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International Monetary Fund. African Dept.

Program implementation and economic fundamentals continue to be strong, but the external position weakened in mid-2014. Projected growth for 2014 has been revised down to 2.8 percent from 3.7 percent, due to weaker demand for Seychelles’ two main exports—tourism and canned tuna. At the same time, strong growth in personal earnings and private sector credit have fueled a surge in imports, putting further pressure on the balance of payments. As a result, the exchange rate depreciated an estimated 11 percent in nominal effective terms from early August to late-October.

International Monetary Fund

Seychelles’s fiscal stance for 2012 allows maintaining a steady course toward debt reduction. The authorities’ decisions to downsize the loss-making national airline and raise tariffs of public enterprises are crucial steps for easing fiscal pressures and ensuring sufficient capital expenditure, in particular in much-needed infrastructure projects. Price subsidies through the Stabilization Fund will be replaced with targeted transfers to low-income households. The structural reform agenda for 2012 builds on progress made to date, focusing on taxation, public finance management, public enterprises, and the financial sector.

International Monetary Fund. African Dept.

Seychelles intends to preserve its hard-won economic stability and enhance inclusive growth.

International Monetary Fund. African Dept.

Completion of the fourth review was delayed after the government announced in early 2016 expenditure and revenue initiatives with estimated annual fiscal costs of 3 percent of GDP. After the opposition won a majority in parliament in September, the President announced his resignation and the Vice President took over. With low commodity prices and strong tourist arrivals, the economic developments since the third review have been favorable and economic outlook for 2016?17 remains positive.

International Monetary Fund. African Dept.

Fourth Review Under the Policy Coordination Instrument and Request for Modification of Targets

International Monetary Fund. African Dept.

This paper discusses Seychelles' Third Review Under the Extended Arrangement and Request for Modification of Performance Criteria (PC). All PCs for end-June 2015, the program's third test date, were met. Based on preliminary data, all the third-quarter indicative targets were also met. The structural agenda is proceeding, albeit with some delays. Growth for 2015 has been revised upward to slightly more than 4 percent. Presidential elections are taking place during December 3-5. The IMF staff recommends completion of the third review under the Extended Arrangement and modification of the PCs for end-December 2015.

International Monetary Fund

This paper presents Seychelles’ 2008 Article IV Consultation and Request for a Stand-By Arrangement. Large macroeconomic imbalances and vulnerabilities resulting from longstanding unsustainable macroeconomic policies, combined with recent external shocks, culminated in mid-2008 with the near-exhaustion of foreign reserves and missed payments on public debt obligations. Growth is declining, and inflation has risen sharply. The pegged exchange rate that was incompatible with fundamentals, together with a complex system of exchange restrictions and controls, has resulted in economic dislocation, a parallel exchange market, and pervasive dollarization.

International Monetary Fund
This paper presents Seychelles’ 2008 Article IV Consultation and Request for a Stand-By Arrangement. Large macroeconomic imbalances and vulnerabilities resulting from longstanding unsustainable macroeconomic policies, combined with recent external shocks, culminated in mid-2008 with the near-exhaustion of foreign reserves and missed payments on public debt obligations. Growth is declining, and inflation has risen sharply. The pegged exchange rate that was incompatible with fundamentals, together with a complex system of exchange restrictions and controls, has resulted in economic dislocation, a parallel exchange market, and pervasive dollarization.
International Monetary Fund
On the revenue side of Seychelles, both tax and nontax revenues have shown marked increases during 1998–99 on account of a number of factors. A strengthening of tax administration has yielded significant improvements in tax collections, particularly in the areas of taxes on income and profits, which has increased from 4.4 percent of GDP in 1997 to 6.8 percent of GDP in 1999. Trade taxes on domestic goods and services have grown from about 7 percent of GDP in 1997 to about 8 percent of GDP in 1999.