This Selected Issues paper examines inflation dynamics over the past five years for Lithuania. A decomposition of inflation into its components provides clues to its main causes. It shows that energy price increases and convergence to European Union (EU)-wide price levels have been important factors driving inflation, but domestic demand pressures—and wage growth, in particular—have also contributed to inflation. The types of possible efficiency gains are illustrated in the context of health care and social assistance. The paper also examines migration and its long-term fiscal implications.
This Selected Issues paper reviews public expenditure in Lithuania with a view to identify areas for which deeper reforms may be warranted to improve spending efficiency and contain future spending pressures. The paper benchmarks spending levels and spending composition in Lithuania against those in other European countries. The 31 European countries covered in the benchmarking exercise include the EU-28 plus Iceland, Norway, and Switzerland. Reflecting the tendency for public spending to increase with income, Lithuania’s spending as a share of GDP is compared with the European Union average spending controlling for GDP per capita. The paper also tries to assess spending relative to outcomes to get a sense of spending efficiency.
This paper reviews public expenditure in Lithuania to identify areas where deeper structural
reforms may be warranted to improve spending efficiency and contain future spending
pressures. The analysis benchmarks spending in Lithuania against other European countries
focusing on spending levels, spending composition, and spending outcomes, and for both
economic and functional spending classifications. While recent expenditure consolidation efforts
have kept public spending among the lowest in Europe, a transition from broad-based measures
to more structural measures will be required: to ensure that low spending levels remain
sustainable, to address poor social outcomes such as high inequality and poor health and
education outcomes, and to efficiently and equitably contain spending pressures arising from an
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