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Regional Economic Outlook, May 2018, Europe

Managing the Upswing in Uncertain Times

The Spring EUR REO projects the economic outlook for the region for the next six months.

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2018, Europe
			: Domestic Expansion Running into External Turbulence

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2018, Europe : Domestic Expansion Running into External Turbulence »

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. European Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 08 November 2018

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484375402.086

ISBN: 9781484375402

Keywords: Europe, Regional Economic Outlook, economic outlook, financial conditions, fiscal policy, monetary policy, emerging Europe, advanced Europe

Economic activity continued to expand in the first half of 2018, albeit at a slower-than-expected pace, mainly in advanced Europe. Domestic demand, supported by stronger employment and wages, remains the main engin...

Regional Economic Outlook, May 2018, Europe
			: Managing the Upswing in Uncertain Times

Regional Economic Outlook, May 2018, Europe : Managing the Upswing in Uncertain Times »

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. European Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 15 May 2018

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484339909.086

ISBN: 9781484339909

Europe continues to enjoy a strong growth spurt. Growth has firmed up in many European economies and the forecast is for more of the same. Real GDP increased by 2.8 percent in 2017, up from 1.8 percent in 2016. The...

The Challenge of Public Pension Reform in Advanced and Emerging Economies

The Challenge of Public Pension Reform in Advanced and Emerging Economies »

Series: Occasional Papers

Author(s): Benedict Clements , David Coady , Frank Eich , Sanjeev Gupta , Alvar Kangur , Baoping Shang , and Mauricio Soto

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 08 January 2016

Language: Chinese

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9787504979971.084

ISBN: 9787504979971

Keywords: Pension reforms, Developed countries, Emerging markets, Pensions, Government expenditures, Cross country analysis, emerging market economies, retirement, pensions, pension spending

Pension reform is high on the policy agenda of many advanced and emerging market economies. In advanced economies the challenge is generally to contain future increases in public pension spending as the population...

Youth Unemployment in Advanced Europe
			: Okun's Law and Beyond

Youth Unemployment in Advanced Europe : Okun's Law and Beyond »

Volume/Issue: 2015/5

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Angana Banerji , Huidan Lin , and Sergejs Saksonovs

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 21 January 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781498382519.001

ISBN: 9781498382519

Keywords: Youth employment, youth unemployment, Okun&;amp;#x2019;s law, business cycle, labor market factors, labor market, labor, employment, General, Labor Force and Employment

The crisis has intensified what was previously a chronic unemployment problem in Europe; youth unemployment is now at unprecedented highs in some European countries. This paper assesses the main drivers of youth un...

Cross-Country Experience in Reducing Net Foreign Liabilities
			: Lessons for New Zealand

Cross-Country Experience in Reducing Net Foreign Liabilities : Lessons for New Zealand »

Volume/Issue: 2014/62

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ding Ding , Werner Schule , and Yan Sun

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 16 April 2014

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475516388.001

ISBN: 9781475516388

Keywords: Net foreign liabilities, Current account balance, Public savings, foreign liabilities, foreign assets, international investment, financial integration, external indebtedness, Open Economy Macroeconomics,

This paper studies the dynamics of net foreign liabilities across a number of countries. Our historical analysis suggests that an orderly reduction in a country's net foreign liabilities has mostly occurred when th...

Do Fiscal Spillovers Matter?

Do Fiscal Spillovers Matter? »

Volume/Issue: 2011/211

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Sebastian Weber , and Anna Ivanova

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2011

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781463902315.001

ISBN: 9781463902315

Keywords: coordinated fiscal exit, fiscal changes, fiscal consolidation, fiscal measure, Macroeconomic Aspects Of International Trade And Finance, Macroeconomic - Aspects Of Public Finance, Macroeconomic Policy, And General Outlook, general Aggregative Models,

The paper assesses the impact of fiscal spillovers on growth in the context of a coordinated exit from crisis management policies. We find that despite potentially sizeable domestic effects from consolidation, aggr...

The Fundamental Determinants of Credit Default Risk for European Large Complex Financial Institutions

The Fundamental Determinants of Credit Default Risk for European Large Complex Financial Institutions »

Volume/Issue: 2010/153

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jiri Podpiera , and Inci Ötker

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2010

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781455201365.001

ISBN: 9781455201365

Keywords: Large Complex Financial Institutions, dynamic panel data, CAMELS, vulnerability analysis, bond, autocorrelation, corporate bond, statistics, standard errors, Financial Institutions and Services: Government Policy and Regulation

This paper attempts to identify the fundamental variables that drive the credit default swaps during the initial phase of distress in selected European Large Complex Financial Institutions (LCFIs). It uses yearly d...

Euro Area Sovereign Risk During the Crisis

Euro Area Sovereign Risk During the Crisis »

Volume/Issue: 2009/222

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Edda Zoli , and Silvia Sgherri

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2009

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451873696.001

ISBN: 9781451873696

Keywords: Sovereign Spreads, Global Risk Repricing, bond, sovereign bond, bonds,

While the use of public resources is critical to cushion the impact of the financial crisis on the euro-area economy, it is key that the entailed fiscal costs not be seen by markets as undermining fiscal sustainabi...

Euro Area Policies
			: 2009 Article IV Consultation:  Staff Report; Public Information Notice on the Executive Board Discussion; and Statement by the Executive Director for Member Countries

Euro Area Policies : 2009 Article IV Consultation: Staff Report; Public Information Notice on the Executive Board Discussion; and Statement by the Executive Director for Member Countries »

Volume/Issue: 2009/223

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 30 July 2009

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451813098.002

ISBN: 9781451813098

Keywords: financial system, financial institutions, labor market

This 2009 Article IV Consultation focuses on euro area policies. The euro area remains in recession, with signs of improvement yet to evolve into a recovery. The large drop in financial wealth, an associated increa...

Estimating Spillover Risk Among Large EU Banks

Estimating Spillover Risk Among Large EU Banks »

Volume/Issue: 2007/267

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Li Ong , and Martin Cihak

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 2007

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451868302.001

ISBN: 9781451868302

Keywords: contagion, large banks, banking, stock market, bond, government bond,

The paper examines the scope for cross-border spillovers among major EU banks using information contained in the stock prices and financial statements of these banks. The results suggest that spillovers within dome...