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Leading Indicators of Fiscal Distress

Leading Indicators of Fiscal Distress »

Journal Issue

Volume/Issue: 2016/28

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Martin Bruns , and Tigran Poghosyan

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 15 February 2016

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475594799.001

ISBN: 9781475594799

Keywords: fiscal distress, extreme bound analysis, debt, currency, inflation, emerging economies, default, Studies of Particular Policy Episodes, General Outlook and Conditions, Forecasting and Simulation

Early warning systems (EWS) are widely used for assessing countries’ vulnerability to fiscal distress. Most EWS employ a specific set of only fiscal leading indicators predetermined by the researchers, which casts...

Leading Indicators of Fiscal Distress

Leading Indicators of Fiscal Distress »

Article

Source: Leading Indicators of Fiscal Distress

Volume/Issue: 2016/28

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Martin Bruns , and Tigran Poghosyan

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 15 February 2016

ISBN: 9781475594799

Keywords: fiscal distress, extreme bound analysis, debt, currency, inflation, emerging economies, default, Studies of Particular Policy Episodes, General Outlook and Conditions, Forecasting and Simulation

Early warning systems (EWS) are widely used for assessing countries’ vulnerability to fiscal distress. Most EWS employ a specific set of only fiscal leading indicators predetermined by the researchers, which casts...

Government Spending Effects in Low-income Countries*

Government Spending Effects in Low-income Countries* »

Article

Source: Government Spending Effects in Low-income Countries

Volume/Issue: 2015/286

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Wenyi Shen , Susan Yang , and Luis-Felipe Zanna

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 30 December 2015

ISBN: 9781513578972

Keywords: Fiscal Policy, Low-income Countries, Public Investment, Fiscal Multipliers, Small Open DSGE Models, Aid, investment, government spending, exchange rate, exchange

Despite the voluminous literature on fiscal policy, very few papers focus on low-income countries (LICs). This paper develops a new-Keynesian small open economy model to show, analytically and through simulations,...

Government Spending Effects in Low-income Countries

Government Spending Effects in Low-income Countries »

Journal Issue

Volume/Issue: 2015/286

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Wenyi Shen , Susan Yang , and Luis-Felipe Zanna

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 30 December 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513578972.001

ISBN: 9781513578972

Keywords: Fiscal Policy, Low-income Countries, Public Investment, Fiscal Multipliers, Small Open DSGE Models, Aid, investment, government spending, exchange rate, exchange

Despite the voluminous literature on fiscal policy, very few papers focus on low-income countries (LICs). This paper develops a new-Keynesian small open economy model to show, analytically and through simulations,...

Unveiling the Effects of Foreign Exchange Intervention : A Panel Approach

Unveiling the Effects of Foreign Exchange Intervention : A Panel Approach »

Journal Issue

Volume/Issue: 2015/130

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Gustavo Adler , Noemie Lisack , and Rui Mano

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 June 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513514864.001

ISBN: 9781513514864

Keywords: exchange rate, exchange, exchange rates, central bank,

We study the effect of foreign exchange intervention on the exchange rate relying on an instrumental-variables panel approach. We find robust evidence that intervention affects the level of the exchange rate in an...

Unveiling the Effects of Foreign Exchange Intervention

Unveiling the Effects of Foreign Exchange Intervention »

Article

Source: Unveiling the Effects of Foreign Exchange Intervention : A Panel Approach

Volume/Issue: 2015/130

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Gustavo Adler , Noemie Lisack , and Rui Mano

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 June 2015

ISBN: 9781513514864

Keywords: exchange rate, exchange, exchange rates, central bank,

We study the effect of foreign exchange intervention on the exchange rate relying on an instrumental-variables panel approach. We find robust evidence that intervention affects the level of the exchange rate in an...

What has Capital Liberalization Meant for Economic and Financial Statistics

What has Capital Liberalization Meant for Economic and Financial Statistics »

Journal Issue

Volume/Issue: 2015/88

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Robert Heath

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 30 April 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475520965.001

ISBN: 9781475520965

Keywords: data dissmination standards, financial interconnections, capital flow, capital flows, investment, financial stability, monetary fund, General, financial interconnections.,

The liberalization of capital flows both in the domestic economy and cross-border has been among the most important policies adopted by IMF member countries over recent decades. The impact has been wide-ranging. Th...

What has Capital Liberalization Meant for Economic and Financial Statistics1

What has Capital Liberalization Meant for Economic and Financial Statistics1 »

Article

Source: What has Capital Liberalization Meant for Economic and Financial Statistics

Volume/Issue: 2015/88

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Robert Heath

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 30 April 2015

ISBN: 9781475520965

Keywords: data dissmination standards, financial interconnections, capital flow, capital flows, investment, financial stability, monetary fund, General, financial interconnections.,

The liberalization of capital flows both in the domestic economy and cross-border has been among the most important policies adopted by IMF member countries over recent decades. The impact has been wide-ranging. Th...

Fiscal Policy Implications for Labor Market Outcomes in Middle-Income Countries1

Fiscal Policy Implications for Labor Market Outcomes in Middle-Income Countries1 »

Article

Source: Fiscal Policy Implications for Labor Market Outcomes in Middle-Income Countries

Volume/Issue: 2015/17

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ara Stepanyan , and Lamin Leigh

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 January 2015

ISBN: 9781484326800

Keywords: public and private employment, unemployment rate, wage premium, labor market, employment, labor, Labor Economics Policies,

Many governments have initiated public employment programs or expanded the existing ones in response to high unemployment. However, in many middle-income countries, a relatively large government coexists with persi...

Fiscal Policy Implications for Labor Market Outcomes in Middle-Income Countries

Fiscal Policy Implications for Labor Market Outcomes in Middle-Income Countries »

Journal Issue

Volume/Issue: 2015/17

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ara Stepanyan , and Lamin Leigh

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 January 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484326800.001

ISBN: 9781484326800

Keywords: public and private employment, unemployment rate, wage premium, labor market, employment, labor, Labor Economics Policies,

Many governments have initiated public employment programs or expanded the existing ones in response to high unemployment. However, in many middle-income countries, a relatively large government coexists with persi...