This paper reviews the significant macro-fiscal challenges posed by climate change in
Djibouti and the costs of mitigation and adaptation policies. The paper concludes that
Djibouti is susceptible to climate change and related costs are potentially large. Investing
now in adaptation and mitigation has large benefits in terms of reducing the related costs in
the future. Reforms to generate the fiscal space are therefore needed and investment for
mitigation and adaptation to climate change should be built into the long-term fiscal
projections. Finally, concerted international efforts and stepping up regional cooperation
could help moderate climate-related macro-fiscal risks.
Jordan’s initiatives to reduce its energy dependency could have substantial macroeconomic
implications, but will crucially depend on the level of international oil prices in the next
decade. Significant uncertainties remain regarding the feasibility of the initiatives and their
potential fiscal costs, including from contingent liabilities, could be very large. Given the
lead time required for such major investments, work should start now on: (i) conducting
comprehensive cost-benefits analysis of these projects; (ii) addressing the challenges arising
from the taxation of natural resources; and (iii) designing a fiscal framework to anchor fiscal
policies if revenue from these energy projects materializes.