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The Drivers, Implications and Outlook for China's Shrinking Current Account Surplus1

The Drivers, Implications and Outlook for China's Shrinking Current Account Surplus1 »

Source: The Drivers, Implications and Outlook for China's Shrinking Current Account Surplus

Volume/Issue: 2019/244

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Pragyan Deb , Albe Gjonbalaj , and Swarnali Hannan

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 08 November 2019

ISBN: 9781513516097

Keywords: Accounting, Aging, Assets, Balance of trade, Bank deposits, Bilateral trade, Bonds, Capital, Capital account, Capital flows

China's current account surplus has declined significantly from its peak in 2008 and the external position in 2018 was in line with medium-term fundamentals and desirable policies. While cyclical factors and expans...

The Drivers, Implications and Outlook for China's Shrinking Current Account Surplus

The Drivers, Implications and Outlook for China's Shrinking Current Account Surplus »

Volume/Issue: 2019/244

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Pragyan Deb , Albe Gjonbalaj , and Swarnali Hannan

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 08 November 2019

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513516097.001

ISBN: 9781513516097

Keywords: Accounting, Aging, Assets, Balance of trade, Bank deposits, Bilateral trade, Bonds, Capital, Capital account, Capital flows

China's current account surplus has declined significantly from its peak in 2008 and the external position in 2018 was in line with medium-term fundamentals and desirable policies. While cyclical factors and expans...

Understanding Export Diversification: Key Drivers and Policy Implications

Understanding Export Diversification: Key Drivers and Policy Implications »

Volume/Issue: 2019/105

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Rahul Giri , Saad Quayyum , and Rujun Yin

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 10 May 2019

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781498313087.001

ISBN: 9781498313087

Keywords: Commodity markets, Commodity price fluctuations, Comparative advantage, Natural resources, International trade agreements, Diversification, Education, Trade, Natural Resource Rent, Commodity Exporter

We identify key factors, from large set of potential determinants, that explain the variation in export diversification across countries and over time using Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA), which addresses model unc...

Understanding Export Diversification: Key Drivers and Policy Implications

Understanding Export Diversification: Key Drivers and Policy Implications »

Source: Understanding Export Diversification: Key Drivers and Policy Implications

Volume/Issue: 2019/105

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Rahul Giri , Saad Quayyum , and Rujun Yin

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 10 May 2019

ISBN: 9781498313087

Keywords: Commodity markets, Commodity price fluctuations, Comparative advantage, Natural resources, International trade agreements, Diversification, Education, Trade, Natural Resource Rent, Commodity Exporter

We identify key factors, from large set of potential determinants, that explain the variation in export diversification across countries and over time using Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA), which addresses model unc...

The Impact of Rapid Aging and Pension Reform on Savings and the Labor Supply

The Impact of Rapid Aging and Pension Reform on Savings and the Labor Supply »

Volume/Issue: 2019/61

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Hui He , Lei Ning , and Dongming Zhu

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 18 March 2019

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781498302890.001

ISBN: 9781498302890

Keywords: Pension reforms, Social security, Household survey data, Labor supply, Social welfare programs, Demographic Change, Pension Reform, Saving, Life Cycle, Heterogeneous Agent Model

We study, both empirically and quantitatively, the role of savings and the labor supply in self-insurance channels over the life cycle when one faces not only idiosyncratic income risks, but also changes in longevi...

The Impact of Rapid Aging and Pension Reform on Savings and the Labor Supply1

The Impact of Rapid Aging and Pension Reform on Savings and the Labor Supply1 »

Source: The Impact of Rapid Aging and Pension Reform on Savings and the Labor Supply

Volume/Issue: 2019/61

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Hui He , Lei Ning , and Dongming Zhu

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 18 March 2019

ISBN: 9781498302890

Keywords: Pension reforms, Social security, Household survey data, Labor supply, Social welfare programs, Demographic Change, Pension Reform, Saving, Life Cycle, Heterogeneous Agent Model

We study, both empirically and quantitatively, the role of savings and the labor supply in self-insurance channels over the life cycle when one faces not only idiosyncratic income risks, but also changes in longevi...

1. Building on Asia’s Strengths during Turbulent Times

1. Building on Asia’s Strengths during Turbulent Times »

Source: Regional Economic Outlook, April 2016, Asia and Pacific : Building on Asia's Strengths during Turbulent Times

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): Ranil Salgado

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 03 May 2016

ISBN: 9781498350921

Keywords: Regional Economic Outlook, Consumption, Development, Supply and demand, Financial crises, Commodity markets, Economies, trade, income, prices

Recent Developments and Near-Term Outlook Although growth in the Asia-Pacific economies is expected to decelerate slightly to about 5¼ percent during 2016–17, the are...

3. China’s Evolving Trade with Advanced Upstream Economies and Commodity Exporters

3. China’s Evolving Trade with Advanced Upstream Economies and Commodity Exporters »

Source: Regional Economic Outlook, April 2016, Asia and Pacific : Building on Asia's Strengths during Turbulent Times

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): Ranil Salgado

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 03 May 2016

ISBN: 9781498350921

Keywords: Regional Economic Outlook, Consumption, Development, Supply and demand, Financial crises, Commodity markets, Economies, trade, income, prices

Introduction and Main Findings China is in the midst of a fundamental transformation. Growth has been slowing since 2012 as the economy has been rebalancing to a more sustainable gro...

Executive Summary

Executive Summary »

Source: Regional Economic Outlook, April 2016, Asia and Pacific : Building on Asia's Strengths during Turbulent Times

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): Ranil Salgado

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 03 May 2016

ISBN: 9781498350921

Keywords: Regional Economic Outlook, Consumption, Development, Supply and demand, Financial crises, Commodity markets, Economies, trade, income, prices

Asia remains the most dynamic part of the global economy but is facing severe headwinds from a still weak global recovery, slowing global trade, and the short-term impact of China’s...

2. Navigating the Transition: Trade and Financial Spillovers from China

2. Navigating the Transition: Trade and Financial Spillovers from China »

Source: Regional Economic Outlook, April 2016, Asia and Pacific : Building on Asia's Strengths during Turbulent Times

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): Ranil Salgado

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 03 May 2016

ISBN: 9781498350921

Keywords: Regional Economic Outlook, Consumption, Development, Supply and demand, Financial crises, Commodity markets, Economies, trade, income, prices

Introduction and Main Findings The Chinese economy is undergoing substantial structural change to a model driven increasingly by consumption and services (rather than public investme...