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Macroeconomic Stability in Resource-Rich Countries

Macroeconomic Stability in Resource-Rich Countries »

Volume/Issue: 2016/36

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Elva Bova , Paulo Medas , and Tigran Poghosyan

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 February 2016

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475596465.001

ISBN: 9781475596465

Keywords: resource-rich countries, procyclical fiscal policy, commodity, prices, price, fiscal policy, General, Models with Panel Data, All Countries,, Natural resources

Resource-rich countries face large and persistent shocks, especially coming from volatile commodity prices. Given the severity of the shocks, it would be expected that these countries adopt countercyclical fiscal p...

Macroeconomic Stability in Resource-Rich Countries

Macroeconomic Stability in Resource-Rich Countries »

Source: Macroeconomic Stability in Resource-Rich Countries

Volume/Issue: 2016/36

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Elva Bova , Paulo Medas , and Tigran Poghosyan

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 February 2016

ISBN: 9781475596465

Keywords: resource-rich countries, procyclical fiscal policy, commodity, prices, price, fiscal policy, General, Models with Panel Data, All Countries,, Natural resources

Resource-rich countries face large and persistent shocks, especially coming from volatile commodity prices. Given the severity of the shocks, it would be expected that these countries adopt countercyclical fiscal p...

Trading on Their Terms? Commodity Exporters in the Aftermath of the Commodity Boom

Trading on Their Terms? Commodity Exporters in the Aftermath of the Commodity Boom »

Volume/Issue: 2016/27

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Aqib Aslam , Samya Beidas-Strom , Rudolfs Bems , Oya Celasun , Sinem Kılıç Çelik , and Zsoka Koczan

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 15 February 2016

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781498338158.001

ISBN: 9781498338158

Keywords: Resource Boom, commodity, output, trade, price, prices, Global Commodity Crises, Resource Booms, All Countries,, Natural resources

Commodity prices have declined sharply over the past three years, and output growth has slowed considerably among countries that are net exporters of commodities. A critical question for policy makers in these econ...

Trading on Their Terms? Commodity Exporters in the Aftermath of the Commodity Boom1

Trading on Their Terms? Commodity Exporters in the Aftermath of the Commodity Boom1 »

Source: Trading on Their Terms? Commodity Exporters in the Aftermath of the Commodity Boom

Volume/Issue: 2016/27

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Aqib Aslam , Samya Beidas-Strom , Rudolfs Bems , Oya Celasun , Sinem Kılıç Çelik , and Zsoka Koczan

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 15 February 2016

ISBN: 9781498338158

Keywords: Resource Boom, commodity, output, trade, price, prices, Global Commodity Crises, Resource Booms, All Countries,, Natural resources

Commodity prices have declined sharply over the past three years, and output growth has slowed considerably among countries that are net exporters of commodities. A critical question for policy makers in these econ...

Sharing a Ride on the Commodities Roller Coaster
			: Common Factors in Business Cycles of Emerging Economies

Sharing a Ride on the Commodities Roller Coaster : Common Factors in Business Cycles of Emerging Economies »

Volume/Issue: 2015/280

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Andres Fernandez , Andres Gonzalez , and Diego Rodriguez

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 29 December 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513587677.001

ISBN: 9781513587677

Keywords: Emerging economies, common factors, Bayesian estimation, dynamic stochastic equilibrium models, commodity, prices, price, commodity price, Open Economy Macroeconomics, International Business Cycles

Fluctuations in commodity prices are an important driver of business cycles in small emerging market economies (EMEs). We document how these fluctuations correlate strongly with the business cycle in EMEs. We then...

Sharing a Ride on the Commodities Roller Coaster

Sharing a Ride on the Commodities Roller Coaster »

Source: Sharing a Ride on the Commodities Roller Coaster : Common Factors in Business Cycles of Emerging Economies

Volume/Issue: 2015/280

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Andres Fernandez , Andres Gonzalez , and Diego Rodriguez

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 29 December 2015

ISBN: 9781513587677

Keywords: Emerging economies, common factors, Bayesian estimation, dynamic stochastic equilibrium models, commodity, prices, price, commodity price, Open Economy Macroeconomics, International Business Cycles

Fluctuations in commodity prices are an important driver of business cycles in small emerging market economies (EMEs). We document how these fluctuations correlate strongly with the business cycle in EMEs. We then...

End of the Supercycle and Growth of Commodity Producers

End of the Supercycle and Growth of Commodity Producers »

Source: End of the Supercycle and Growth of Commodity Producers : The Case of Chile

Volume/Issue: 2015/242

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Luc Eyraud

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 November 2015

ISBN: 9781513531557

Keywords: Growth, prices, price, copper prices, copper price, market, Economic Growth of Open Economies, Global Commodity Crises, General,

This paper estimates the effect of copper prices on Chile's growth at various time horizons. We find that a price decline is likely to have a durable (although not permanent) effect on GDP growth: while the impact...

End of the Supercycle and Growth of Commodity Producers
			: The Case of Chile

End of the Supercycle and Growth of Commodity Producers : The Case of Chile »

Volume/Issue: 2015/242

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Luc Eyraud

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 November 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513531557.001

ISBN: 9781513531557

Keywords: Growth, prices, price, copper prices, copper price, market, Economic Growth of Open Economies, Global Commodity Crises, General,

This paper estimates the effect of copper prices on Chile's growth at various time horizons. We find that a price decline is likely to have a durable (although not permanent) effect on GDP growth: while the impact...

Are Capital Inflows Expansionary or Contractionary? Theory, Policy Implications, and Some Evidence†

Are Capital Inflows Expansionary or Contractionary? Theory, Policy Implications, and Some Evidence† »

Source: Are Capital Inflows Expansionary or Contractionary? Theory, Policy Implications, and Some Evidence

Volume/Issue: 2015/226

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Olivier Blanchard , Jonathan Ostry , Atish Ghosh , and Marcos Chamon

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 October 2015

ISBN: 9781513500805

Keywords: capital inflows, bonds, bond, return, domestic bonds, All Countries, apital inflows,

The workhorse open-economy macro model suggests that capital inflows are contractionary because they appreciate the currency and reduce net exports. Emerging market policy makers however believe that inflows lead t...

Are Capital Inflows Expansionary or Contractionary? Theory, Policy Implications, and Some Evidence

Are Capital Inflows Expansionary or Contractionary? Theory, Policy Implications, and Some Evidence »

Volume/Issue: 2015/226

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Olivier Blanchard , Jonathan Ostry , Atish Ghosh , and Marcos Chamon

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 October 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513500805.001

ISBN: 9781513500805

Keywords: capital inflows, bonds, bond, return, domestic bonds, All Countries, apital inflows,

The workhorse open-economy macro model suggests that capital inflows are contractionary because they appreciate the currency and reduce net exports. Emerging market policy makers however believe that inflows lead t...