Narrow Your Choices

Refine By Countries

Refine By Topic

Refine By Series

Refine By Language

Refine By Date

—

Refine By IMF Taxonomy

Refine By JEL Taxonomy

Refine by LOC Taxonomy

Refine By THEMA Taxonomy

  • Print
  • Save

Browse

You are looking at 1 - 1 of 1 items for :

  • Type: Journal Issue x
  • Greenhouse gases x
  • Earth Sciences, Geography, Environment x
  • Environmental Conservation and Protection x
  • Macroeconomics x
  • Trade: General x
  • Climate; Natural Disasters and Their Management; Global Warming x
  • External sector x
  • Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: General (includes Measurement and Data) x
  • Books and Analytical Papers x
  • Environment and Development; Environment and Trade; Sustainability; Environmental Accounts and Accounting; Environmental Equity; Population Growth x
  • Cross-cutting issues x
  • United States x
  • Climate change x
Clear All Modify Search
Cover IMF Working Papers
Emissions and Growth: Trends and Cycles in a Globalized World
Gail Cohen, João Tovar Jalles, Mr. Prakash Loungani, and Ricardo Marto
Recent discussions of the extent of decoupling between greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and real gross domestic product (GDP) provide mixed evidence and have generated much debate. We show that to get a clear picture of decoupling it is important to distinguish cycles from trends: there is an Environmental Okun's Law (a cyclical relationship between emissions and real GDP) that often obscures the trend relationship between emissions and real GDP. We show that, once the cyclical relationship is accounted for, the trends show evidence of decoupling in richer nations—particularly in European countries, but not yet in emerging markets. The picture changes somewhat, however, if we take into consideration the effects of international trade, that is, if we distinguish between production-based and consumption-based emissions. Once we add in their net emission transfers, the evidence for decoupling among the richer countries gets weaker. The good news is that countries with underlying policy frameworks more supportive of renewable energy and supportive of climate change tend to have greater decoupling between trend emissions and trend GDP, and for both production- and consumption-based emissions.
Keywords:
WP; real GDP; time series; business cycle; Emissions; Environmental Okun’s Law; Environmental Kuznets Curve; Kuznets elasticity; Kuznets coefficient; Okun elasticity; emissions-output elasticity; Okun coefficient; Greenhouse gas emissions; Income; Imports; Exports; Business cycles; Africa; Global; Eastern Europe; East Asia