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A Growth-Friendly Path for Building Fiscal Buffers in the Caucuses and Central Asia

A Growth-Friendly Path for Building Fiscal Buffers in the Caucuses and Central Asia »

Volume/Issue: 2018/6

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): Edward Gemayel , Lorraine Ocampos , Matteo Ghilardi , and James Aylward

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 10 April 2018

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484337165.087

ISBN: 9781484337165

Keywords: Growth acceleration, Uzbekistan, Afghanistan, Islamic Republic of, Iran, Islamic Republic of, Libyan Arab Jamahiriya, Syrian Arab Republic, Yemen, Republic of, Saudi Arabia, Somalia, Sudan

Since 2014, large and persistent external shocks have hit the CCA region, particularly a slump in global commodity prices and slower growth in its key economic partners. Fiscal accommodation, along with currency ad...

Public Wage Bills in the Middle East and Central Asia

Public Wage Bills in the Middle East and Central Asia »

Volume: 18

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): Natalia Tamirisa , and Christoph Duenwald

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 09 January 2018

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484336731.087

ISBN: 9781484336731

Keywords: Public sector, Public sector wages, Public employment, Public expenditure management, Public expenditures reform, Public services, Public employment systems, Public sector; Public sector wages; Public employment; Public expenditure management; Public expenditures reform; Public services; Public employment systems

Analysis of policies for managing public sector wage bills in the Middle East and Central Asia region. While some work has been done recently at the Fund on issues related to government employment and compensation,...

Assessing The Impact Of Fiscal Shocks On Output In MENAP Countries

Assessing The Impact Of Fiscal Shocks On Output In MENAP Countries »

Volume: 15

Series: Technical Notes and Manuals

Author(s): Martin Cerisola , Chadi Abdallah , Victor Davies , and Mark Fischer

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 March 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781498383905.005

ISBN: 9781498383905

Keywords: Fiscal policy, fiscal multipliers, fiscal, fiscal shocks, tax, multipliers, General, General

This note is a reference guide to the econometric work on fiscal multipliers for MENAP countries. Spending and tax multipliers are estimated from conventional VAR models and identified using a sign-restrictions app...

Estimating Potential Growth in the Middle East and Central Asia

Estimating Potential Growth in the Middle East and Central Asia »

Volume/Issue: 2015/62

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Pritha Mitra , Amr Hosny , Gohar Abajyan , and Mark Fischer

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 20 March 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475545364.001

ISBN: 9781475545364

Keywords: potential growth, output gap, production function, Middle East, Central Asia., growth, capital, labor, tfp,

The Middle East and Central Asia's economic growth potential is slowing faster than in other emerging and developing regions, dampening hopes for reducing persistent unemployment and improving the region's genera...

Making the Most of Public Investment in MENA and CCA Oil-Exporting Countries

Making the Most of Public Investment in MENA and CCA Oil-Exporting Countries »

Volume/Issue: 2014/10

Series: Staff Discussion Notes

Author(s): Maria Albino-War , Svetlana Cerovic , Francesco Grigoli , Juan Flores , Javier Kapsoli , Haonan Qu , Yahia Said , Bahrom Shukurov , Martin Sommer , and SeokHyun Yoon

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 12 November 2014

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781498311397.006

ISBN: 9781498311397

Keywords: Central Asia and the Caucasus, Expenditure efficiency, Somalia, Oman, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Public investment, Natural resources, Morocco, North Africa

Over the past decade, rising oil prices have translated into high levels of public investment in most MENA and CCA oil exporters. This has prompted questions about the efficiency of public investment in generating...

Soaring of the Gulf Falcons
			: Diversification in the GCC Oil Exporters in Seven Propositions

Soaring of the Gulf Falcons : Diversification in the GCC Oil Exporters in Seven Propositions »

Volume/Issue: 2014/177

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Reda Cherif , and Fuad Hasanov

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 24 September 2014

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781498310642.001

ISBN: 9781498310642

Keywords: oil countries, growth, oil, exporters, oil exporters, oil exports, Exhaustible Resources and Economic Development,

A key priority for the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries is to create a dynamic non-oil tradable sector to support sustainable growth. Since export diversification takes a long time, it has to start now. We...

Resource Blessing, Revenue Curse? Domestic Revenue Effort in Resource-Rich Countries

Resource Blessing, Revenue Curse? Domestic Revenue Effort in Resource-Rich Countries »

Volume/Issue: 2014/5

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ernesto Crivelli , and Sanjeev Gupta

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 14 January 2014

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484351178.001

ISBN: 9781484351178

Keywords: resource revenue, taxation, tax effort, fiscal affairs, General, Resource Booms, Government Policy,

This paper uses a newly constructed revenue dataset of 35 resource-rich countries for the period 1992-2009 to analyze the impact of expanding resource revenues on different types of domestic (non resource) tax reve...

The Finance and Growth Nexus Re-Examined
			: Do All Countries Benefit Equally?

The Finance and Growth Nexus Re-Examined : Do All Countries Benefit Equally? »

Volume/Issue: 2013/130

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Adolfo Barajas , Ralph Chami , and Reza Yousefi

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 29 May 2013

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484372104.001

ISBN: 9781484372104

Keywords: Growth, Financial Development, Financial Access, oil, banking, bank deposits, banking sector, bank supervision, General, Asia including Middle East,

A large theoretical and empirical literature has focused on the impact of financial deepening on economic growth throughout the world. This paper contributes to the literature by investigating whether this impact d...

Is Fiscal Policy Procyclical in Developing Oil-Producing Countries?

Is Fiscal Policy Procyclical in Developing Oil-Producing Countries? »

Volume/Issue: 2011/171

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Nese Erbil

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 2011

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781462314324.001

ISBN: 9781462314324

Keywords: institutions, govenment expenditure, expenditure, capital expenditure, fiscal policies, government expenditure, Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents: General,

This paper examines the cyclicality of fiscal behavior in 28 developing oil-producing countries (OPCs) during 1990-2009. After testing five fiscal measures - government expenditure, consumption, investment, non-oil...

Government Finance Statistics Yearbook, 2010

Government Finance Statistics Yearbook, 2010 »

Series: Government Finance Statistics

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Statistics Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 11 March 2011

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781616350048.043

ISBN: 9781616350048

Keywords: liabilities, taxes, financial assets, loans, financial derivatives, interest, local governments, benefits, salaries, public debt

Detailed annual data for Fund member governments are supplied on revenue income by source (tax, lending, bonds, etc.), and expenditure by sector (defense, education, health, etc.) for all levels of government (nati...