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Transitory and Permanent Shocks in the Global Market for Crude Oil

Transitory and Permanent Shocks in the Global Market for Crude Oil »

Volume/Issue: 2020/47

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Nooman Rebei , and Rashid Sbia

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 28 February 2020

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513528601.001

ISBN: 9781513528601

Keywords: Oil prices, Supply and demand, Oil production, Purchasing power parity, Real sector, Oil market, Vector autoregressions, Narrative analysis, Bayesian estimation, Kalman filtering

This paper documents the determinants of real oil price in the global market based on SVAR model embedding transitory and permanent shocks on oil demand and supply as well as speculative disturbances. We find evide...

Transitory and Permanent Shocks in the Global Market for Crude Oil1

Transitory and Permanent Shocks in the Global Market for Crude Oil1 »

Source: Transitory and Permanent Shocks in the Global Market for Crude Oil

Volume/Issue: 2020/47

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Nooman Rebei , and Rashid Sbia

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 28 February 2020

ISBN: 9781513528601

Keywords: Oil prices, Supply and demand, Oil production, Purchasing power parity, Real sector, Oil market, Vector autoregressions, Narrative analysis, Bayesian estimation, Kalman filtering

This paper documents the determinants of real oil price in the global market based on SVAR model embedding transitory and permanent shocks on oil demand and supply as well as speculative disturbances. We find evide...

The Future of Oil and Fiscal Sustainability in the GCC Region

The Future of Oil and Fiscal Sustainability in the GCC Region »

Volume/Issue: 2020/1

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): Tokhir Mirzoev , Ling Zhu , Yang Yang , Tian Zhang , Erik Roos , Andrea Pescatori , and Akito Matsumoto

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 06 February 2020

Language: Arabic

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513525938.087

ISBN: 9781513525938

Keywords: Fiscal policy, Oil exporting countries, Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), Oil prices, Oil revenues, Supply and demand, Producer prices, Public financial management, Oil-exporting countries, DPPP

The Future of Oil and Fiscal Sustainability in the GCC Region...

The Future of Oil and Fiscal Sustainability in the GCC Region

The Future of Oil and Fiscal Sustainability in the GCC Region »

Source: The Future of Oil and Fiscal Sustainability in the GCC Region

Volume/Issue: 2020/1

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): Tokhir Mirzoev , Ling Zhu , Yang Yang , Tian Zhang , Erik Roos , Andrea Pescatori , and Akito Matsumoto

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 06 February 2020

Language: Arabic

ISBN: 9781513525938

Keywords: Fiscal policy, Oil exporting countries, Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), Oil prices, Oil revenues, Supply and demand, Producer prices, Public financial management, Oil-exporting countries, DPPP

The Future of Oil and Fiscal Sustainability in the GCC Region...

The Future of Oil and Fiscal Sustainability in the GCC Region

The Future of Oil and Fiscal Sustainability in the GCC Region »

Source: The Future of Oil and Fiscal Sustainability in the GCC Region

Volume/Issue: 2020/1

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): Tokhir Mirzoev , Ling Zhu , Yang Yang , Tian Zhang , Erik Roos , Andrea Pescatori , and Akito Matsumoto

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 06 February 2020

ISBN: 9781513525907

Keywords: Fiscal policy, Oil exporting countries, Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), Oil prices, Oil revenues, Supply and demand, Producer prices, Public financial management, Oil-exporting countries, DPPP

The oil market is undergoing fundamental change. New technologies are increasing the supply of oil from old and new sources, while rising concerns over the environment are seeing the world gradually moving away fro...

The Future of Oil and Fiscal Sustainability in the GCC Region

The Future of Oil and Fiscal Sustainability in the GCC Region »

Volume/Issue: 2020/1

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): Tokhir Mirzoev , Ling Zhu , Yang Yang , Tian Zhang , Erik Roos , Andrea Pescatori , and Akito Matsumoto

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 06 February 2020

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513525907.087

ISBN: 9781513525907

Keywords: Fiscal policy, Oil exporting countries, Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), Oil prices, Oil revenues, Supply and demand, Producer prices, Public financial management, Oil-exporting countries, DPPP

The oil market is undergoing fundamental change. New technologies are increasing the supply of oil from old and new sources, while rising concerns over the environment are seeing the world gradually moving away fro...

Managed Trade: What Could be Possible Spillover Effects of a Potential Trade Agreement Between the U.S. and China?

Managed Trade: What Could be Possible Spillover Effects of a Potential Trade Agreement Between the U.S. and China? »

Volume/Issue: 2019/251

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Eugenio Cerutti , Shan Chen , Pragyan Deb , Albe Gjonbalaj , Swarnali Hannan , and Adil Mohommad

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 15 November 2019

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513518312.001

ISBN: 9781513518312

Keywords: Bilateral trade, Balance of trade, Patterns of trade, Trading systems, Trade policy, Managed trade deal, spillover effects., WP, extra purchase, size-based

The trade discussions between the U.S. and China are on-going. Not much is known about the shape and nature of a potential agreement, but it seems possible that it would include elements of managed trade. This pape...

Managed Trade: What Could be Possible Spillover Effects of a Potential Trade Agreement Between the U.S. and China?1

Managed Trade: What Could be Possible Spillover Effects of a Potential Trade Agreement Between the U.S. and China?1 »

Source: Managed Trade: What Could be Possible Spillover Effects of a Potential Trade Agreement Between the U.S. and China?

Volume/Issue: 2019/251

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Eugenio Cerutti , Shan Chen , Pragyan Deb , Albe Gjonbalaj , Swarnali Hannan , and Adil Mohommad

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 15 November 2019

ISBN: 9781513518312

Keywords: Bilateral trade, Balance of trade, Patterns of trade, Trading systems, Trade policy, Managed trade deal, spillover effects., WP, extra purchase, size-based

The trade discussions between the U.S. and China are on-going. Not much is known about the shape and nature of a potential agreement, but it seems possible that it would include elements of managed trade. This pape...

The Drivers, Implications and Outlook for China's Shrinking Current Account Surplus1

The Drivers, Implications and Outlook for China's Shrinking Current Account Surplus1 »

Source: The Drivers, Implications and Outlook for China's Shrinking Current Account Surplus

Volume/Issue: 2019/244

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Pragyan Deb , Albe Gjonbalaj , and Swarnali Hannan

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 08 November 2019

ISBN: 9781513516097

Keywords: Accounting, Aging, Assets, Balance of trade, Bank deposits, Bilateral trade, Bonds, Capital, Capital account, Capital flows

China's current account surplus has declined significantly from its peak in 2008 and the external position in 2018 was in line with medium-term fundamentals and desirable policies. While cyclical factors and expans...

The Drivers, Implications and Outlook for China's Shrinking Current Account Surplus

The Drivers, Implications and Outlook for China's Shrinking Current Account Surplus »

Volume/Issue: 2019/244

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Pragyan Deb , Albe Gjonbalaj , and Swarnali Hannan

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 08 November 2019

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513516097.001

ISBN: 9781513516097

Keywords: Accounting, Aging, Assets, Balance of trade, Bank deposits, Bilateral trade, Bonds, Capital, Capital account, Capital flows

China's current account surplus has declined significantly from its peak in 2008 and the external position in 2018 was in line with medium-term fundamentals and desirable policies. While cyclical factors and expans...