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Regional Spillovers in Sub-Saharan Africa
			: Exploring Different Channels

Regional Spillovers in Sub-Saharan Africa : Exploring Different Channels »

Volume/Issue: 2018/1

Series: Spillover Notes

Author(s): Francisco Arizala , Matthieu Bellon , Margaux MacDonald , Montfort Mlachila , and Mustafa Yenice

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2018

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484367148.062

ISBN: 9781484367148

Keywords: Uganda, Togo, Tanzania, Swaziland, South Sudan, Spillovers, Sub-Saharan Africa, Sierra Leone, Congo, Republic of, Congo, Democratic Republic of the

After close to two decades of strong economic activity, overall growth in sub-Saharan Africa decelerated markedly in 2015-16 as the largest economies experienced negative or flat growth. Regional growth started rec...

Spillovers from US Government Spending Shocks
			: Impact on External Positions

Spillovers from US Government Spending Shocks : Impact on External Positions »

Volume/Issue: 2017/1

Series: Spillover Notes

Author(s): Adina Popescu , and Ippei Shibata

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 18 October 2017

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484320259.062

ISBN: 9781484320259

Keywords: United States, Western Hemisphere, Spillovers, External spillovers, Trade balances, Real effective exchange rates, External shocks, spending shocks, real effective exchange rate, trade balance

This note analyzes the impact of preannounced government spending shocks in the United States on the real effective exchange rate and the trade balance. Using a vector autoregression framework that allows anticipat...

Fiscal Spillovers
			: The Importance of Macroeconomic and Policy Conditions in Transmission

Fiscal Spillovers : The Importance of Macroeconomic and Policy Conditions in Transmission »

Volume/Issue: 2017/2

Series: Spillover Notes

Author(s): Patrick Blagrave , Giang Ho , Ksenia Koloskova , and Esteban Vesperoni

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 18 October 2017

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484320303.062

ISBN: 9781484320303

Keywords: Fiscal consolidation, Emerging markets, Exchange rate regimes, External shocks, Fiscal policy, Monetary policy, Government spending, Tax revenue, Economic expansion, Spillovers

Are fiscal spillovers today as large as they were during the global financial crisis? How do they depend on economic and policy conditions? This note informs the debate on the cross-border impact of fiscal policy o...

China Spillovers
			: New Evidence From Time-Varying Estimates

China Spillovers : New Evidence From Time-Varying Estimates »

Volume/Issue: 2016/07

Series: Spillover Notes

Author(s): Davide Furceri , João Tovar Jalles , and Aleksandra Zdzienicka

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 November 2016

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475546637.062

ISBN: 9781475546637

Keywords: Exports, Asia and Pacific, Commodities, China, Manufacturing, Industry, Trade, growth, global economic growth, global financial crisis

Until recently, China has been the leading contributor to global economic growth and-since the recent global financial crisis-a stabilizing driver of its evolution. However, as China recently began to rebalance its...

Sub-Saharan African Migration
			: Patterns and Spillovers

Sub-Saharan African Migration : Patterns and Spillovers »

Volume/Issue: 2016/09

Series: Spillover Notes

Author(s): Jesus Gonzalez-Garcia , Ermal Hitaj , Montfort Mlachila , Arina Viseth , and Mustafa Yenice

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 02 November 2016

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475546668.062

ISBN: 9781475546668

Keywords: Togo, Tanzania, Uganda, Swaziland, Spillovers, Sub-Saharan Africa, Rwanda, Senegal, Seychelles, Sierra Leone

Amid rapid population growth, migration in sub-Saharan Africa has been increasing briskly over the last 20 years. Up to the 1990s, the stock of migrants-citizens of one country living in another country-was dominat...

Impact of Migration on Income Levels in Advanced Economies

Impact of Migration on Income Levels in Advanced Economies »

Volume/Issue: 2016/08

Series: Spillover Notes

Author(s): Florence Jaumotte , Ksenia Koloskova , and Sweta Saxena

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 24 October 2016

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475545913.062

ISBN: 9781475545913

Keywords: Income, Labor productivity, Migration, Employment, GDP, advanced economies, migrant skill levels, regional migration, host economies, working-age population

The recent refugee surge has brought attention to the macro-critical policy issue of migration, including speculations that migration can be an unfavorable phenomenon for the receiving economies. A car...

The Spillover Effects of Russia's Economic Slowdown on Neighboring Countries

The Spillover Effects of Russia's Economic Slowdown on Neighboring Countries »

Volume/Issue: 2016/03

Series: Spillover Notes

Author(s): Ara Stepanyan , Agustin Roitman , Gohar Minasyan , Dragana Ostojic , and Natan Epstein

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 27 September 2016

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475541434.062

ISBN: 9781475541434

Keywords: Economic growth, Europe, External shocks, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Middle East, Regional shocks, Moldova, Inflation, Russian Federation

In the face of sharply lower oil prices and geopolitical tensions and sanctions, economic activity in Russia decelerated in late 2014, resulting in negative spillovers on Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) a...

Spillovers from Dollar Appreciation

Spillovers from Dollar Appreciation »

Volume/Issue: 2016/02

Series: Spillover Notes

Author(s): Julian Chow , Florence Jaumotte , Seok Park , and Yuanyan Zhang

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 27 September 2016

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475541427.062

ISBN: 9781475541427

Keywords: United States, Western Hemisphere, Spillovers, Monetary policy, Developing countries, Emerging markets

The recent strong, sustained appreciation of the U.S. dollar raises questions about possible financial spillover effects for emerging markets and developing countries. This report finds that, unlike past episodes,...

Spillovers from China
			: Financial Channels

Spillovers from China : Financial Channels »

Volume/Issue: 2016/05

Series: Spillover Notes

Author(s): Nkunde Mwase , Papa N'Diaye , Hiroko Oura , Frantisek Ricka , Katsiaryna Svirydzenka , and Yuanyan Zhang

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 27 September 2016

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475539486.062

ISBN: 9781475539486

Keywords: Spillovers, China, Asia and Pacific, Commodities, Asset markets, Assets, Trade, Global financial markets, transition, growth path

Although China's much-needed transition to a new growth path is proceeding broadly as expected, the transition is still fraught with uncertainty, including regarding the Chinese authorities' ability to achieve a sm...

Spillover Implications of Differences in Monetary Conditions in the United States and the Euro Area

Spillover Implications of Differences in Monetary Conditions in the United States and the Euro Area »

Volume/Issue: 2016/01

Series: Spillover Notes

Author(s): Carolina Osorio , and Esteban Vesperoni

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 27 September 2016

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475541403.062

ISBN: 9781475541403

Keywords: Monetary policy, Spillovers, Western Hemisphere, United States, Negative spillovers, Positive spillovers

This report analyzes the possible spillover effects that could result if the U.S. normalizes its monetary policy while euro area countries are increasing monetary stimulus (a situation referred to as asynchronous m...