International Financial Statistics provides a complete library of continuously updated international statistics on all aspects of international and domestic finance. The monthly print edition contains over 1,000 pages of statistical data in each issue. It reports, for most countries of the world, current data needed in the analysis of problems of international payments and of inflation and deflation, i.e., data on exchange rates, international liquidity, money and banking, interest rates, prices, production, international transactions, government accounts, and national accounts. Information is presented in country tables and in tables of area and world aggregates.
The Bank of Slovenia (BoS) officially pursues a policy aimed at lowering inflation to European levels and maintaining the stability of the currency. Since 1997, the intermediate target of the BoS has been the growth of the broad monetary aggregate M3 (defined as the daily average of the last quarter of the year relative to the same period last year). During 1995–98, to limit the impact of large inflows of foreign capital on the domestic economy and achieve its monetary targets, the BoS has resorted to heavy capital controls.
Slovenia is among the most successful transition economies of central and eastern Europe. The authorities have consistently maintained conservative macroeconomic policies, which together with the relatively favorable starting point, allowed them the luxury of a gradual pace of reform. This approach to economic policy has delivered macroeconomic stability while maintaining social consensus and political continuity; at the same time, however, it has delayed the restructuring in certain sectors. Developments in 1999 have shaped by changes in the external environment and temporary domestic factors.
This paper investigates the inflation process in Slovenia through an examination of some commonly used determinants of inflation in transition economies. Granger causality tests and an analysis of unrestricted VAR models suggest a strong linkage between both growth in broader monetary aggregates and changes in the tolar–deutsche mark exchange rate on retail price inflation. While the growth in wages affects inflation, it appears that both changes in the exchange rate and growth in monetary aggregates provide the initial impulse. A discussion of the present money–exchange rate policy framework and its influence on inflation is also provided.