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Macroeconomic Model Spillovers and  Their Discontents

Macroeconomic Model Spillovers and Their Discontents »

Volume/Issue: 2013/4

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Tamim Bayoumi , and Francis Vitek

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 08 January 2013

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475519860.001

ISBN: 9781475519860

Keywords: Growth spillovers, macroeconomic models, international financial links, bond, bond yields, financial market, financial markets, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, International Policy Coordination and Transmission, Forecasting and Simulation,

The Great Recession underlined that policies in some countries can have profound spillovers elsewhere. Sadly, the solution of simulating large macroeconomic models to measure these spillovers has been found wanting...

Global Bonding
			: Do U.S. Bond and Equity Spillovers Dominate Global Financial Markets?

Global Bonding : Do U.S. Bond and Equity Spillovers Dominate Global Financial Markets? »

Volume/Issue: 2012/298

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Tamim Bayoumi , and Trung Bui

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 20 December 2012

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475586633.001

ISBN: 9781475586633

Keywords: Identification, international financial linkages, bond, equity markets, bond yields, financial markets, Estimation, Time-Series Models, General,

This paper uses a novel variant of identification through hetroscedacity to estimate spillovers across U.S., Euro area, Japanese, and UK government bond and equity markets in a vector autoregression. The results su...

Monetary Policy Transmission in Ghana
			: Does the Interest Rate Channel Work?

Monetary Policy Transmission in Ghana : Does the Interest Rate Channel Work? »

Volume/Issue: 2011/275

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Arto Kovanen

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 2011

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781463925314.001

ISBN: 9781463925314

Keywords: monetary policy transmission, interest rates, monetary policy, central bank, inflation, money market, Money And Interest Rates,

This paper analyzes interest rate pass-through in Ghana. Time series and bank-specific data are utilized to highlight linkages between policy, wholesale market, and retail market interest rates. Our analysis shows...

Growth Spillover Dynamics From Crisis to Recovery

Growth Spillover Dynamics From Crisis to Recovery »

Volume/Issue: 2011/218

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Helene Poirson Ward , and Sebastian Weber

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2011

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781463903510.001

ISBN: 9781463903510

Keywords: Growth, Crisis, Recovery, Euro zone, domestic demand, trade channels, transmission of shocks, external shocks,

Can positive growth shocks from the faster-growing countries in Europe spill over to the slower growing countries, providing useful tailwinds to their recovery process? This study investigates the potential relevan...

Do Fiscal Spillovers Matter?

Do Fiscal Spillovers Matter? »

Volume/Issue: 2011/211

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Sebastian Weber , and Anna Ivanova

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2011

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781463902315.001

ISBN: 9781463902315

Keywords: coordinated fiscal exit, fiscal changes, fiscal consolidation, fiscal measure, Macroeconomic Aspects Of International Trade And Finance, Macroeconomic - Aspects Of Public Finance, Macroeconomic Policy, And General Outlook, general Aggregative Models,

The paper assesses the impact of fiscal spillovers on growth in the context of a coordinated exit from crisis management policies. We find that despite potentially sizeable domestic effects from consolidation, aggr...

The United States
			: Spillover Report:  2011 Article IV Consultation

The United States : Spillover Report: 2011 Article IV Consultation »

Volume/Issue: 2011/203

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 25 July 2011

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781462317349.002

ISBN: 9781462317349

Keywords: bond, bond yields, interest rates, financial market

The size of the U.S. economy and, in particular, the global dominance of its financial markets creates uniquely large policy spillovers. Concerns that the end of QE2 could lead to a rapid reversal of emerging marke...

Japan
			: Spillover Report for the 2011 Article IV Consultation and Selected Issues

Japan : Spillover Report for the 2011 Article IV Consultation and Selected Issues »

Volume/Issue: 2011/183

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 19 July 2011

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781462328451.002

ISBN: 9781462328451

Keywords: interest rates, lead, trading partners, supply chain

Japan's position is one of the largest and richest economies in the world. Tokyo as a financial marketplace is not a major intermediator of global capital flows. The current macroeconomic environment is conducive t...

Euro Area Policies
			: Spillover Report for the 2011 Article IV Consultation and Selected Issues

Euro Area Policies : Spillover Report for the 2011 Article IV Consultation and Selected Issues »

Volume/Issue: 2011/185

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 19 July 2011

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781462339549.002

ISBN: 9781462339549

Keywords: spillovers, bond, financial markets, financial market, financial sector, Euro Area Policies:,

The euro area (EA) plays a major role in the global economy. Market perceptions of events in the EA program countries illustrate the possibility of large spillovers from the area in times of stress. The prospect of...

From West to East
			: Estimating External Spillovers to Australia and New Zealand

From West to East : Estimating External Spillovers to Australia and New Zealand »

Volume/Issue: 2011/120

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Yan Sun

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2011

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781455262434.001

ISBN: 9781455262434

Keywords: business cyles, sample period, small sample, statistically significant, interest rates, International Policy Coordination and Transmission,

This paper examines the size and source of external spillovers to Australia and New Zealand based on a structural vector autoregression (VAR) approach. It finds that during the last decade shocks from emerging Asia...

Measuring Energy Security
			: Trends in the Diversification of Oil and Natural Gas Supplies

Measuring Energy Security : Trends in the Diversification of Oil and Natural Gas Supplies »

Volume/Issue: 2011/39

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Prakash Loungani , Frederick Joutz , and Gail Cohen

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2011

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781455217878.001

ISBN: 9781455217878

Keywords: Energy Security, Energy Independence, Diversification, OECD Energy Use, gas, natural gas, oil and gas, natural gas supplies, gas supplies, Energy: Demand and Supply

We present evidence on one facet of energy security in OECD economies - the extent of diversification in sources of oil and natural gas supplies. Viewed from the perspective of the energy-importing countries as a w...