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Emerging Markets in Transition
			: Growth Prospects and Challenges

Emerging Markets in Transition : Growth Prospects and Challenges »

Volume/Issue: 2014/6

Series: Staff Discussion Notes

Author(s): Luis Cubeddu , Alexander Culiuc , Ghada Fayad , Yuan Gao , Kalpana Kochhar , Annette Kyobe , Ceyda Oner , Roberto Perrelli , Sarah Sanya , Evridiki Tsounta , and Zhongxia Zhang

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 12 June 2014

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781498327664.006

ISBN: 9781498327664

Keywords: Emerging markets, growth, potential growth, convergence, heterogeneity, structural reform, productivity, terms of trade, trading partners, commodity prices

After a short-lived slowdown in the immediate aftermath of the global financial crisis and a swift rebound, emerging markets (EM) are now entering a period of slower growth. In fact, growth is now lower than the po...

World Economic Outlook, April 2014
			: Recovery Strengthens, Remains Uneven

World Economic Outlook, April 2014 : Recovery Strengthens, Remains Uneven »

Series: World Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 08 April 2014

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484308349.081

ISBN: 9781484308349

Keywords: inflation, monetary policy, real interest rates, gdp growth, real rates

Global activity has broadly strengthened and is expected to improve further in 2014-15, according to the April 2014 WEO, with much of the impetus for growth coming from advanced economies. Although downside risks h...

Rising BRICs and Changes in Sub-Saharan Africa's Business Cycle Patterns

Rising BRICs and Changes in Sub-Saharan Africa's Business Cycle Patterns »

Volume/Issue: 2014/35

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Oumar Diallo , and Sampawende Tapsoba

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 14 February 2014

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484306598.001

ISBN: 9781484306598

Keywords: Business Cycle Synchronicity, and the BRICs., trade intensity, trading partners, industry trade, impact of trade, General,

This paper assesses the extent to which Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA)'s business cycle is synchronized with that of the rest of the world (RoW). Findings suggest that SSA's business cycle has not only moved in the same...

Are the Asia and Pacific Small States Different from Other Small States?

Are the Asia and Pacific Small States Different from Other Small States? »

Volume/Issue: 2013/123

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Patrizia Tumbarello , Ezequiel Cabezon , and Yiqun Wu

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 22 May 2013

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484339190.001

ISBN: 9781484339190

Keywords: micro states, Pacific islands, growth, volatility, terms of trade, trade openness, current account balance, external shocks, trade deficits, Open Economy Macroeconomics

The small states of the Asia and Pacific region face unique challenges in raising their growth potential and living standards relative to other small states due to their small populations, geographical isolation an...

Is the Growth Momentum in Latin America Sustainable?

Is the Growth Momentum in Latin America Sustainable? »

Volume/Issue: 2013/109

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Sebastian Sosa , Evridiki Tsounta , and Hye Kim

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 15 May 2013

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484326855.001

ISBN: 9781484326855

Keywords: potential growth, tfp, output growth, growth rate, gdp growth, growth rates, Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development,

A favorable external environment coupled with prudent policies fostered output growth in most of Latin America during the last decade. But, what were the drivers of this strong growth performance from the supply si...

The Pacific Speed of Growth
			: How Fast Can It Be and What Determines It?

The Pacific Speed of Growth : How Fast Can It Be and What Determines It? »

Volume/Issue: 2013/104

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Yongzheng Yang , Hong Chen , Shiu raj Singh , and Baljeet Singh

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 09 May 2013

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484399040.001

ISBN: 9781484399040

Keywords: growth, convergence, remoteness, volatility, aid, investment exports, trading partners, output volatility, trade openness, exchange rate regime

This study aims to test within a relatively homogeneous group of small states what differentiates the growth performance of Pacific island countries (PICs) from their peers. We find that PICs are disadvantaged by d...

Panama
			: Selected Issues

Panama : Selected Issues »

Volume/Issue: 2013/89

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 28 March 2013

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484344477.002

ISBN: 9781484344477

Keywords: real gdp, trading partners, external shocks, world trade, gdp growth

Panama's extensive trade and financial linkages make it vulnerable to adverse external shocks, and this would have a sizable impact on Panama's real activity. In the absence of monetary policy, macroprudential poli...

Growth Slowdowns and the Middle-Income Trap

Growth Slowdowns and the Middle-Income Trap »

Volume/Issue: 2013/71

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Shekhar Aiyar , Romain Duval , Damien Puy , Yiqun Wu , and Longmei Zhang

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 20 March 2013

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484330647.001

ISBN: 9781484330647

Keywords: growth, slowdown, middle income trap, Bayesian Model Averaging, per capita income, export diversification, gdp per capita, trade openness, growth rates, Bayesian Analysis

The “middle-income trap” is the phenomenon of hitherto rapidly growing economies stagnating at middle-income levels and failing to graduate into the ranks of high-income countries. In this study we ex...

Inward and Outward Spillovers in the SACU Area

Inward and Outward Spillovers in the SACU Area »

Volume/Issue: 2013/31

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jorge Canales Kriljenko , Farayi Gwenhamo , and Saji Thomas

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 31 January 2013

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475522419.001

ISBN: 9781475522419

Keywords: SACU area, gdp growth, world growth, real gdp, domestic demand, terms of trade, Country and Industry Studies of Trade, International Policy Coordination and Transmission,

Spillovers from South Africa into the other members of the Souther Africa Customs Union (known as the BLNS for Botstwana, Lesotho, Namibia, and Swaziland) are substantial reflecting sizeable real and financial inte...

Revisiting the Link Between Finance and Macroeconomic Volatility

Revisiting the Link Between Finance and Macroeconomic Volatility »

Volume/Issue: 2013/29

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Era Dabla-Norris , and Narapong Srivisal

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 30 January 2013

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475543988.001

ISBN: 9781475543988

Keywords: Financial Depth, Macroeconomic Volatility, private consumption, external shocks, trade openness, growth rate, terms of trade, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development,

This paper examines the impact of financial depth on macroeconomic volatility using a dynamic panel analysis for 110 advanced and developing countries. We find that financial depth plays a significant role in dampe...