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Regional Economic Outlook, May 2018, Europe

Managing the Upswing in Uncertain Times

The Spring EUR REO projects the economic outlook for the region for the next six months.

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2018, Europe
			: Domestic Expansion Running into External Turbulence

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2018, Europe : Domestic Expansion Running into External Turbulence »

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. European Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 08 November 2018

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484375402.086

ISBN: 9781484375402

Keywords: Europe, Regional Economic Outlook, economic outlook, financial conditions, fiscal policy, monetary policy, emerging Europe, advanced Europe

Economic activity continued to expand in the first half of 2018, albeit at a slower-than-expected pace, mainly in advanced Europe. Domestic demand, supported by stronger employment and wages, remains the main engin...

Regional Economic Outlook, May 2018, Europe
			: Managing the Upswing in Uncertain Times

Regional Economic Outlook, May 2018, Europe : Managing the Upswing in Uncertain Times »

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. European Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 15 May 2018

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484339909.086

ISBN: 9781484339909

Europe continues to enjoy a strong growth spurt. Growth has firmed up in many European economies and the forecast is for more of the same. Real GDP increased by 2.8 percent in 2017, up from 1.8 percent in 2016. The...

The Challenge of Public Pension Reform in Advanced and Emerging Economies

The Challenge of Public Pension Reform in Advanced and Emerging Economies »

Series: Occasional Papers

Author(s): Benedict Clements , David Coady , Frank Eich , Sanjeev Gupta , Alvar Kangur , Baoping Shang , and Mauricio Soto

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 08 January 2016

Language: Chinese

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9787504979971.084

ISBN: 9787504979971

Keywords: Pension reforms, Developed countries, Emerging markets, Pensions, Government expenditures, Cross country analysis, emerging market economies, retirement, pensions, pension spending

Pension reform is high on the policy agenda of many advanced and emerging market economies. In advanced economies the challenge is generally to contain future increases in public pension spending as the population...

Steady as She Goes-Estimating Potential Output During Financial 'Booms and Busts'

Steady as She Goes-Estimating Potential Output During Financial 'Booms and Busts' »

Volume/Issue: 2015/233

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Helge Berger , Thomas Dowling , Sergi Lanau , Mico Mrkaic , Pau Rabanal , and Marzie Taheri Sanjani

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 09 November 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513503271.001

ISBN: 9781513503271

Keywords: Output gap, variables, gdp, demand, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, Model Construction and Estimation, Estimation, All Countries,

Potential output-in the sense of the GDP level or path an economy can sustain over the medium term-is a crucial benchmark for policymakers. However, it is difficult to estimate when financial 'booms and busts' are...

The Mechanics of a Strong Euro Area
			: IMF Policy Analysis

The Mechanics of a Strong Euro Area : IMF Policy Analysis »

Series: Books

Author(s): Petya Koeva Brooks , and Mahmood Pradhan

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 21 October 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781498305532.071

ISBN: 9781498305532

Keywords: Euro Area, Economic policy, debt, bank, banks, unemployment, lending

Among member states, many structural weaknesses were exposed when economic performance declined significantly and financial markets became more discerning. This book focuses on the analytical underpinnings of real-...

Estimating VAT Pass Through

Estimating VAT Pass Through »

Volume/Issue: 2015/214

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Dora Benedek , Ruud A. Mooij , and Philippe Wingender

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 30 September 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513586359.001

ISBN: 9781513586359

Keywords: Tax incidence, Price effect, Pass through, consumption, prices, goods, elasticity, value, Incidence, Business Taxes and Subsidies,

This paper estimates the pass through of VAT changes to consumer prices, using a unique dataset providing disaggregated, monthly data on prices and VAT rates for 17 Eurozone countries over 1999-2013. Pass through i...

A Strategy for Resolving Europe's Problem Loans

A Strategy for Resolving Europe's Problem Loans »

Volume/Issue: 2015/19

Series: Staff Discussion Notes

Author(s): Shekhar Aiyar , Wolfgang Bergthaler , Jose Garrido , Anna Ilyina , Andreas Jobst , Kenneth Kang , Dmitriy Kovtun , Yan Liu , Dermot Monaghan , and Marina Moretti

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 24 September 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513591278.006

ISBN: 9781513591278

Keywords: Bank resolution, Banks, Debt restructuring, Europe, Non-performing loans, Corporate debt, Nonperforming loans, NPL resolution, credit growth, debt

Europe's banking system is weighed down by high levels of non-performing loans (NPLs), which are holding down credit growth and economic activity. This discussion note uses a new survey of European country authorit...

Financial Factors
			: Implications for Output Gaps

Financial Factors : Implications for Output Gaps »

Volume/Issue: 2015/153

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Pau Rabanal , and Marzie Taheri Sanjani

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 14 July 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513512860.001

ISBN: 9781513512860

Keywords: Monetary Union, Output Gap, Financial Frictions, Bayesian Estimation, potential output, credit, costs, monetary policy, Model Construction and Estimation, Monetary Policy (Targets

We suggest a new approach for analyzing the role of financial variables and shocks in computing the output gap. We estimate a two-region DSGE model for the euro area, with financial frictions at the household level...

It's Not All Fiscal
			: Effects of Income, Fiscal Policy, and Wealth on Private Consumption

It's Not All Fiscal : Effects of Income, Fiscal Policy, and Wealth on Private Consumption »

Volume/Issue: 2015/112

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Laura Jaramillo , and Alexandre Chailloux

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 26 May 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513584744.001

ISBN: 9781513584744

Keywords: wealth, housing assets, household debt, assets, debt, Consumer Economics: Empirical Analysis, Household,

We attempt to disentangle income and wealth effects on consumption by disaggregating both the different types of income and wealth. We estimate a consumption function for a panel of quarterly data for 14 advanced e...

Correcting 'Beyond the Cycle"
			: Accounting for Asset Prices in Structural Fiscal Balances

Correcting 'Beyond the Cycle" : Accounting for Asset Prices in Structural Fiscal Balances »

Volume/Issue: 2015/109

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Estelle Liu , Todd Mattina , and Tigran Poghosyan

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 19 May 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513520551.001

ISBN: 9781513520551

Keywords: asset price, equity market, housing market, panel data econometrics, prices, price, equity, Asset Pricing, Deficit, panel data econometrics.,

This paper outlines an operational approach for incorporating the impact of asset price cycles in the calculation of structural fiscal balances (SFBs). The global financial crisis demonstrated that movements in ass...