Articles in the March 2015 Research Bulletin focus on the oil market, energy subsidies, and output. The Research Summary on "An Exploration in Deep Corners of the Oil Market," authored by Rabah Arezki, Douglas Laxton, Armen Nurekyan, and Hou Wang, examines fluctuations in oil prices. "The State Budget May Afford It All," by Christian Ebeke and Constant Lonkeng Ngbouana, reviews energy subsidies and their fiscal, distributional, and environmental costs. In the “Q&A” column Pau Rabanal takes a look at “Seven Questions on Potential Output.” The Bulletin includes a listing of recent IMF Working Papers, Staff Discussion Notes, recommended readings from IMF Publications, and a call for papers for the next Annual Research Conference. A link with information and free access to IMF Economic Review is also included.
The economy is on the right track, and program performance has been good. Fiscal adjustment is on track to restore fiscal sustainability. The adjustment plan appropriately focuses on reducing current spending while increasing investment and protecting the most vulnerable. The current monetary stance is adequate. Completion of the crisis preparedness and debt resolution frameworks will reduce vulnerability to shocks and promote financial intermediation. Progress toward restoring financial sustainability in the energy sector has been slow. Improving the business climate and promoting exports remain key.