Article IV Consultation and Second Reviews under the Extended Fund Facility and Extended Credit Facility Arrangements-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for the Republic of Moldova
This paper reviews the experience of the IMF’s long-term engagement in Romania and options for future IMF involvement. The unfavorable growth performance also reflected adverse conditions for private sector development. Foreign investors have welcomed the more stable macroeconomic environment and the tax legislation overhaul under the recent Stand-By Arrangement. Although the overlap between Bank and IMF conditionality in the area of structural reforms was not conducive to reducing the number of conditions, it helped increase the pressure on the authorities to maintain the reform momentum.
In the aftermath of adverse supply shocks, and with further measures to promote investment, growth of production and exports is expected to recover. Efforts to remove barriers to investment and ensure a reliable provision of electricity are critical to private-sector-led growth. External sustainability hinges on further improvements in the business climate to expand the production of tradables, and ongoing fiscal consolidation. Although the Albanian government remains committed to the program, serious risks to growth and the execution of the poverty reduction strategy remain.