation?

Capital Controls or Macroprudential Regulation? »

Source: Capital Controls or Macroprudential Regulation?

Volume/Issue: 2015/218

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Anton Korinek , and Damiano Sandri

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2015

ISBN: 9781513506463

Keywords: pecuniary externalities, macroprudential regulation, inequality, exchange rate, exchange, lenders, borrowers, markets, International Lending and Debt Problems, Open Economy Macroeconomics

International capital flows can create significant financial instability in emerging economies because of pecuniary externalities associated with exchange rate movements. Does this make it optimal to impose capital...

The Development of Local Capital Markets

The Development of Local Capital Markets »

Source: The Development of Local Capital Markets : Rationale and Challenges

Volume/Issue: 2014/234

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Luc Laeven

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 19 December 2014

ISBN: 9781498372978

Keywords: financial markets, markets, market, market development, capital market, Globalization: Finance, General, financial markets.,

Capital markets can improve risk sharing and the efficiency with which capital is allocated to the real economy, boosting economic growth and welfare. However, despite these potential benefits, not all countries ha...

End of the Supercycle and Growth of Commodity Producers

End of the Supercycle and Growth of Commodity Producers »

Source: End of the Supercycle and Growth of Commodity Producers : The Case of Chile

Volume/Issue: 2015/242

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Luc Eyraud

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 November 2015

ISBN: 9781513531557

Keywords: Growth, prices, price, copper prices, copper price, market, Economic Growth of Open Economies, Global Commodity Crises, General,

This paper estimates the effect of copper prices on Chile's growth at various time horizons. We find that a price decline is likely to have a durable (although not permanent) effect on GDP growth: while the impact...

Are Capital Inflows Expansionary or Contractionary? Theory, Policy Implications, and Some Evidence

Are Capital Inflows Expansionary or Contractionary? Theory, Policy Implications, and Some Evidence »

Volume/Issue: 2015/226

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Olivier Blanchard , Jonathan Ostry , Atish Ghosh , and Marcos Chamon

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 October 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513500805.001

ISBN: 9781513500805

Keywords: capital inflows, bonds, bond, return, domestic bonds, All Countries, apital inflows,

The workhorse open-economy macro model suggests that capital inflows are contractionary because they appreciate the currency and reduce net exports. Emerging market policy makers however believe that inflows lead t...

Capital Controls or Macroprudential Regulation?

Capital Controls or Macroprudential Regulation? »

Volume/Issue: 2015/218

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Anton Korinek , and Damiano Sandri

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513506463.001

ISBN: 9781513506463

Keywords: pecuniary externalities, macroprudential regulation, inequality, exchange rate, exchange, lenders, borrowers, markets, International Lending and Debt Problems, Open Economy Macroeconomics

International capital flows can create significant financial instability in emerging economies because of pecuniary externalities associated with exchange rate movements. Does this make it optimal to impose capital...

End of the Supercycle and Growth of Commodity Producers
			: The Case of Chile

End of the Supercycle and Growth of Commodity Producers : The Case of Chile »

Volume/Issue: 2015/242

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Luc Eyraud

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 November 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513531557.001

ISBN: 9781513531557

Keywords: Growth, prices, price, copper prices, copper price, market, Economic Growth of Open Economies, Global Commodity Crises, General,

This paper estimates the effect of copper prices on Chile's growth at various time horizons. We find that a price decline is likely to have a durable (although not permanent) effect on GDP growth: while the impact...

Investment in Emerging Markets We Are Not in Kansas Anymore…Or Are We?

Investment in Emerging Markets We Are Not in Kansas Anymore…Or Are We? »

Volume/Issue: 2015/77

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Nicolas Magud , and Sebastian Sosa

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 03 April 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475534221.001

ISBN: 9781475534221

Keywords: financial constraints, private investment, commodity, debt, General, General, General, General, capital inflows.,

We document that (i) although private investment growth in emerging markets has decelerated in recent years, it came down from cyclical highs and remains close to pre-crisis trends; and (ii) investment-to-output ra...

Issuance of Central Bank Securities
			: International Experiences and Guidelines

Issuance of Central Bank Securities : International Experiences and Guidelines »

Volume/Issue: 2015/106

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Simon Gray , and Runchana Pongsaparn

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 18 May 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513593371.001

ISBN: 9781513593371

Keywords: central bank securities, securities market development, securities, central bank, issuance, central banks, securities issuance, General,

The paper discusses the reasons for central bank (CB) issuance of securities, and reasons for choosing different approaches e.g. in maturities and target market. It provides evidence on the range of different appro...

Macroeconomic Stability in Resource-Rich Countries

Macroeconomic Stability in Resource-Rich Countries »

Volume/Issue: 2016/36

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Elva Bova , Paulo Medas , and Tigran Poghosyan

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 February 2016

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475596465.001

ISBN: 9781475596465

Keywords: resource-rich countries, procyclical fiscal policy, commodity, prices, price, fiscal policy, General, Models with Panel Data, All Countries,, Natural resources

Resource-rich countries face large and persistent shocks, especially coming from volatile commodity prices. Given the severity of the shocks, it would be expected that these countries adopt countercyclical fiscal p...