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Leading Indicators of Fiscal Distress

Leading Indicators of Fiscal Distress »

Volume/Issue: 2016/28

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Martin Bruns , and Tigran Poghosyan

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 15 February 2016

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475594799.001

ISBN: 9781475594799

Keywords: fiscal distress, extreme bound analysis, debt, currency, inflation, emerging economies, default, Studies of Particular Policy Episodes, General Outlook and Conditions, Forecasting and Simulation

Early warning systems (EWS) are widely used for assessing countries’ vulnerability to fiscal distress. Most EWS employ a specific set of only fiscal leading indicators predetermined by the researchers, which casts...

Leading Indicators of Fiscal Distress

Leading Indicators of Fiscal Distress »

Source: Leading Indicators of Fiscal Distress

Volume/Issue: 2016/28

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Martin Bruns , and Tigran Poghosyan

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 15 February 2016

ISBN: 9781475594799

Keywords: fiscal distress, extreme bound analysis, debt, currency, inflation, emerging economies, default, Studies of Particular Policy Episodes, General Outlook and Conditions, Forecasting and Simulation

Early warning systems (EWS) are widely used for assessing countries’ vulnerability to fiscal distress. Most EWS employ a specific set of only fiscal leading indicators predetermined by the researchers, which casts...

A Strategy for Resolving Europe's Problem Loans

A Strategy for Resolving Europe's Problem Loans »

Volume/Issue: 2015/19

Series: Staff Discussion Notes

Author(s): Shekhar Aiyar , Wolfgang Bergthaler , Jose Garrido , Anna Ilyina , Andreas Jobst , Kenneth Kang , Dmitriy Kovtun , Yan Liu , Dermot Monaghan , and Marina Moretti

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 24 September 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513591278.006

ISBN: 9781513591278

Keywords: Bank resolution, Banks, Debt restructuring, Europe, Non-performing loans, Corporate debt, Nonperforming loans, NPL resolution, credit growth, debt

Europe's banking system is weighed down by high levels of non-performing loans (NPLs), which are holding down credit growth and economic activity. This discussion note uses a new survey of European country authorit...

A Strategy for Resolving Europe’s Problem Loans

A Strategy for Resolving Europe’s Problem Loans »

Source: A Strategy for Resolving Europe's Problem Loans

Volume/Issue: 2015/19

Series: Staff Discussion Notes

Author(s): Shekhar Aiyar , Wolfgang Bergthaler , Jose Garrido , Anna Ilyina , Andreas Jobst , Kenneth Kang , Dmitriy Kovtun , Yan Liu , Dermot Monaghan , and Marina Moretti

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 24 September 2015

ISBN: 9781513591278

Keywords: Bank resolution, Banks, Debt restructuring, Europe, Non-performing loans, Corporate debt, Nonperforming loans, NPL resolution, credit growth, debt

Europe's banking system is weighed down by high levels of non-performing loans (NPLs), which are holding down credit growth and economic activity. This discussion note uses a new survey of European country authorit...

A Strategy for Resolving Europe’s Problem Loans1

A Strategy for Resolving Europe’s Problem Loans1 »

Source: A Strategy for Resolving Europe's Problem Loans

Volume/Issue: 2015/19

Series: Staff Discussion Notes

Author(s): Shekhar Aiyar , Wolfgang Bergthaler , Jose Garrido , Anna Ilyina , Andreas Jobst , Kenneth Kang , Dmitriy Kovtun , Yan Liu , Dermot Monaghan , and Marina Moretti

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 24 September 2015

ISBN: 9781513591278

Keywords: Bank resolution, Banks, Debt restructuring, Europe, Non-performing loans, Corporate debt, Nonperforming loans, NPL resolution, credit growth, debt

Europe's banking system is weighed down by high levels of non-performing loans (NPLs), which are holding down credit growth and economic activity. This discussion note uses a new survey of European country authorit...

Building a Better Union

Building a Better Union »

Source: Building a Better Union : Incentivizing Structural Reforms in the Euro Area

Volume/Issue: 2015/201

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Angana Banerji , Bergljot Barkbu , James John , Tidiane Kinda , Sergejs Saksonovs , Hanni Schoelermann , and Tao Wu

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 11 September 2015

ISBN: 9781513517087

Keywords: Structural reform, European economic governance, governance, states, member states, legislation, fiscal, Planning, Coordination, and Reform

The momentum for structural reforms is waning in the euro area at a time when even faster progress is needed to boost productivity and growth, achieve real economic convergence, and improve the resilience of the mo...

Building a Better Union
			: Incentivizing Structural Reforms in the Euro Area

Building a Better Union : Incentivizing Structural Reforms in the Euro Area »

Volume/Issue: 2015/201

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Angana Banerji , Bergljot Barkbu , James John , Tidiane Kinda , Sergejs Saksonovs , Hanni Schoelermann , and Tao Wu

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 11 September 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513517087.001

ISBN: 9781513517087

Keywords: Structural reform, European economic governance, governance, states, member states, legislation, fiscal, Planning, Coordination, and Reform

The momentum for structural reforms is waning in the euro area at a time when even faster progress is needed to boost productivity and growth, achieve real economic convergence, and improve the resilience of the mo...

What Really Drives Public Debt
			: A Holistic Approach

What Really Drives Public Debt : A Holistic Approach »

Volume/Issue: 2015/137

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Pablo Anaya , and Alex Pienkowski

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 25 June 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513591353.001

ISBN: 9781513591353

Keywords: debt, interest, interest rate, General, Monetary Policy (Targets, Instruments, and Effects),

This paper presents a novel approach to detail the propagation of shocks to public debt. The modeling technique involves a structural vector auto-regression (SVAR) estimator with an endogenous debt accumulation equ...

What Really Drives Public Debt

What Really Drives Public Debt »

Source: What Really Drives Public Debt : A Holistic Approach

Volume/Issue: 2015/137

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Pablo Anaya , and Alex Pienkowski

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 25 June 2015

ISBN: 9781513591353

Keywords: debt, interest, interest rate, General, Monetary Policy (Targets, Instruments, and Effects),

This paper presents a novel approach to detail the propagation of shocks to public debt. The modeling technique involves a structural vector auto-regression (SVAR) estimator with an endogenous debt accumulation equ...

Revitalizing Securitization for Small and Medium-Sized Enterprises in Europe

Revitalizing Securitization for Small and Medium-Sized Enterprises in Europe »

Volume/Issue: 2015/7

Series: Staff Discussion Notes

Author(s): Shekhar Aiyar , Ali Al-Eyd , Bergljot Barkbu , and Andreas Jobst

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781498397643.006

ISBN: 9781498397643

Keywords: Financial intermediation, Structured finance, macro-financial linkages, SME finance, market, finance, markets, investment, debt, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy

Small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) account for a disproportionate share of output and employment in Europe but are still highly dependent on bank finance, which dried up or became prohibitively expensive dur...